Lille vs Real Betis Prediction

Lille
2-3
Finished
HT 2-1
Real Betis
Stade Pierre-Mauroy·G. Kabakov 08/09/2026
LilleLille
2-3
Finished
Real BetisReal Betis

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Lille Rest
5 days
Real Betis Rest
4 days

Lille vs Real Betis: result, form and history

Real Betis beat Lille 3-2 in the UEFA Champions League on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee G. Kabakov averages 5.46 cards a game, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.21
X
25%3.42
2
25%3.20
Double Chance
1X
76%1.35
X2
50%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.61
No
50%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.09 = 2.74
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.77
Over 3.5
31%2.90
Under 1.5
24%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.07
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.9 = 9.3
Over 8.5
59%1.57
Over 9.5
45%1.98
Over 10.5
33%2.52
Under 8.5
41%2.22
Under 9.5
55%1.75
Under 10.5
67%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.5
76%1.34
Over 4.5
59%1.73
Under 3.5
24%2.94
Under 4.5
41%2.00

Match Events

12'Ayase UedaAssist: Ethan Mbappe
33'Marc BartraAssist: Pablo Fornals
36'AlexsandroAssist: Gaëtan Perrin
45'Nabil Bentaleb INNgal'ayel Mukau out
49'Marc BartraAssist: Isco
53'Troy ParrottAssist: Rodrigo Riquelme
55'Card upgrade confirmedEthan Mbappe
56'Natan Bernardo de SouzaArgument
56'Ethan MbappeViolent conduct
61'Facundo BernalFoul
61'Gaëtan Perrin INDilane Bakwa out
61'Natan Bernardo de Souza INDiego Valentín Gómez out
61'Isco INÁlvaro Fidalgo out
67'Facundo Bernal INMarc Roca out
71'Marc RocaFoul
77'Benjamin André INMaurits Kjaergaard out
77'Ayase Ueda INOlivier Giroud out
81'Rodrigo Riquelme INNelson Deossa out
81'Junior Firpo INFrancisco José García Torres out
88'Romain Perraud INBasar Onal out
90+4'Olivier GiroudDissent

Lineups

Lille
4-2-3-1Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Real Betis
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Pellegrini
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating6.68
B. Özer5.81B. Özer
Tiago Santos6.622T. Santos
N. Ngoy6.13N. Ngoy
Alexsandro Ribeiro7.64A. Ribeiro
R. Perraud6.015R. Perraud
B. André5.521B. André
N. Bentaleb6.66N. Bentaleb
E. Mbappé5.38E. Mbappé
G. Perrin6.528G. Perrin
H. Haraldsson6.410H. Haraldsson
A. Ueda7.618A. Ueda
Álvaro Vallés6.41Á. Vallés
Héctor Bellerín6.12H. Bellerín
Marc Bartra8.85M. Bartra
Natan5.94Natan
Junior Firpo6.523J. Firpo
Pablo Fornals7.78P. Fornals
F. Bernal6.36F. Bernal
Antony7.07Antony
Isco7.522Isco
Rodrigo Riquelme6.617R. Riquelme
T. Parrott7.719T. Parrott

Lille Substitutes

26I. Cossier
24C. Verdonk
7D. Bakwa61'for Gaëtan Perrin6.3
35S. Diaoune
12O. Gill
9O. Giroud77'for Ayase Ueda90+4'6.1
14M. Kjærgaard77'for Benjamin André5.8
17N. Mukau45'for Nabil Bentaleb5.9
23T. Nianzou
19B. Önal88'for Romain Perraud6.3
11O. Sahraoui
2L. Srdanovic

Real Betis Substitutes

18N. Deossa81'for Rodrigo Riquelme6.2
15Álvaro Fidalgo61'for Isco6.0
11Fran García81'for Junior Firpo6.0
16V. Gómez61'for Natan Bernardo de Souza6.2
31Manu González
9C. Hernández
20G. Lo Celso
27J. A. Morante
12Ángel Ortiz
21Marc Roca67'for Facundo Bernal71'5.9
25Dani Ceballos
13Diego Conde

Match Stats

LilleReal Betis
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots6
11Fouls13
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
447Total Passes564
392Passes Accurate494
88%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

LilleLille
Real BetisReal Betis
1812Elo Rating 1882
0.90Attack 1.18
2.00Defense 1.53
23%Hit Rate 39%
11.7Shots per Game 16.0
4.1Shots on Target 5.2
4.8Corners per Game 5.4
1.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LilleLille
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Real BetisReal Betis
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

