Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. Prediction

Kayserispor
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Manisa F.K.
RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium, Kayseri·Alper Akarsu 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Kayserispor Rest
19 days
Manisa F.K. Rest
20 days

Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K.: result, form and history

Kayserispor beat Manisa F.K. 3-2 in the 1. Lig on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kayserispor had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Manisa F.K..

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.38
X
20%4.47
2
14%6.50
Double Chance
1X
87%1.08
X2
34%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.22 = 2.94
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.50
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.48
Over 9.5
47%1.83
Over 10.5
37%2.32
Under 8.5
42%2.42
Under 9.5
53%1.87
Under 10.5
63%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%-

Match Events

24'Yasin GürelerFoul
38'Benhur Keser
45'Yasin Güreler INOsman Kaynak out
52'Daniel MorenoAssist: Taulant Seferi
54'Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya
54'Cenk Sen INDenis Radu out
60'Semih GülerArgument
60'Cheikne SyllaArgument
63'Birama Toure INAlenis Vargas out
71'Manadi Camara INFlorent Hasani out
71'Benhur Keser INEnsar Kemaloglu out
79'Yusuf Talum INOsman Kahraman out
82'Taulant Seferi INOğulcan Çağlayan out
82'Görkem Sağlam INMurat Cem Akpinar out
86'Yassine Benrahou INNoha Lemina out
87'Cheikne SyllaAssist: Atakan Rıdvan Çankaya
89'Gökhan DeğirmenciDissent
90'Cheikne SyllaAbusive Language
90+1'Vedat KarakuşDissent
90+3'Murat Cem AkpinarAssist: Denis Radu
90+5'Sinan KurtTime wasting
90+7'Christophe HerelleFoul
90+9'Julien AnzianiFoul

Lineups

Kayserispor
4-3-3Coach: A. Gerin
Manisa F.K.
4-1-4-1Coach: Ahmet Pektaş
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.26
G. Değirmenci6.035G. Değirmenci
M. Uçar7.07M. Uçar
S. Güler6.84S. Güler
J. Tabidze6.83J. Tabidze
C. Şen6.777C. Şen
Mamadi Camará6.328M. Camará
S. Kurt6.78S. Kurt
G. Sağlam7.661G. Sağlam
B. Keser7.510B. Keser
D. Moreno8.027D. Moreno
T. Seferi7.297T. Seferi
V. Karakuş5.71V. Karakuş
K. Yurdakul6.022K. Yurdakul
C. Hérelle6.25C. Hérelle
Ada Ibik6.145A. Ibik
Y. Güreler5.527Y. Güreler
B. Touré6.160B. Touré
Y. Benrahou6.320Y. Benrahou
A. Çankaya8.06A. Çankaya
J. Anziani6.423J. Anziani
Y. Talum6.17Y. Talum
C. Sylla6.69C. Sylla

Kayserispor Substitutes

16Deniz Eren Donmezer
88M. Dulca
5K. Cihan
6C. Akpınar82'for Görkem Sağlam90+3'7.2
17M. Göçkan
9F. Hasani71'for Manadi Camara6.5
38Ataol Karapinar
11E. Kemaloğlu71'for Benhur Keser6.4
22D. Radu54'for Cenk Sen6.4
71O. Çağlayan82'for Taulant Seferi6.5

Manisa F.K. Substitutes

13Egemen Yayli
70A. Vargas63'for Birama Toure6.5
11N. Lemina86'for Yassine Benrahou5.8
2Yunus Emre Köse
3O. Kaynak45'for Yasin Güreler6.5
17Osman Kahraman79'for Yusuf Talum6.3
4F. İnal
24Y. Dursun
25A. Sen
96B. Tibukoglu

Match Stats

KayserisporManisa F.K.
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots5
13Fouls7
6Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
517Total Passes347
458Passes Accurate278
6Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

KayserisporKayserispor
Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
1699Elo Rating 1581
2.77Attack 1.57
2.07Defense 0.80
73%Hit Rate 0%
16.7Shots per Game 13.7
7.2Shots on Target 3.8
4.8Corners per Game 4.6
1.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

KayserisporKayserispor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

KayserisporKayserispor1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.0Wins · 0%
5.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Türkiye Kupası19/12/2019
Manisa F.K.Kayserispor
33
Türkiye Kupası05/12/2019
KayserisporManisa F.K.
32

Recent Form

KayserisporKayserispor
7W1D2L
20/09/2026
Mardin 1969Kayserispor
01
W
14/09/2026
Kayserisporİstanbulspor
40
W
07/09/2026
Esenler EroksporKayserispor
03
W
02/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükKayserispor
11
D
29/08/2026
KayserisporBursaspor
12
L
22/08/2026
Iğdır FKKayserispor
01
W
16/08/2026
KayserisporSivasspor
20
W
09/08/2026
Vanspor FKKayserispor
02
W
19/07/2026
KayserisporKasımpaşa
12
L
17/05/2026
KayserisporKonyaspor
21
W
Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
3W3D4L
20/09/2026
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
01
L
13/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükManisa F.K.
11
D
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
L
03/09/2026
Iğdır FKManisa F.K.
42
L
30/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Bodrum FK
00
D
24/08/2026
SivassporManisa F.K.
22
D
15/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Vanspor FK
41
W
07/08/2026
BolusporManisa F.K.
12
W
01/05/2026
Manisa F.K.Sakaryaspor
50
W
26/04/2026
KeçiörengücüManisa F.K.
21
L

Referee Profile

Alper Akarsu106 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alper Akarsu4.53
Other referees4.76

4.53 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
6MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
7Mardin 1969Mardin 19691153314:10+418LWWLL
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1124518:20-210LDLLD
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
6MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
7Mardin 1969Mardin 19691114:1018
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1118:2010
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kayserispor and Manisa F.K. in the 1. Lig table

The table shows a wide gap: Kayserispor are 2nd in the 1. Lig, while Manisa F.K. sit 17th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Kayserispor 26-9, Manisa F.K. 18-20. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kayserispor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Kayserispor and Manisa F.K. have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.