Iceland vs Luxembourg Prediction

Iceland
-
16/11/2026
18:00
Luxembourg
Ice Rink Laugardalur, Reykjavik
IcelandIceland
16/11/202618:00
LuxembourgLuxembourg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Iceland Rest
2 days
Luxembourg Rest
2 days

Iceland vs Luxembourg preview: form and head-to-head

Iceland arrive in slightly better form, with 3 wins from their last five to 1 for Luxembourg. The match is played in the UEFA Nations League on 16 Nov 2026.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Iceland tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.5 for Luxembourg.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.30
X
5.00
2
9.41
Double Chance
1X
1.06
X2
3.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
2.17
No
1.62
Goals
Over 1.5
1.23
Over 2.5
1.76
Over 3.5
2.81
Under 1.5
3.98
Under 2.5
2.05
Under 3.5
1.40
Corners
Over 8.5
-
Over 9.5
-
Over 10.5
-
Under 8.5
-
Under 9.5
-
Under 10.5
-
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
-1.75
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
-2.02
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

IcelandIceland
LuxembourgLuxembourg
1479Elo Rating 1368
1.44Attack 0.75
2.55Defense 1.48
42%Hit Rate 31%
12.6Shots per Game 12.0
4.0Shots on Target 4.5
6.9Corners per Game 3.5
1.8Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+111 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IcelandIceland
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
LuxembourgLuxembourg
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

IcelandIceland1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
LuxembourgLuxembourg1Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League29/09/2026
LuxembourgIceland
03
Euro Championship - Qualification13/10/2023
IcelandLuxembourg
11
Euro Championship - Qualification08/09/2023
LuxembourgIceland
31

Recent Form

IcelandIceland
4W3D3L
13/11/2026
BulgariaIceland
05
W
06/10/2026
EstoniaIceland
00
D
03/10/2026
IcelandBulgaria
30
W
29/09/2026
LuxembourgIceland
03
W
26/09/2026
IcelandEstonia
11
D
10/06/2026
ArgentinaIceland
30
L
31/05/2026
JapanIceland
10
L
16/11/2025
UkraineIceland
20
L
13/11/2025
AzerbaijanIceland
02
W
13/10/2025
IcelandFrance
22
D
LuxembourgLuxembourg
4W0D6L
13/11/2026
LuxembourgEstonia
01
L
06/10/2026
LuxembourgBulgaria
02
L
03/10/2026
EstoniaLuxembourg
10
L
29/09/2026
LuxembourgIceland
03
L
26/09/2026
BulgariaLuxembourg
12
W
06/06/2026
AlbaniaLuxembourg
01
W
03/06/2026
LuxembourgItaly
01
L
31/03/2026
LuxembourgMalta
30
W
26/03/2026
MaltaLuxembourg
02
W
17/11/2025
Northern IrelandLuxembourg
10
L

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IcelandIceland532012:1+1111WDWWD
2EstoniaEstonia52303:1+29WDWDD
3BulgariaBulgaria51133:10-74LWLDL
4LuxembourgLuxembourg51042:8-63LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1IcelandIceland512:111
2EstoniaEstonia53:19
3BulgariaBulgaria53:104
4LuxembourgLuxembourg52:83
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About the Iceland vs Luxembourg forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Iceland and Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Iceland are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 8 points ahead of Luxembourg in 4th. League goal record so far: Iceland 12-1, Luxembourg 2-8. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Iceland have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.