Lens vs Auxerre Prediction
France · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Lens vs Auxerre: the result in context
Lens beat Auxerre 5-2 in the Ligue 1 on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Lens have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Mathieu Vernice averages 4.50 cards a game, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Lens
Avg ratingAvg rating
40R. Risser
3M. Nawrocki
25I. Ganiou
31S. Sagnan
23S. Abdulhamid
27M. Cuisance
8Y. Titraoui
14M. Udol
C10F. Thauvin
29F. Ivanović
19A. Sima
23M. Diop
27L. Sy
20S. Diomandé
15C. Makosso
92C. Akpa
8N. Ahamada
46A. Piedfort
C5K. Danois
21R. Faivre
10D. Namaso
77A. ZossouLens Substitutes
Auxerre Substitutes
Match Stats
LensAuxerre Team Comparison
LensAuxerreAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lens- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Auxerre- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Lens4Wins · 66%1Wins · 17%Previous meetings
17/01/2026LensAuxerre04/10/2025AuxerreLens27/04/2025LensAuxerre14/12/2024AuxerreLens03/06/2023AuxerreLens14/01/2023LensAuxerreRecent Form
LensLens
Paris Saint GermainLens
SunderlandLens
VillarrealLens
CharleroiLens
BoulogneLens
Nice
LyonLensLensParis Saint GermainLens
NantesNiceLensAuxerreAuxerre
Estac Troyes
SochauxAuxerreAuxerre
OrleansAuxerre
St Maur Lusitanos
LilleAuxerreAuxerreNiceAuxerre
AngersLyonAuxerre
MonacoAuxerreAuxerreNantesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.50 cards a match, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).
Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 20 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 | LLWLW |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 22:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 22:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 9:22 | 2 |
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About the Lens vs Auxerre forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lens and Auxerre in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Lens are 11th and Auxerre 14th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Lens 17-15, Auxerre 13-24. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.