Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito· Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista, Ecuador 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.28
SignalGOODModel74%RiskMediumGap+6.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.66
SignalHIGHModel60%RiskMediumGap+11.0%
Independiente del Valle Rest
3 days
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
85%1.28
X
12%5.05
2
3%9.10
Double Chance
1X
97%1.05
X2
15%3.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.10
No
53%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.69 + 0.65 = 3.34
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
66%1.66
Over 3.5
46%2.63
Under 1.5
16%4.00
Under 2.5
34%2.10
Under 3.5
54%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'A. RodriguezUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'D. Gonzalez INJ. Ordonez out
53'J. AnguloAssist: A. Rodriguez
64'L. Mancinelli INY. H. Erique Villigua out
67'J. Angulo IND. Reasco out
67'E. Pata INM. Perello out
77'M. MaccariUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'H. Quintana INR. Briones out
78'J. Sornoza IND. Guagua out
78'M. Diaz INJ. Mejia out
83'A. Lopez ING. Rivero out
86'P. BoolsenSerious foul
87'A. Rodriguez INE. Quintero out

Lineups

Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1Coach: Joaquin Papa
Deportivo Cuenca
5-4-1Coach: Fortunato Celico Jorge Cesar
Aldair Quintana1A. QuintanaAldair Quintana
Daykol Romero13D. RomeroDaykol Romero
Mateo Carabajal14M. CarabajalMateo Carabajal
Richard Schunke5R. SchunkeRichard Schunke
Layan Loor19L. LoorLayan Loor
Jordy Alcivar6J. AlcivarJordy Alcivar
Arón Rodríguez17A. RodríguezArón Rodríguez
Hugo Quintana28H. QuintanaHugo Quintana
Junior Sornoza10J. SornozaJunior Sornoza
Emerson Pata31E. PataEmerson Pata
Juan Angulo50J. AnguloJuan Angulo
Facundo Ferrero1F. FerreroFacundo Ferrero
Marcos Andrés López25M. Andrés LópezMarcos Andrés López
Eddie Guevara23E. GuevaraEddie Guevara
Patricio Boolsen28P. BoolsenPatricio Boolsen
Mateo Piedra18M. PiedraMateo Piedra
Carlos Arboleda37C. ArboledaCarlos Arboleda
Lucas Mancinelli7L. MancinelliLucas Mancinelli
Mateo Maccari30M. MaccariMateo Maccari
Edison Vega8E. VegaEdison Vega
David González49D. GonzálezDavid González
Melvin Diaz19M. DiazMelvin Diaz

Independiente del Valle Substitutes

70Miguel PeraltaG
33Andy VelascoD
4Jhon EspinozaD
20Aníbal GómezM
15Gustavo CortezD
16Ronald BrionesM
32Jhegson MéndezM
11Matías PerelloF
55Darwin GuaguaM
52Yandri VasquezF
99Djorkaeff ReascoF
56Edwin QuinteroM

Deportivo Cuenca Substitutes

43Jorge OrdóñezF
53Yeltzin EriqueD
12Ethan MindaG
2Ignacio MosqueraD
3Gian NardelliD
16Jeremy MejiaM
5David NoboaM
15Mathías SolísF
11Germán RiveroF

Match Stats

Independiente del ValleDeportivo Cuenca
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots2
6Shots on Goal0
8Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box0
11Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
9Fouls5
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
597Total Passes315
553Passes Accurate256
93%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
1798Elo Rating 1461
1.84Attack 0.63
1.19Defense 2.00
46%Hit Rate 19%
15.1Shots per Game 15.9
4.8Shots on Target 4.5
5.9Corners per Game 5.8
1.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+337 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Independiente del Valle 100%Draw 0%0% Deportivo Cuenca
3.29Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
69%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista, Ecuador · 31 matches analysed

4.8Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 84% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WLWWL
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DDDWW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

ScorePredicts covers Ecuador football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Independiente del Valle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Independiente del Valle and Deportivo Cuenca have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.29 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.