Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Valerenga
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Fredrikstad
Intility Arena, Oslo·Sigurd Smehus Kringstad 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.52
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseHighGap-4.6%
Valerenga Rest
2 days
Fredrikstad Rest
3 days

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad: the result in context

Valerenga and Fredrikstad drew 1-1 in the Eliteserien on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Valerenga tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.6 for Fredrikstad.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.00
X
24%3.72
2
35%3.30
Double Chance
1X
65%1.30
X2
60%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.47
No
38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.53 = 3.02
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
61%1.52
Over 3.5
40%2.31
Under 1.5
18%5.00
Under 2.5
39%2.40
Under 3.5
60%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.9 = 10.4
Over 8.5
66%1.17
Over 9.5
54%1.30
Over 10.5
45%1.57
Under 8.5
34%3.86
Under 9.5
46%2.97
Under 10.5
55%2.21
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
41%-
Over 4.5
23%-
Under 3.5
59%-
Under 4.5
77%-

Match Events

45'Odin Thiago Holm INMagnus Westergaard out
52'Solomon OwusuAssist: Samuel Holm
55'Håvard Nielsen INPetter Strand out
55'Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson INDennis Gjengaar out
61'Bryan Fiabema INLiam West out
69'Solomon Owusu INUlrik Tillung Fredriksen out
73'Ghayas Zahid INGabriel Rajkovic out
76'Sebastian JarlAssist: Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren
82'Isak Helstad Amundsen
82'Card upgrade confirmedIsak Helstad Amundsen
84'Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren INElbasan Rashani out
84'Benjamin Thoresen Faraas INFanuel Ghebreyohannes out
88'Fanuel GhebreyohannesFoul

Lineups

Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: J. Moesgaard
Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.70
O. Hedvall6.11O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil7.03H. Sjåtil
A. Kiil Olsen6.84A. Kiil Olsen
S. Jarl8.155S. Jarl
K. Finnsson6.02K. Finnsson
G. Zahid6.511G. Zahid
O. Holm6.415O. Holm
C. Lange6.410C. Lange
L. Haren6.977L. Haren
M. Grundetjern6.317M. Grundetjern
H. Nielsen6.87H. Nielsen
M. Børsheim6.577M. Børsheim
I. Amundsen6.138I. Amundsen
F. Holmé7.24F. Holmé
S. Owusu8.228S. Owusu
D. Eid6.716D. Eid
S. Leach Holm7.26S. Leach Holm
M. Nilsson6.614M. Nilsson
S. Sørløkk6.213S. Sørløkk
B. Thoresen6.47B. Thoresen
H. Skogvold6.523H. Skogvold
B. Fiabema6.418B. Fiabema

Valerenga Substitutes

26D. Gjengaar55'for Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson6.9
13S. Lønning
37I. Näsberg
9G. Rajkovic73'for Ghayas Zahid6.5
19E. Rashani84'for Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren6.2
90O. Saeter
24P. Strand55'for Håvard Nielsen5.9
5K. Tshiembe
28M. Westergaard45'for Odin Thiago Holm7.1

Fredrikstad Substitutes

10J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
5S. Rafn
37O. Skari Hansen
30J. Torkildsen
11L. West61'for Bryan Fiabema7.0
9S. Laghzaoui
21J. Jezierski
19F. Ghebreyohannes84'for Benjamin Thoresen Faraas88'6.3
12U. Fredriksen69'for Solomon Owusu6.6

Match Stats

ValerengaFredrikstad
48%Ball Possession52%
9Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots3
9Fouls12
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
502Total Passes556
400Passes Accurate451
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ValerengaValerenga
FredrikstadFredrikstad
1583Elo Rating 1618
1.90Attack 1.27
1.63Defense 1.63
44%Hit Rate 17%
19.6Shots per Game 14.2
5.8Shots on Target 3.0
7.7Corners per Game 4.6
1.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ValerengaValerenga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

ValerengaValerenga1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
FredrikstadFredrikstad2Wins · 33%
2.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
Eliteserien12/04/2026
FredrikstadValerenga
11
NM Cupen23/09/2025
ValerengaFredrikstad
12
Eliteserien05/07/2025
ValerengaFredrikstad
11
Eliteserien09/04/2025
FredrikstadValerenga
20
NM Cupen06/10/2024
ValerengaFredrikstad
00

Referee Profile

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad96 matches

3.65Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad3.65
Other referees3.38

3.65 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt23182358:20+3856WWLWW
2VikingViking23182359:22+3756WWWWD
3MoldeMolde23124752:35+1740WDLWW
4TromsoTromso23117542:31+1140DDWLL
5RosenborgRosenborg23114843:31+1237WDWWW
6LillestromLillestrom23113932:31+136WDLWW
7BrannBrann23921240:37+329LLWLL
8FredrikstadFredrikstad23851028:36-829LDDDL
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo23851028:37-929DWWWL
10Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2377928:34-628LWLDD
11ValerengaValerenga23751138:46-826WLDLD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam23751133:48-1526LWLLL
13SandefjordSandefjord23661122:30-824LDWLD
14AalesundAalesund2359939:51-1224WLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK23541423:47-2419LLLLW
16StartStart23441525:54-2916LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2358:2056
2VikingViking2359:2256
3MoldeMolde2352:3540
4TromsoTromso2342:3140
5RosenborgRosenborg2343:3137
6LillestromLillestrom2332:3136
7BrannBrann2340:3729
8FredrikstadFredrikstad2328:3629
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2328:3729
10Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2328:3428
11ValerengaValerenga2338:4626
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2333:4826
13SandefjordSandefjord2322:3024
14AalesundAalesund2339:5124
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2323:4719
16StartStart2325:5416
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Valerenga vs Fredrikstad forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valerenga and Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Fredrikstad are 8th and Valerenga 11th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Valerenga 38-46, Fredrikstad 28-36. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.