Auxerre vs Angers Prediction

Ligue 1France France · Regular Season - 2
Auxerre
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Angers
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre·Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France 29/08/2026
AuxerreAuxerre
1-3
Finished
AngersAngers

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.2%
Auxerre Rest
7 days
Angers Rest
6 days

Auxerre vs Angers: the result in context

Angers beat Auxerre 3-1 in the Ligue 1 on 29 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Angers had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Auxerre.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.05
X
30%3.40
2
27%3.85
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
57%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.80
No
43%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.32 = 2.71
Over 1.5
74%1.33
Over 2.5
53%2.02
Over 3.5
28%3.48
Under 1.5
26%3.25
Under 2.5
47%1.80
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.8 = 9.7
Over 8.5
58%1.58
Over 9.5
49%1.98
Over 10.5
36%2.54
Under 8.5
42%2.20
Under 9.5
51%1.75
Under 10.5
64%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.73
Over 4.5
30%2.23
Under 3.5
45%2.01
Under 4.5
70%1.59

Match Events

5'B. van den Boomen
28'B. van den BoomenFoul
35'R. Labeau LascaryAssist: R. Faivre
42'Goal Disallowed - FoulD. Namaso
50'E. LegrosFoul
61'R. Labeau Lascary INF. Oppegard out
62'E. Legros INA. Zossou out
67'J. Allevinah INP. Peter out
68'A. Bermont INH. Djibirin out
70'H. DjibirinAssist: A. El Ouazzani
71'D. Namaso INT. Bair out
71'R. Faivre INJ. Casimir out
78'A. El OuazzaniAssist: O. Camara
80'A. Piedfort INL. Dioubate out
81'A. Sbai INU. Simbakoli out
87'C. Arcus INM. Louer out
88'A. El Ouazzani INB. Diatta out
90+3'C. AkpaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+3'P. PeterUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'S. DiomandeFoul

Lineups

Auxerre
4-3-3Coach: Will Still
Angers
4-2-3-1Coach: Stéphane Gilli
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating7.06
M. Diop7.023M. Diop
L. Sy27L. Sy
S. Diomandé6.620S. Diomandé
E. Legros6.935E. Legros
C. Akpa5.992C. Akpa
N. Ahamada7.38N. Ahamada
A. Piedfort6.646A. Piedfort
K. DanoisC7.35K. Danois
R. Faivre7.221R. Faivre
D. Namaso6.310D. Namaso
R. Labeau Lascary7.93R. Labeau Lascary
Anthony Lopes7.91A. Lopes
C. Arcus6.52C. Arcus
O. Camara7.34O. Camara
J. LefortC7.321J. Lefort
J. Kalulu7.017J. Kalulu
Y. Belkhdim7.214Y. Belkhdim
B. van den Boomen7.68B. van den Boomen
J. Allevinah6.518J. Allevinah
A. Sbaï6.610A. Sbaï
A. Bermont6.726A. Bermont
A. El Ouazzani8.719A. El Ouazzani

Auxerre Substitutes

34L. Dioubate80'for A. Piedfort6.3
7J. Casimir71'for R. Faivre7.0
14T. Bair71'replaced by D. Namaso
17P. Ekwah
32R. Mandengue
1P. Nardi
22F. Oppegård61'for R. Labeau Lascary5.9
13T. Siwe
77Aristide Zossou62'for E. Legros6.2

Angers Substitutes

24E. Biumla
36Bane Diatta88'for A. El Ouazzani6.3
11Djibirin Harouna68'for A. Bermont70'8.0
34M. Gernigon
20Marius Louër87'for C. Arcus6.3
9P. Peter67'for J. Allevinah90+3'6.5
40Oumar Pona

Match Stats

AuxerreAngers
60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box11
10Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots5
16Fouls6
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
494Total Passes317
433Passes Accurate254
88%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

AuxerreAuxerre
AngersAngers
1689Elo Rating 1629
1.53Attack 0.84
0.42Defense 0.66
34%Hit Rate 14%
10.7Shots per Game 9.3
4.2Shots on Target 3.2
4.3Corners per Game 3.7
2.1Cards per Game 1.4

Game State Tendencies

AuxerreAuxerre
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AngersAngers
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

AuxerreAuxerre3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
AngersAngers2Wins · 25%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Ligue 103/05/2026
AuxerreAngers
31
Ligue 109/11/2025
AngersAuxerre
20
Ligue 119/01/2025
AngersAuxerre
20
Ligue 124/11/2024
AuxerreAngers
10
Ligue 210/02/2024
AuxerreAngers
10
Ligue 219/08/2023
AngersAuxerre
22
Ligue 112/02/2023
AngersAuxerre
11
Ligue 114/08/2022
AuxerreAngers
22

Recent Form

AuxerreAuxerre
4W3D3L
22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
L
08/08/2026
AuxerreEstac Troyes
11
D
01/08/2026
SochauxAuxerre
11
D
25/07/2026
AuxerreOrleans
12
L
18/07/2026
AuxerreSt Maur Lusitanos
52
W
17/05/2026
LilleAuxerre
02
W
10/05/2026
AuxerreNice
21
W
03/05/2026
AuxerreAngers
31
W
25/04/2026
LyonAuxerre
32
L
19/04/2026
MonacoAuxerre
22
D
AngersAngers
4W2D4L
23/08/2026
AngersLille
02
L
15/08/2026
AngersParis FC
32
W
08/08/2026
AngersLorient
21
W
01/08/2026
AngersLe Mans
23
L
25/07/2026
AngersCreteil
21
W
22/07/2026
AngersLes Herbiers
31
W
17/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Angers
11
D
10/05/2026
AngersStrasbourg
11
D
03/05/2026
AuxerreAngers
31
L
25/04/2026
AngersParis Saint Germain
03
L

Referee Profile

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj125 matches

3.85Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj3.87
Other referees3.92

3.87 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.92).

Cards come from 122 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
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About the Auxerre vs Angers forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Auxerre and Angers in the Ligue 1 table

Auxerre and Angers are close in the Ligue 1 table, 14th and 16th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Auxerre 13-24, Angers 9-19. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.