Valerenga vs Tromso Prediction

Valerenga
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Tromso
Intility Arena, Oslo·Marius Hansen Grotta 01/11/2026
ValerengaValerenga
4-0
Finished
TromsoTromso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Valerenga Rest
4 days
Tromso Rest
4 days

Valerenga vs Tromso: result, form and history

Valerenga beat Tromso 4-0 in the Eliteserien on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 10 matches. Valerenga tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 4.0 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.41
X
25%3.73
2
37%2.60
Double Chance
1X
63%1.47
X2
62%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.42
No
36%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.43 = 3.01
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
63%1.50
Over 3.5
43%2.25
Under 1.5
17%5.25
Under 2.5
37%2.50
Under 3.5
57%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 5.7 = 11.1
Over 8.5
75%1.26
Over 9.5
65%1.49
Over 10.5
54%1.85
Under 8.5
25%3.25
Under 9.5
35%2.42
Under 10.5
46%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.8 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
58%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

5'Vetle SkjaervikDissent
7'Vetle Skjaervik
9'Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter(Penalty)
10'Morten Bjorlo INLeon Hien out
11'Ghayas ZahidArgument
11'Alexander WarnerydArgument
21'Ole Christian Hammerfjell SaeterAssist: Dennis Gjengaar
42'Dennis GjengaarFoul
50'Mathias GrundetjernAssist: Dennis Gjengaar
62'Ghayas Zahid INOdin Thiago Holm out
65'Daniel Braut INHeine Asen Larsen out
65'Lars Olden Larsen INJesper Andreas Grundt out
70'Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter INGabriel Rajkovic out
78'Casper Oyvann INVince Osuji out
78'Sander Håvik Innvær INIsak·Dahlqvist out
80'Gabriel RajkovicAssist: Petter Strand
84'Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren INAbdoulie Jatta out
84'Fidel Brice Ambina INMagnus Westergaard out
84'Håkon Sjåtil INIvan Nasberg out
90'Alexander Warneryd

Lineups

Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: J. Moesgaard
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: J. Vik
Avg rating7.43
Avg rating5.94
O. Hedvall6.91O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil7.83H. Sjåtil
A. Kiil Olsen7.64A. Kiil Olsen
S. Jarl7.455S. Jarl
D. Gjengaar8.826D. Gjengaar
P. Strand7.724P. Strand
F. Ambina7.129F. Ambina
G. Zahid7.011G. Zahid
L. Haren6.777L. Haren
M. Grundetjern8.217M. Grundetjern
O. Saeter8.290O. Saeter
J. Haugaard6.51J. Haugaard
S. Innvær5.537S. Innvær
V. Skjærvik4.64V. Skjærvik
C. Øyvann6.025C. Øyvann
I. Vådebu6.130I. Vådebu
A. Warneryd4.929A. Warneryd
D. Edvardsson6.75D. Edvardsson
R. Jenssen6.611R. Jenssen
M. Bjørlo5.470M. Bjørlo
L. Olden Larsen6.37L. Olden Larsen
D. Braut6.49D. Braut

Valerenga Substitutes

28M. Westergaard84'for Fidel Brice Ambina7.0
5K. Tshiembe
9G. Rajkovic70'for Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter80'7.4
6V. Hedenstad
15O. Holm62'for Ghayas Zahid7.2
13S. Lønning
37I. Näsberg84'for Håkon Sjåtil7.1
7H. Nielsen
49A. Jatta84'for Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren6.9

Tromso Substitutes

21L. Hien10'for Morten Bjorlo6.3
22H. Larsen65'for Daniel Braut5.9
12O. Lauvli
27M. Mikkelsen
15V. Erlien
17I. Dahlqvist78'for Sander Håvik Innvær5.8
24V. Osuji78'for Casper Oyvann5.7
8J. Grundt65'for Lars Olden Larsen6.3

Match Stats

ValerengaTromso
70%Ball Possession30%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards2
18Total Shots3
9Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots0
12Fouls11
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
837Total Passes358
781Passes Accurate292
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

ValerengaValerenga
TromsoTromso
1601Elo Rating 1652
1.66Attack 1.82
1.52Defense 1.13
42%Hit Rate 41%
18.0Shots per Game 15.9
6.3Shots on Target 5.3
6.5Corners per Game 4.0
2.0Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ValerengaValerenga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
TromsoTromso
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ValerengaValerenga2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
TromsoTromso3Wins · 30%
1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien11/07/2026
TromsoValerenga
40
Eliteserien04/10/2025
ValerengaTromso
10
Eliteserien31/05/2025
TromsoValerenga
21
NM Cupen01/05/2024
ValerengaTromso
1000
Eliteserien03/12/2023
ValerengaTromso
11
Eliteserien09/07/2023
TromsoValerenga
00
Eliteserien21/08/2022
ValerengaTromso
10
Eliteserien12/05/2022
TromsoValerenga
10
Eliteserien21/11/2021
ValerengaTromso
11
Eliteserien15/08/2021
TromsoValerenga
11

Referee Profile

Marius Hansen Grotta118 matches

3.49Cards per match
3.40Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Hansen Grotta3.49
Other referees3.29

3.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.29).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2443:3440
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Valerenga vs Tromso forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valerenga and Tromso in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Tromso are 6th and Valerenga 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Valerenga 39-46, Tromso 43-34. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.