LilleLille
5W4D1L
03/09/2026
ToulouseLille
01
W
28/08/2026
LilleParis Saint Germain
22
D
23/08/2026
AngersLille
02
W
15/08/2026
EvertonLille
11
D
08/08/2026
Hamburger SVLille
22
D
01/08/2026
OH LeuvenLille
36
W
18/07/2026
LilleRAAL La Louvière
30
W
17/05/2026
LilleAuxerre
02
L
10/05/2026
MonacoLille
01
W
03/05/2026
LilleLe Havre
11
D
Real BetisReal Betis
6W1D3L
04/09/2026
Real BetisReal Madrid
10
W
29/08/2026
LevanteReal Betis
52
L
25/08/2026
ValenciaReal Betis
01
W
21/08/2026
Real BetisReal Sociedad
10
W
15/08/2026
InterReal Betis
10
L
08/08/2026
Real BetisBournemouth
22
D
05/08/2026
ArsenalReal Betis
13
W
01/08/2026
Real BetisAlmeria
10
W
29/07/2026
Real BetisLyon
40
W
25/07/2026
Granada CFReal Betis
10
L

Referee Profile

G. Kabakov226 matches

5.46Cards per match
5.20Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Kabakov5.46
Other referees4.76

5.46 cards a match, 0.70 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain440020:5+1512WWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid440013:7+612WWWW
3ArsenalArsenal43108:3+510WDWW
4ComoComo430119:6+139WWLW
5BarcelonaBarcelona430114:6+89WLWW
6Aston VillaAston Villa430112:6+69LWWW
7Manchester CityManchester City430112:7+59WWLW
8LiverpoolLiverpool430114:10+49LWWW
9Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV430111:7+49WWWL
10Sporting CPSporting CP43018:4+49WLWW
11Real BetisReal Betis43018:6+29LWWW
12Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund43017:5+29WWLW
13Bayern MünchenBayern München422012:5+78WDDW
14VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart42117:4+37LDWW
15InterInter42028:6+26WWLL
16Lask LinzLask Linz420210:9+16WWLL
17Manchester UnitedManchester United42028:806WLLW
18GalatasarayGalatasaray42028:9-16WWLL
19FenerbahçeFenerbahçe41216:11-55WDLD
20AS RomaAS Roma411210:8+24LWLD
21Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk41124:404LLWD
22VikingViking41129:10-14WLDL
23Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid41124:5-14LDWL
24PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven41123:4-14LWLD
25Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt41124:9-54DLWL
26FC PortoFC Porto41036:7-13WLLL
27NapoliNapoli41036:11-53LWLL
28VillarrealVillarreal41038:14-63LLWL
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC41035:11-63LLLW
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig41035:11-63LLWL
31Sabah FASabah FA41034:10-63LLWL
32FeyenoordFeyenoord41034:11-73LLWL
33LensLens41034:16-123LLLW
34Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha40135:9-41LDLL
35LilleLille40134:10-61DLLL
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava40041:17-160LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain420:512
2Real MadridReal Madrid413:712
3ArsenalArsenal48:310
4ComoComo419:69
5BarcelonaBarcelona414:69
6Aston VillaAston Villa412:69
7Manchester CityManchester City412:79
8LiverpoolLiverpool414:109
9Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV411:79
10Sporting CPSporting CP48:49
11Real BetisReal Betis48:69
12Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund47:59
13Bayern MünchenBayern München412:58
14VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart47:47
15InterInter48:66
16Lask LinzLask Linz410:96
17Manchester UnitedManchester United48:86
18GalatasarayGalatasaray48:96
19FenerbahçeFenerbahçe46:115
20AS RomaAS Roma410:84
21Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk44:44
22VikingViking49:104
23Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid44:54
24PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven43:44
25Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt44:94
26FC PortoFC Porto46:73
27NapoliNapoli46:113
28VillarrealVillarreal48:143
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC45:113
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig45:113
31Sabah FASabah FA44:103
32FeyenoordFeyenoord44:113
33LensLens44:163
34Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha45:91
35LilleLille44:101
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava41:170
Champions League

About the Lille vs Real Betis forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Lille and Real Betis in the UEFA Champions League table

In the UEFA Champions League table, Real Betis are 11th and Lille 35th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Lille 4-10, Real Betis 8-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lille and Real Betis have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.