Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction
France · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Lille vs Paris Saint Germain: the result in context
Lille and Paris Saint Germain drew 2-2 in the Ligue 1 on 28 Aug 2026. Lille had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Paris Saint Germain.
Paris Saint Germain have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game. Referee Eric Wattellier averages 3.06 cards a game, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Lille
Avg ratingAvg rating
1B. Özer
22T. Santos
3N. Ngoy
4A. Ribeiro
15R. Perraud
C21B. André
6N. Bentaleb
8E. Mbappé
10H. Arnar Haraldsson
27F. Correia
9O. Giroud
39M. Safonov
2A. Hakimi
C5Marquinhos
51W. Pacho
33W. Zaïre-Emery
17Vitinha
4L. Beraldo
8F. Ruiz
11M. Akliouche
9F. Torres
14D. DouéLille Substitutes
Paris Saint Germain Substitutes
Match Stats
LilleParis Saint Germain Team Comparison
LilleParis Saint GermainAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lille- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Paris Saint Germain- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Lille0Wins · 0%8Wins · 80%Previous meetings
16/01/2026Paris Saint GermainLille05/10/2025LilleParis Saint Germain01/03/2025Paris Saint GermainLille01/09/2024LilleParis Saint Germain10/02/2024Paris Saint GermainLille17/12/2023LilleParis Saint Germain19/02/2023Paris Saint GermainLille21/08/2022LilleParis Saint Germain06/02/2022LilleParis Saint Germain29/10/2021Paris Saint GermainLilleRecent Form
Lille
AngersLille
EvertonLille
Hamburger SVLille
OH LeuvenLilleLille
RAAL La LouvièreLille
Auxerre
MonacoLilleLille
Le Havre
Paris FCLilleLille
NiceParis Saint Germain
RennesParis Saint Germain
LensParis Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Aston VillaParis Saint Germain
Manchester United
MallorcaParis Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
ArsenalParis FCParis Saint GermainLensParis Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Bayern MünchenParis Saint GermainReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.06 cards a match, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.96).
Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 20 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 5 |  Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 22:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 22:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 9:22 | 2 |
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About the Lille vs Paris Saint Germain forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lille and Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the Ligue 1, 2 points ahead of Lille in 2nd. League goal record so far: Lille 14-7, Paris Saint Germain 22-10. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Paris Saint Germain have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.