Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec Prediction

Deportivo Cuenca
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Emelec
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca·Robert Cabrera, Ecuador 28/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Deportivo Cuenca Rest
5 days
Emelec Rest
4 days

Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec: result, form and history

Deportivo Cuenca beat Emelec 2-1 in the Liga Pro on 28 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Referee Robert Cabrera averages 5.89 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.25
X
33%2.95
2
25%3.20
Double Chance
1X
75%1.30
X2
58%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.00
No
51%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.06 = 2.35
Over 1.5
66%1.45
Over 2.5
42%2.42
Over 3.5
22%4.45
Under 1.5
34%2.57
Under 2.5
58%1.51
Under 3.5
78%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'V. GriffithFoul
35'M. DiazAssist: L. Mancinelli
45+1'O. HerreraFoul
46'G. Napoli INL. Fragozo out
46'F. Pizzini INJ. Cevallos out
46'L. Klimowicz INJ. Ayovi out
46'I. Guerrico
62'M. DiazAssist: J. Ordonez
66'M. PiedraFoul
70'J. AyoviFoul
74'P. Ortiz INM. Valero out
83'J. Ruiz INA. Viteri out
85'L. Mancinelli INB. Garcia out
85'J. Ordonez ING. Rivero out
90'F. LeonFoul
90+1'F. FerreroDelay of game
90+2'M. Diaz INA. Lopez out
90+5'M. ValeroUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+6'M. Maccari INJ. Chacon out

Lineups

Deportivo Cuenca
4-2-3-1Coach: Fortunato Celico Jorge Cesar
Emelec
4-2-3-1Coach: Cristian Nasuti
Avg rating6.88
Avg rating6.53
Facundo Ferrero6.31F. Ferrero
Eddie Guevara6.323E. Guevara
Patricio Boolsen6.928P. Boolsen
Mateo Piedra6.518M. Piedra
Carlos Arboleda7.537C. Arboleda
Mateo Maccari7.230M. Maccari
Edison Vega7.08E. Vega
Lucas MancinelliC7.37L. Mancinelli
David González6.249D. González
Melvin Diaz9.619M. Diaz
Jorge Ordóñez5.643J. Ordóñez
Pedro Ortiz5.912P. Ortiz
Orlando Herrera6.680O. Herrera
Luis Fernando LeónC6.327L. Fernando León
Stalin Valencia6.551S. Valencia
Ignacio Guerrico7.93I. Guerrico
Angelo Mina6.65A. Mina
Víctor Griffith7.26V. Griffith
Juan Ruiz Gómez6.519J. Ruiz Gómez
Gonzalo Nápoli6.28G. Nápoli
Francisco Pizzini6.510F. Pizzini
Luca Klimowicz6.37L. Klimowicz

Deportivo Cuenca Substitutes

12Ethan Minda
53Yeltzin Erique
25Marcos Andrés López90+2'for M. Diaz
6Santiago Postel
2Ignacio Mosquera
14Jeremy Chacon90+6'for M. Maccari
5David Noboa
16Jeremy Mejia
20Bryan García85'for L. Mancinelli6.3
11Germán Rivero85'for J. Ordonez6.7
15Mathías Solís

Emelec Substitutes

21José Cevallos46'for F. Pizzini6.5
17Jaime Ayoví46'for L. Klimowicz70'6.3
15Luis Fragozo46'for G. Napoli6.6
1Mario Valero74'for P. Ortiz90+5'6.3
4Estalin Segura
25Rafael Narváez
18Mathias Carabalí
28Tobar Bolivar
16Sergio Quintero
24Andrés Viteri6.2

Match Stats

Deportivo CuencaEmelec
56%Ball Possession44%
12Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards5
15Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots2
11Fouls10
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
389Total Passes327
326Passes Accurate242
84%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
EmelecEmelec
1471Elo Rating 1471
1.26Attack 1.06
1.86Defense 1.26
42%Hit Rate 19%
9.9Shots per Game 19.0
2.9Shots on Target 4.8
5.6Corners per Game 5.0
2.1Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
EmelecEmelec
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
EmelecEmelec5Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro05/04/2026
EmelecDeportivo Cuenca
02
Liga Pro20/12/2025
Deportivo CuencaEmelec
51
Liga Pro04/10/2025
EmelecDeportivo Cuenca
31
Liga Pro11/08/2025
EmelecDeportivo Cuenca
11
Liga Pro19/04/2025
Deportivo CuencaEmelec
01
Liga Pro05/08/2024
EmelecDeportivo Cuenca
01
Liga Pro03/03/2024
Deportivo CuencaEmelec
12
Liga Pro04/12/2023
EmelecDeportivo Cuenca
21
Liga Pro18/06/2023
Deportivo CuencaEmelec
32
CONMEBOL Sudamericana10/03/2023
EmelecDeportivo Cuenca
21

Recent Form

Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
1W3D6L
22/07/2026
MacaraDeportivo Cuenca
30
L
18/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaUniversidad Catolica
02
L
16/07/2026
Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca
11
D
12/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaAucas
01
L
05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
20
L
02/06/2026
La UniónDeportivo Cuenca
8070
L
31/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDelfin SC
10
W
27/05/2026
SantosDeportivo Cuenca
30
L
24/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito
11
D
20/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Recoleta
22
D
EmelecEmelec
2W5D3L
24/07/2026
EmelecMushuc Runa SC
11
D
20/07/2026
Independiente del ValleEmelec
61
L
17/07/2026
Orense SCEmelec
02
W
13/07/2026
EmelecBarcelona SC
00
D
06/07/2026
Delfin SCEmelec
11
D
01/06/2026
EmelecUniversidad Catolica
10
W
20/05/2026
Daquilema FCEmelec
10090
L
18/05/2026
Manta FCEmelec
00
D
10/05/2026
EmelecLibertad
11
D
04/05/2026
Leones del NorteEmelec
20
L

Referee Profile

Robert Cabrera85 matches

5.89Cards per match
5.49Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Cabrera5.89
Other referees4.98

5.89 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad361491343:40+351LDLWW
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3612121239:44-548DDWLW
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3612111340:41-147DWWLL
10EmelecEmelec361291532:43-1145WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3643:4051
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3639:4448
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3640:4147
10EmelecEmelec3632:4345

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca361381533:42-947WLWWD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3610131343:50-743WLLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC361091743:53-1039LDWDD
14Delfin SCDelfin SC361081831:43-1238LWLWW
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario361142135:49-1437LDWLL
16Manta FCManta FC36962127:52-2533WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3633:4247
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3643:5043
13Orense SCOrense SC3643:5339
14Delfin SCDelfin SC3631:4338
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3635:4937
16Manta FCManta FC3627:5233
PromotionRelegation

About the Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Deportivo Cuenca and Emelec in the Liga Pro table

Emelec and Deportivo Cuenca are close in the Liga Pro table, 10th and 12th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Deportivo Cuenca 25-37, Emelec 25-34. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.