Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Le Mans
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans·Aurelien Petit, France 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
Le Mans Rest
7 days
Stade Brestois 29 Rest
6 days

Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29: result, form and history

Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29 drew 2-2 in the Ligue 1 on 22 Aug 2026. Le Mans had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Stade Brestois 29.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.50
X
29%3.35
2
30%2.81
Double Chance
1X
70%1.44
X2
59%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.70
No
43%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.14 = 2.75
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
53%1.93
Over 3.5
28%3.25
Under 1.5
26%3.50
Under 2.5
47%1.89
Under 3.5
72%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.8 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.64
Over 9.5
46%2.06
Over 10.5
34%2.62
Under 8.5
42%2.15
Under 9.5
54%1.69
Under 10.5
66%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.65
Over 4.5
30%2.35
Under 3.5
50%2.17
Under 4.5
70%1.55

Match Events

31'R. Del CastilloAssist: K. Doumbia
43'L. AjorqueFoul
45+2'D. GueyeAssist: L. Mafouta
51'A. LaurayFoul
55'L. MafoutaAssist: A. Bourabaa
62'K. Doumbia
63'L. Mafouta INE. Colas out
63'A. Lauray INL. Bretelle out
63'J. Nonge INM. Diambou out
71'R. Del Castillo INM. Balde out
71'P. Mboup INA. Camblan out
72'A. Bourabaa INB. Brahimi out
72'D. Gueye INW. Harhouz out
81'Y. Larouci INL. Calodat out
89'K. Doumbia INL. C. Laine M. out

Lineups

Le Mans
3-5-2Coach: Patrick Videira
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Lachuer
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.68
Nicolas Kocik6.698N. Kocik
Noa Boissé6.615N. Boissé
Théo Eyoum6.221T. Eyoum
Rayan Bamba6.526R. Bamba
Lucas Buades7.218L. Buades
Adil Bourabaa6.311A. Bourabaa
Alexandre LaurayC6.38A. Lauray
Antoine Rabillard6.29A. Rabillard
Yasser Larouci6.276Y. Larouci
Dame Gueye6.925D. Gueye
Louis Mafouta7.614L. Mafouta
Egil Selvik6.51E. Selvik
Kenny LalaC6.570K. Lala
Lucas Tousart6.229L. Tousart
Raphaël Le Guen6.371R. Le Guen
Bradley Locko6.32B. Locko
Joris Chotard7.013J. Chotard
Joseph Nonge6.77J. Nonge
Romain Del Castillo7.910R. Del Castillo
Kamory Doumbia7.623K. Doumbia
Pathé Mboup6.09P. Mboup
Ludovic Ajorque6.519L. Ajorque

Le Mans Substitutes

29Lucas Bretelle
28Erwan Colas63'for L. Mafouta
1Ewan Hatfout
16Raúl Torrente
19Djibril Sidibé
22Lucas Calodat81'for Y. Larouci
24Milan Robin
20William Harhouz72'for D. Gueye
7Billal Brahimi72'for A. Bourabaa

Stade Brestois 29 Substitutes

6Mamady Diambou63'for J. Nonge
49Romain Cagnon
20Luc Zogbé
34Evan Mailly
4Gautier Lloris
11Axel Camblan71'for P. Mboup
33Hamidou Makalou
32Mathis Lainé89'for K. Doumbia
17Mama Baldé71'for R. Del Castillo

Match Stats

Le MansStade Brestois 29
50%Ball Possession50%
1Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots26
5Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal15
5Shots Inside Box23
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
14Fouls12
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
416Total Passes399
319Passes Accurate312
77%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Le MansLe Mans
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1640Elo Rating 1733
0.68Attack 1.93
1.01Defense 1.90
14%Hit Rate 44%
8.8Shots per Game 12.0
2.2Shots on Target 4.8
2.0Corners per Game 2.7
3.2Cards per Game 1.7

Game State Tendencies

Le MansLe Mans
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

Le MansLe Mans
5W3D2L
15/08/2026
Le MansLe Havre
01
L
08/08/2026
Le MansUNFP
11
D
01/08/2026
AngersLe Mans
23
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
W
22/07/2026
Le MansVersailles
31
W
18/07/2026
Le MansLa Roche VF
23
L
09/05/2026
BastiaLe Mans
02
W
02/05/2026
Le MansReims
11
D
25/04/2026
GrenobleLe Mans
11
D
17/04/2026
Le MansClermont Foot
10
W
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1W4D5L
16/08/2026
Nottingham ForestStade Brestois 29
20
L
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
05/08/2026
Stade BriochinStade Brestois 29
12
W
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
22/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Al Wakrah
02
L
18/07/2026
Stade Brestois 29Concarneau
22
D
17/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Angers
11
D
13/05/2026
Stade Brestois 29Strasbourg
12
L
10/05/2026
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
10
L
03/05/2026
Paris FCStade Brestois 29
40
L

Referee Profile

Aurelien Petit145 matches

3.77Cards per match
3.54Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Aurelien Petit3.77
Other referees3.97

3.77 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1072122:10+1223WWWWW
2LilleLille1063114:7+721WWDDW
3Paris FCParis FC1062217:10+720WWLWL
4MarseilleMarseille1060422:14+818WWWWW
5LyonLyon1052315:9+617LWLWL
6NiceNice1052315:12+317WWWLW
7MonacoMonaco1044213:11+216DLDLD
8RennesRennes1051421:21016LLWLW
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291043318:12+615WWLDW
10LorientLorient104339:8+115WLDWW
11LensLens1041517:15+213LLWWW
12ToulouseToulouse1034315:14+113WLDWD
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1031618:22-410LWLLL
14AuxerreAuxerre1031613:24-1110LLDWL
15Le MansLe Mans1015412:19-78DLDLL
16AngersAngers102269:19-108LLDLL
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes102267:17-108LWDLL
18Le HavreLe Havre100289:22-132LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1022:1023
2LilleLille1014:721
3Paris FCParis FC1017:1020
4MarseilleMarseille1022:1418
5LyonLyon1015:917
6NiceNice1015:1217
7MonacoMonaco1013:1116
8RennesRennes1021:2116
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291018:1215
10LorientLorient109:815
11LensLens1017:1513
12ToulouseToulouse1015:1413
13StrasbourgStrasbourg1018:2210
14AuxerreAuxerre1013:2410
15Le MansLe Mans1012:198
16AngersAngers109:198
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes107:178
18Le HavreLe Havre109:222
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Stade Brestois 29 are 9th and Le Mans 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Le Mans 12-19, Stade Brestois 29 18-12. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stade Brestois 29 have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29 have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.