Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Saudi Arabia
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Uruguay
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens· Maurizio Mariani, Italy 16/06/2026
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
1-1
Finished
UruguayUruguay

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.27
SignalNEUTRALModel41%RiskMediumGap-1.9%
Saudi Arabia Rest
5 days
Uruguay Rest
278 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%8.20
X
24%4.34
2
48%1.45
Double Chance
1X
52%2.77
X2
72%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.28
No
48%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.13 = 2.35
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.10
Over 3.5
23%3.66
Under 1.5
28%3.20
Under 2.5
55%1.76
Under 3.5
77%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.4
Over 8.5
53%1.82
Over 9.5
47%2.37
Over 10.5
34%3.30
Under 8.5
47%1.91
Under 9.5
53%1.55
Under 10.5
66%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
59%1.61
Over 4.5
36%2.21
Under 3.5
41%2.18
Under 4.5
64%1.61

Match Events

41'A. Al Amri
44'A. Al AmriRoughing
46'M. Vina INJ. Sanabria out
46'D. Nunez INA. Canobbio out
63'M. Al Juwayr INN. Al Dawsari out
72'M. Ugarte INN. de la Cruz out
80'M. Araujo
81'M. Araujo INB. Rodriguez out
81'M. Abu Al Shamat INN. Boushal out
90'F. Vinas INR. Aguirre out
90+2'S. Abdulhamid INA. Lajami out
90+3'M. Al Harbi INA. Al Hamdan out
90+3'F. Al Buraikan INA. Hejji out

Lineups

Saudi Arabia
4-4-2Coach: Georgios Donis
Uruguay
4-2-3-1Coach: Marcelo Bielsa
Mohammed Al-Owais21M. Al-OwaisMohammed Al-Owais
Saud Abdulhamid12S. AbdulhamidSaud Abdulhamid
Abdulelah Al-Amri4A. Al-AmriAbdulelah Al-Amri
Hassan Altambakti5H. AltambaktiHassan Altambakti
Moteb Al-Harbi24M. Al-HarbiMoteb Al-Harbi
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat26M. Abu Al-ShamatMohammed Abu Al-Shamat
Mohamed Kanno23M. KannoMohamed Kanno
Abdullah Al-Khaibari15A. Al-KhaibariAbdullah Al-Khaibari
Salem Al-Dawsari10S. Al-DawsariSalem Al-Dawsari
Firas Al-Buraikan9F. Al-BuraikanFiras Al-Buraikan
Musab Al Juwayr7M. Al JuwayrMusab Al Juwayr
Fernando Muslera23F. MusleraFernando Muslera
Guillermo Varela13G. VarelaGuillermo Varela
Sebastián Cáceres3S. CáceresSebastián Cáceres
Mathías Olivera16M. OliveraMathías Olivera
Matías Viña17M. ViñaMatías Viña
Manuel Ugarte5M. UgarteManuel Ugarte
Rodrigo Bentancur6R. BentancurRodrigo Bentancur
Federico Valverde8F. ValverdeFederico Valverde
Federico Viñas21F. ViñasFederico Viñas
Maximiliano Araújo20M. AraújoMaximiliano Araújo
99D. NúñezDarwin Núñez

Saudi Arabia Substitutes

6Nasser Al-DawsariM
22Ahmed Al-KassarG
1Nawaf Al-AqidiG
3Ali LajamiD
25Jehad ThakriD
14Hassan KadeshD
2Ali MajrashiD
13Nawaf BoushalD
16Ziyad AljohaniM
8Ayman YahyaM
18Ala'a Al-HejjiM
11Saleh Al-ShehriF
17Khalid Al-GhannamF
19Abdullah Al-HamdanF
20Sultan MandashF

Uruguay Substitutes

25Juan SanabriaM
14Agustín CanobbioF
12Santiago MeleG
1Sergio RochetG
2José María GiménezD
24Santiago BuenoD
22Joaquín PiquerezD
18Brian RodríguezF
11Facundo PellistriM
15Emiliano MartínezM
7Nicolás de la CruzM
26Rodrigo ZalazarM
19Rodrigo AguirreF

Match Stats

Saudi ArabiaUruguay
35%Ball Possession65%
4Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots24
3Shots on Goal9
3Shots off Goal10
4Shots Inside Box15
3Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots5
11Fouls6
0Offsides6
8Goalkeeper Saves2
316Total Passes571
232Passes Accurate502
73%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
UruguayUruguay
1610Elo Rating 1676
0.73Attack 1.01
1.08Defense 2.50
17%Hit Rate 31%
8.3Shots per Game 13.4
3.4Shots on Target 4.8
2.3Corners per Game 5.5
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
UruguayUruguay
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Saudi Arabia 0%Draw 0%100% Uruguay
1Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
2W2D1L
10/06/2026
Saudi ArabiaSenegal
00
D
06/06/2026
Puerto RicoSaudi Arabia
03
W
31/05/2026
EcuadorSaudi Arabia
21
L
14/10/2025
Saudi ArabiaIraq
00
D
08/10/2025
IndonesiaSaudi Arabia
23
W
UruguayUruguay
2W2D1L
10/09/2025
ChileUruguay
00
D
05/09/2025
UruguayPeru
30
W
11/06/2025
UruguayVenezuela
20
W
06/06/2025
ParaguayUruguay
20
L
25/03/2025
BoliviaUruguay
00
D

Referee Profile

Maurizio Mariani, Italy · 11 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
23.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 37% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group H

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain32105:0+57WWD
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands30302:203DDD
3UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia30211:5-42DLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain35:07
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands32:23
3UruguayUruguay33:42
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia31:52

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Saudi Arabia and Uruguay have met 1 times recently, averaging 1 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.