Spain vs England Prediction

Spain
-
15/11/2026
20:45
England
Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid·Clement Turpin
SpainSpain
15/11/202620:45
EnglandEngland

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Spain Rest
3 days
England Rest
3 days

Spain vs England in numbers

This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 5 wins from five for Spain and 4 for England. They meet in the UEFA Nations League on 15 Nov 2026.

Spain have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game. Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.57 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.72
X
4.13
2
4.40
Double Chance
1X
1.21
X2
2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.60
No
2.22
Goals
Over 1.5
1.19
Over 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
2.51
Under 1.5
4.50
Under 2.5
2.30
Under 3.5
1.53
Corners
Over 8.5
1.50
Over 9.5
1.88
Over 10.5
2.37
Under 8.5
2.28
Under 9.5
1.82
Under 10.5
1.47
Cards
Over 3.5
2.20
Over 4.5
3.45
Under 3.5
1.62
Under 4.5
1.28
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

SpainSpain
EnglandEngland
1983Elo Rating 1902
2.50Attack 3.98
1.98Defense 1.94
86%Hit Rate 83%
14.5Shots per Game 18.1
6.7Shots on Target 6.8
5.7Corners per Game 5.7
1.0Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SpainSpain
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
EnglandEngland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (2.4 vs 1.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

SpainSpain3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
EnglandEngland1Wins · 25%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League26/09/2026
EnglandSpain
23
Euro Championship14/07/2024
SpainEngland
21
UEFA Nations League15/10/2018
SpainEngland
23
UEFA Nations League08/09/2018
EnglandSpain
12

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin270 matches

3.57Cards per match
3.33Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Clement Turpin3.57
Other referees4.09

3.57 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.09).

Cards come from 263 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain550014:5+915WWWWW
2EnglandEngland540116:4+1212WWWWL
3CroatiaCroatia51045:16-113LLLLW
4CzechiaCzechia50052:12-100LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain514:515
2EnglandEngland516:412
3CroatiaCroatia55:163
4CzechiaCzechia52:120
Relegation

About the Spain vs England forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Spain and England in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Spain are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of England in 2nd. League goal record so far: Spain 14-5, England 16-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

England have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.