Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga Prediction

Kristiansund BK
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Valerenga
Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansand·Marius Lien 09/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Kristiansund BK Rest
8 days
Valerenga Rest
7 days

Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga: the result in context

Kristiansund BK beat Valerenga 1-0 in the Eliteserien on 9 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Valerenga had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kristiansund BK.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Referee Marius Lien averages 2.69 cards a game, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.81
X
23%4.00
2
42%2.17
Double Chance
1X
58%1.67
X2
65%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%1.33
No
28%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.75 = 3.35
Over 1.5
87%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.36
Over 3.5
50%1.90
Under 1.5
13%7.00
Under 2.5
31%3.02
Under 3.5
50%1.85
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.9 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.19
Over 9.5
58%1.35
Over 10.5
46%1.63
Under 8.5
31%3.85
Under 9.5
42%2.79
Under 10.5
54%2.12
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.7 = 3
Over 3.5
36%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
64%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

27'Marius Elvius
40'Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter INHåvard Nielsen out
45'John Kitolano INDan Peter Ulvestad out
52'Dennis GjengaarFoul
60'Sander Svendsen INTobias Hammer Svendsen out
60'Syver Skeide INWilfred George Igor out
62'Kevin Ngoyi Tshiembe INSebastian Jarl out
62'Vegar Eggen Hedenstad INGhayas Zahid out
70'Zymer Bytyqi INAdrian Kurd Rønning out
71'Gustav Ørsøe ChristensenFoul
73'Heine Gikling BrusethTime wasting
78'Aaron Kiil Olsen INOdin Thiago Holm out
80'Heine Gikling Bruseth INJulius Mar Juliusson out
89'Leander AlvheimFoul
90+5'Tobias Hammer SvendsenDissent

Lineups

Kristiansund BK
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Skiri
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: J. Moesgaard
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.53
A. Sæther6.512A. Sæther
M. Elvius8.059M. Elvius
J. Isaksen7.36J. Isaksen
M. Williamsen7.817M. Williamsen
J. Kitolano7.425J. Kitolano
S. Skeide6.814S. Skeide
H. Bruseth6.610H. Bruseth
G. Christensen7.024G. Christensen
S. Svendsen7.07S. Svendsen
Z. Bytyqi7.211Z. Bytyqi
L. Alvheim6.519L. Alvheim
O. Hedvall7.01O. Hedvall
V. Hedenstad6.66V. Hedenstad
A. Kiil Olsen6.94A. Kiil Olsen
K. Tshiembe6.75K. Tshiembe
D. Gjengaar6.426D. Gjengaar
P. Strand6.524P. Strand
F. Ambina6.329F. Ambina
C. Lange6.210C. Lange
L. Haren6.777L. Haren
M. Grundetjern6.417M. Grundetjern
O. Saeter6.090O. Saeter

Kristiansund BK Substitutes

2A. Børset
22H. Haugen
20W. Igor60'for Syver Skeide6.9
8E. Isufi
4J. Júlíusson80'for Heine Gikling Bruseth7.1
1M. Lansing
27A. Rønning70'for Zymer Bytyqi6.6
23T. Svendsen60'for Sander Svendsen90+5'6.4
5D. Ulvestad45'for John Kitolano7.3

Valerenga Substitutes

13S. Lønning
7H. Nielsen40'for Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter6.1
3H. Sjåtil
28M. Westergaard
11G. Zahid62'for Vegar Eggen Hedenstad7.1
15O. Holm78'for Aaron Kiil Olsen6.3
55S. Jarl62'for Kevin Ngoyi Tshiembe6.8
59Magnus Bjørnstad
39Gabriel Oddvar Opsahl

Match Stats

Kristiansund BKValerenga
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal9
14Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots2
10Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
282Total Passes647
207Passes Accurate542
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
ValerengaValerenga
1504Elo Rating 1631
1.77Attack 2.37
0.53Defense 1.87
27%Hit Rate 63%
13.8Shots per Game 18.3
5.6Shots on Target 7.7
2.6Corners per Game 4.9
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.35 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
ValerengaValerenga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK4Wins · 50%
Draws00%
ValerengaValerenga4Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien29/05/2026
ValerengaKristiansund BK
31
Eliteserien27/04/2025
Kristiansund BKValerenga
02
Eliteserien10/12/2023
ValerengaKristiansund BK
4052
Eliteserien06/12/2023
Kristiansund BKValerenga
02
Eliteserien11/09/2022
Kristiansund BKValerenga
32
Eliteserien10/07/2022
ValerengaKristiansund BK
30
Eliteserien12/12/2021
Kristiansund BKValerenga
21
Eliteserien16/05/2021
ValerengaKristiansund BK
12

Recent Form

Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
3W1D6L

Referee Profile

Marius Lien118 matches

2.69Cards per match
2.55Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Lien2.69
Other referees3.42

2.69 cards a match, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.42).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Kristiansund BK and Valerenga in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Valerenga are 8th and Kristiansund BK 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Kristiansund BK 30-51, Valerenga 43-47. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.