Le Havre vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1France France · Regular Season - 1
Le Havre
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Monaco
Stade Oceane, Le Havre·Jeremie Pignard, France 23/08/2026
Le HavreLe Havre
0-1
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+14.4%
Le Havre Rest
7 days
Monaco Rest
2 days

Le Havre vs Monaco: the result in context

Monaco beat Le Havre 1-0 in the Ligue 1 on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.73
X
26%3.75
2
50%1.92
Double Chance
1X
50%1.85
X2
76%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.63
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.65 = 2.81
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.74
Over 3.5
33%2.76
Under 1.5
23%4.15
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.4 + 4.7 = 8.1
Over 8.5
36%1.56
Over 9.5
19%1.94
Over 10.5
7%2.47
Under 8.5
64%2.31
Under 9.5
81%1.80
Under 10.5
93%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.5
72%1.54
Over 4.5
55%2.18
Under 3.5
28%2.38
Under 4.5
45%1.64

Match Events

14'E. DierAssist: Nazinho
20'Amir RichardsonFoul
26'Goal cancelledAmir Richardson
35'Fodé DoucouréFoul
40'Y. Zouaoui INE. K. Vinette out
44'Vincent SassoFoul
57'M. Coulibaly INA. Soubeir out
57'P. Brunner INM. Biereth out
64'Aleksandr GolovinArgument
66'VandersonFoul
70'F. Doucoure INE. Jelert out
70'T. Pembele INS. Nakamura out
70'A. Samatta INJ. Maja out
80'Nazinho INI. Toure out
81'S. Idumbo INO. Konate out
88'S. Ebonog INK. Mizuta out
89'Vanderson INT. Kehrer out

Lineups

Le Havre
3-4-2-1Coach: Didier Digard
Monaco
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Filipe
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating7.18
L. Mpasi-Nzau8.277L. Mpasi-Nzau
T. Pembele6.732T. Pembele
A. Seko6.915A. Seko
V. Sasso6.323V. Sasso
F. Doucoure6.213F. Doucoure
S. Ebonog6.926S. Ebonog
J. Mwanga6.96J. Mwanga
Y. Zouaoui6.518Y. Zouaoui
R. NdiayeC7.014R. Ndiaye
A. Richardson6.27A. Richardson
A. Samatta6.525A. Samatta
L. Hradecky8.01L. Hradecky
Vanderson7.92Vanderson
S. Sane7.272S. Sane
E. Dier8.715E. Dier
Nazinho8.020Nazinho
L. Camara7.78L. Camara
D. ZakariaC7.26D. Zakaria
M. Coulibaly6.528M. Coulibaly
A. Golovin7.210A. Golovin
S. Idumbo6.617S. Idumbo
P. Brunner6.229P. Brunner

Le Havre Substitutes

99M. Diaw
12E. Jelert70'for F. Doucoure6.3
44I. Bouneb
78D. N. Mosengo
30S. Nakamura70'for T. Pembele6.2
9J. Maja70'for A. Samatta6.3
17K. Mizuta88'for S. Ebonog
27E. K. Vinette40'for Y. Zouaoui7.2
33D. Ouziad

Monaco Substitutes

16P. Kohn
5T. Kehrer89'for Vanderson
19P. Cabral
46A. Soubeir57'for M. Coulibaly6.7
49I. Toure80'for Nazinho6.6
47S. Benzahra
14M. Biereth57'for P. Brunner6.9
7M. Detourbet
42O. Konate81'for S. Idumbo6.3

Match Stats

Le HavreMonaco
50%Ball Possession50%
7Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots5
13Fouls12
3Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves3
411Total Passes434
330Passes Accurate351
80%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Le HavreLe Havre
MonacoMonaco
1582Elo Rating 1867
1.43Attack 1.46
0.00Defense 1.98
0%Hit Rate 44%
17.1Shots per Game 11.7
5.4Shots on Target 3.9
5.2Corners per Game 4.0
1.5Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Le HavreLe Havre
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonacoMonaco
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Le HavreLe Havre0Wins · 0%
Draws467%
MonacoMonaco2Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 124/01/2026
Le HavreMonaco
00
Ligue 116/08/2025
MonacoLe Havre
31
Ligue 126/04/2025
Le HavreMonaco
11
Ligue 122/09/2024
MonacoLe Havre
31
Ligue 104/02/2024
MonacoLe Havre
11
Ligue 111/11/2023
Le HavreMonaco
00

Recent Form

Le HavreLe Havre
3W4D3L
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
W
04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
10
L
31/07/2026
Le HavreLaval
11
D
25/07/2026
Le HavreRED Star FC 93
21
W
17/07/2026
Le HavreAmiens
12
L
17/05/2026
LorientLe Havre
02
W
10/05/2026
Le HavreMarseille
01
L
03/05/2026
LilleLe Havre
11
D
26/04/2026
Le HavreMetz
44
D
18/04/2026
AngersLe Havre
11
D
MonacoMonaco
5W1D4L
20/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
23
W
14/08/2026
CoventryMonaco
20
L
09/08/2026
LiverpoolMonaco
23
W
06/08/2026
MonacoGetafe
10
W
31/07/2026
MonacoCercle Brugge
22
D
25/07/2026
Sporting CPMonaco
20
L
18/07/2026
MonacoSaint-Priest
52
W
17/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
L
10/05/2026
MonacoLille
01
L
02/05/2026
MetzMonaco
12
W

Referee Profile

Jeremie Pignard162 matches

4.42Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeremie Pignard4.41
Other referees3.92

4.41 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).

Cards come from 153 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
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About the Le Havre vs Monaco forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Le Havre and Monaco in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco are 7th and Le Havre 18th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Le Havre 9-22, Monaco 13-11. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.