Strasbourg vs Lens Prediction

Strasbourg
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Lens
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg·Bastien Dechepy, France 29/08/2026
StrasbourgStrasbourg
2-1
Finished
LensLens

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
2.04
SignalNEUTRALModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
Strasbourg Rest
7 days
Lens Rest
7 days

Strasbourg vs Lens: result, form and history

Strasbourg beat Lens 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 29 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Lens had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Strasbourg.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.80
X
25%3.70
2
52%1.95
Double Chance
1X
48%1.85
X2
77%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.53
No
43%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.71 = 2.89
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.62
Over 3.5
35%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.55
Under 2.5
42%2.32
Under 3.5
65%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.1 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.51
Over 9.5
53%1.86
Over 10.5
41%2.37
Under 8.5
37%2.38
Under 9.5
47%1.88
Under 10.5
59%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
59%1.55
Over 4.5
40%2.11
Under 3.5
41%2.27
Under 4.5
60%1.65

Match Events

36'Jeyland MitchellFoul
38'Florian Thauvin(Penalty)
48'Gessime YassineAssist: Sebastian Nanasi
56'Goal cancelledJacobo Ortega
62'Maik Nawrocki INRuben Aguilar out
69'Franjo IvanovicFoul
72'Michaël Cuisance INAndrija Bulatović out
73'Franjo Ivanovic INThorgan Hazard out
76'Giovanni Reyna INSamuel Amo-Ameyaw out
80'Ruben AguilarFoul
83'Lucas Høgsberg INAbdoul Karim Coulibaly out
83'Jacobo Ortega INSekou Mara out
84'Gessime Yassine
85'Gessime YassineAssist: Sebastian Nanasi
89'Abdallah Sima INFlorian Sotoca out
89'Michał Skóraś INMezian Soares Mesloub out
90'Sebastian Nanasi INMateo Del Blanco out
90'Gessime Yassine INFábio Baldé out

Lineups

Strasbourg
4-2-3-1Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Lens
3-4-2-1Coach: Dino Toppmöller
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.58
F. Jörgensen7.81F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi6.516G. Antwi
J. Mitchell6.24J. Mitchell
A. Omobamidele6.72A. Omobamidele
L. Høgsberg6.924L. Høgsberg
Diogo Sousa6.223D. Sousa
P. Diop6.721P. Diop
Gessime Yassine9.480G. Yassine
G. Reyna7.210G. Reyna
S. Nanasi8.311S. Nanasi
J. Ortega6.530J. Ortega
R. Risser7.240R. Risser
M. Nawrocki6.63M. Nawrocki
I. Ganiou6.925I. Ganiou
S. Sagnan6.831S. Sagnan
M. Skóraś6.722M. Skóraś
Y. Titraoui6.68Y. Titraoui
M. Cuisance6.027M. Cuisance
M. Udol6.314M. Udol
F. Thauvin7.810F. Thauvin
F. Ivanović5.929F. Ivanović
A. Sima6.519A. Sima

Strasbourg Substitutes

7S. Amo-Ameyaw76'for Giovanni Reyna6.6
17M. Amougou
19Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé90'for Gessime Yassine
45B. Brantlind
31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly83'for Lucas Høgsberg6.3
15M. Del Blanco90'for Sebastian Nanasi
14S. Mara83'for Jacobo Ortega6.8
28Tyrese Noubissie
12M. Piekutowski

Lens Substitutes

7F. Sotoca89'for Abdallah Sima6.3
38Mezian Mesloub89'for Michał Skóraś6.2
9T. Hazard73'for Franjo Ivanovic6.1
21A. Haidara
18R. Fofana
4N. Čelik
2R. Aguilar62'for Maik Nawrocki80'6.2
5A. Bulatović72'for Michaël Cuisance7.0

Match Stats

StrasbourgLens
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots17
7Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots4
10Fouls11
3Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves5
444Total Passes415
384Passes Accurate354
86%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

StrasbourgStrasbourg
LensLens
1744Elo Rating 1800
1.72Attack 1.08
0.60Defense 0.00
23%Hit Rate 34%
13.5Shots per Game 10.8
5.0Shots on Target 3.7
3.3Corners per Game 4.4
1.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals

Game State Tendencies

StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

StrasbourgStrasbourg3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
LensLens4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 127/02/2026
StrasbourgLens
11
Ligue 122/11/2025
LensStrasbourg
10
Ligue 116/02/2025
LensStrasbourg
02
Ligue 106/10/2024
StrasbourgLens
22
Ligue 110/02/2024
LensStrasbourg
31
Ligue 129/09/2023
StrasbourgLens
01
Ligue 107/04/2023
LensStrasbourg
21
Ligue 111/01/2023
StrasbourgLens
22
Ligue 103/04/2022
StrasbourgLens
10
Ligue 122/09/2021
LensStrasbourg
01

Recent Form

StrasbourgStrasbourg
3W1D6L
21/08/2026
MarseilleStrasbourg
40
L
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
L
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
L
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
L
25/07/2026
StrasbourgBlackburn
02
L
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
L
17/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
W
13/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
12
W
10/05/2026
AngersStrasbourg
11
D
LensLens
7W1D2L
22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
W
16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
10
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
L
01/08/2026
LensVillarreal
31
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
18/07/2026
LensBoulogne
41
W
22/05/2026
LensNice
31
W
17/05/2026
LyonLens
04
W
13/05/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
02
L
08/05/2026
LensNantes
10
W

Referee Profile

Bastien Dechepy29 matches

4.22Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bastien Dechepy4.22
Other referees3.97

4.22 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Strasbourg vs Lens forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Strasbourg and Lens in the Ligue 1 table

Lens and Strasbourg are close in the Ligue 1 table, 11th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Strasbourg 18-22, Lens 17-15. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.