Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Le Mans
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans· Aurelien Petit, France 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+11.1%
Le Mans Rest
7 days
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.50
X
29%3.35
2
30%2.81
Double Chance
1X
70%1.44
X2
59%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.70
No
43%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.14 = 2.75
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
53%1.93
Over 3.5
28%3.25
Under 1.5
26%3.50
Under 2.5
47%1.89
Under 3.5
72%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.8 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.64
Over 9.5
46%2.06
Over 10.5
34%2.62
Under 8.5
42%2.15
Under 9.5
54%1.69
Under 10.5
66%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.65
Over 4.5
30%2.35
Under 3.5
50%2.17
Under 4.5
70%1.55

Match Events

31'R. Del CastilloAssist: K. Doumbia
43'L. AjorqueFoul
45+2'D. GueyeAssist: L. Mafouta
51'A. LaurayFoul
55'L. MafoutaAssist: A. Bourabaa
62'K. Doumbia
63'L. Mafouta INE. Colas out
63'A. Lauray INL. Bretelle out
63'J. Nonge INM. Diambou out
71'R. Del Castillo INM. Balde out
71'P. Mboup INA. Camblan out
72'A. Bourabaa INB. Brahimi out
72'D. Gueye INW. Harhouz out
81'Y. Larouci INL. Calodat out
89'K. Doumbia INL. C. Laine M. out

Lineups

Le Mans
3-5-2Coach: Patrick Videira
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Nicolas Kocik98N. KocikNicolas Kocik
Noa Boissé15N. BoisséNoa Boissé
Théo Eyoum21T. EyoumThéo Eyoum
Rayan Bamba26R. BambaRayan Bamba
Lucas Buades18L. BuadesLucas Buades
Adil Bourabaa11A. BourabaaAdil Bourabaa
Alexandre Lauray8A. LaurayAlexandre Lauray
Antoine Rabillard9A. RabillardAntoine Rabillard
Yasser Larouci76Y. LarouciYasser Larouci
Dame Gueye25D. GueyeDame Gueye
Louis Mafouta14L. MafoutaLouis Mafouta
Egil Selvik1E. SelvikEgil Selvik
Kenny Lala70K. LalaKenny Lala
Lucas Tousart29L. TousartLucas Tousart
Raphaël Le Guen71R. Le GuenRaphaël Le Guen
Bradley Locko2B. LockoBradley Locko
Joris Chotard13J. ChotardJoris Chotard
Joseph Nonge7J. NongeJoseph Nonge
Romain Del Castillo10R. Del CastilloRomain Del Castillo
Kamory Doumbia23K. DoumbiaKamory Doumbia
Pathé Mboup9P. MboupPathé Mboup
Ludovic Ajorque19L. AjorqueLudovic Ajorque

Le Mans Substitutes

29Lucas BretelleM
28Erwan ColasF
1Ewan HatfoutG
16Raúl TorrenteD
19Djibril SidibéD
22Lucas CalodatD
24Milan RobinM
20William HarhouzF
7Billal BrahimiF

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

6Mamady DiambouM
49Romain CagnonG
20Luc ZogbéD
34Evan MaillyD
4Gautier LlorisD
11Axel CamblanM
33Hamidou MakalouM
32Mathis LainéM
17Mama BaldéF

Match Stats

Le MansStade Brestois 29
51%Ball Possession49%
0Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box0
1Blocked Shots1
11Fouls9
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
318Total Passes296
254Passes Accurate233
80%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Le MansLe Mans
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1675Elo Rating 1701
1.77Attack 1.32
1.32Defense 1.64
14%Hit Rate 23%
9.7Shots per Game 17.3
4.3Shots on Target 5.8
2.9Corners per Game 4.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Le MansLe Mans
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Recent Form

Le MansLe Mans
3W1D1L
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
L
08/08/2026
Le MansUNFP
11
D
01/08/2026
AngersLe Mans
23
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
W
22/07/2026
Le MansVersailles
31
W
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1W2D2L
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
L
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
05/08/2026
Stade BriochinStade Brestois 29
12
W
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
22/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Al Wakrah
02
L

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LilleLille43107:2+510WWDW
2MonacoMonaco43106:2+410DWWW
3RennesRennes43108:5+310WWWD
4LyonLyon42206:2+48DWDW
5Paris FCParis FC42206:2+48DWWD
6StrasbourgStrasbourg42119:8+17DWWL
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2941216:605LWDD
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain41216:605WLDD
9LorientLorient41214:405DWLD
10LensLens41128:7+14DLLW
11AngersAngers41124:5-14DLWL
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes41124:9-54LLWD
13MarseilleMarseille41036:603LLLW
14Le MansLe Mans40317:8-13DDLD
15AuxerreAuxerre41035:11-63WLLL
16Le HavreLe Havre40222:4-22DLDL
17ToulouseToulouse40224:7-32DLDL
18NiceNice40221:5-42LDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1LilleLille47:210
2MonacoMonaco46:210
3RennesRennes48:510
4LyonLyon46:28
5Paris FCParis FC46:28
6StrasbourgStrasbourg49:87
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2946:65
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain46:65
9LorientLorient44:45
10LensLens48:74
11AngersAngers44:54
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes44:94
13MarseilleMarseille46:63
14Le MansLe Mans47:83
15AuxerreAuxerre45:113
16Le HavreLe Havre42:42
17ToulouseToulouse44:72
18NiceNice41:52
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Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ligue 1 fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ligue 1

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Key Factors for This Match

Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29 have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.