Real Madrid vs Inter Prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueWorld World · League Stage - 1
Cup
Real Madrid
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Inter
M. Oliver 08/09/2026
Real MadridReal Madrid
2-1
Finished
InterInter

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Real Madrid Rest
4 days
Inter Rest
3 days

Real Madrid vs Inter: the result in context

Real Madrid beat Inter 2-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Real Madrid have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.57
X
23%4.50
2
20%5.22
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
43%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.49
No
45%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 1.05 = 3.28
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
63%1.42
Over 3.5
41%2.06
Under 1.5
17%6.00
Under 2.5
37%2.80
Under 3.5
59%1.76
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
59%1.39
Over 9.5
45%1.65
Over 10.5
33%2.06
Under 8.5
41%2.75
Under 9.5
55%2.10
Under 10.5
67%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.74
Over 4.5
27%2.47
Under 3.5
54%2.00
Under 4.5
73%1.47

Match Events

14'Kylian MbappéAssist: Brahim Díaz
23'Federico Valverde
39'Hakan ÇalhanoğluFoul
45'Benjamin Pavard INJohn Stones out
60'Nicolò Barella INPetar Sučić out
60'Hakan Çalhanoğlu INPiotr Zieliński out
60'Marcus Thuram INAnge-Yoan Bonny out
77'Carlos AugustoAssist: Lautaro Martínez
79'Trent Alexander-Arnold INAurelien Tchouameni out
79'Brahim Díaz INYan Diomande out
79'Dean HuijsenArgument
79'Lautaro MartínezArgument
83'Carlos Augusto INHenrikh Mkhitaryan out
87'Vinícius INÁlvaro Fernández Carreras out
90+3'Kylian Mbappé INCarlos Espí out
90+4'Yann BisseckFoul

Lineups

Real Madrid
4-2-3-1Coach: José Mourinho
Inter
3-5-2Coach: C. Chivu
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.86
T. Courtois7.91T. Courtois
D. Dumfries6.524D. Dumfries
I. Konaté6.816I. Konaté
D. Huijsen6.44D. Huijsen
Marc Cucurella7.117M. Cucurella
T. Alexander-Arnold6.512T. Alexander-Arnold
F. Valverde8.28F. Valverde
J. Bellingham6.95J. Bellingham
Brahim Díaz7.721B. Díaz
Kylian Mbappé8.210K. Mbappé
Vinícius Júnior6.67V. Júnior
Josep Martínez7.61J. Martínez
B. Pavard6.528B. Pavard
Y. Bisseck6.631Y. Bisseck
A. Bastoni6.795A. Bastoni
A. Diouf6.417A. Diouf
N. Barella7.123N. Barella
H. Çalhanoğlu7.220H. Çalhanoğlu
C. Jones6.621C. Jones
Carlos Augusto8.230C. Augusto
Lautaro Martínez7.510L. Martínez
M. Thuram6.49M. Thuram

Real Madrid Substitutes

29J. Cestero Sancho
19Carlos Espí90+3'for Kylian Mbappé
18Álvaro Fernández87'for Vinícius6.6
13A. Lunin
26Sergio Mestre
9Endrick
27Thiago Pitarch
33Mario Rivas
22A. Rüdiger
14A. Tchouaméni79'for Trent Alexander-Arnold6.4
25Y. Diomande79'for Brahim Díaz6.7

Inter Substitutes

7P. Zieliński60'for Hakan Çalhanoğlu6.9
25M. Akanji
14A. Bonny60'for Marcus Thuram6.3
12R. Di Gennaro
94F. Esposito
11Luis Henrique
22H. Mkhitaryan83'for Carlos Augusto6.1
49I. Provedel
5A. Stanković
6J. Stones45'for Benjamin Pavard6.5
8P. Sučić60'for Nicolò Barella7.0

Match Stats

Real MadridInter
36%Ball Possession64%
4Corner Kicks11
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots21
8Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal9
14Shots Inside Box15
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
12Fouls10
2Offsides4
7Goalkeeper Saves6
352Total Passes621
305Passes Accurate582
87%Pass Accuracy94%

Team Comparison

Real MadridReal Madrid
InterInter
2033Elo Rating 1987
3.04Attack 2.11
1.81Defense 2.04
100%Hit Rate 86%
13.9Shots per Game 21.4
7.3Shots on Target 7.0
6.2Corners per Game 5.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.29 goals
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Real MadridReal Madrid
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
InterInter
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Real MadridReal Madrid4Wins · 100%
Draws00%
InterInter0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

UEFA Champions League07/12/2021
Real MadridInter
20
UEFA Champions League15/09/2021
InterReal Madrid
01
UEFA Champions League25/11/2020
InterReal Madrid
02
UEFA Champions League03/11/2020
Real MadridInter
32

Recent Form

Real MadridReal Madrid
8W1D1L
04/09/2026
Real BetisReal Madrid
10
L30/08/2026
Real MadridMalaga
40
W26/08/2026
Real MadridReal Sociedad
41
W22/08/2026
EspanyolReal Madrid
12
W
16/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Real Madrid
03
W
12/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaReal Madrid
01
W
08/08/2026
Ferencvarosi TCReal Madrid
12
W
01/08/2026
Real MadridFiorentina
22
D
28/07/2026
Real MadridLeganes
41
W
23/05/2026
Real MadridAthletic Club
42
W
InterInter
7W3D0L
05/09/2026
InterNapoli
32
W30/08/2026
CagliariInter
01
W22/08/2026
InterMonza
41
W
15/08/2026
InterReal Betis
10
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
W
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
01/08/2026
Manchester CityInter
1131
W
26/07/2026
Karlsruher SCInter
12
W
23/05/2026
BolognaInter
33
D
17/05/2026
InterHellas Verona
11
D

Referee Profile

M. Oliver313 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Oliver3.92
Other referees3.94

3.92 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 306 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain330014:5+99WWW
2Aston VillaAston Villa330012:3+99WWW
3LiverpoolLiverpool330012:7+59WWW
4Real MadridReal Madrid330010:5+59WWW
5Real BetisReal Betis33007:4+39WWW
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart32107:2+57DWW
7ArsenalArsenal32106:2+47DWW
8BarcelonaBarcelona320111:6+56LWW
9ComoComo320110:5+56WLW
10Manchester CityManchester City32019:5+46WLW
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV32019:6+36WWL
12Sporting CPSporting CP32017:4+36LWW
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund32015:4+16WLW
14Bayern MünchenBayern München312010:5+55DDW
15AS RomaAS Roma31118:5+34WLD
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid31114:3+14DWL
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk31114:3+14LWD
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven31112:204WLD
19VillarrealVillarreal31028:803LWL
20InterInter31025:6-13WLL
21Manchester UnitedManchester United31025:6-13LLW
22NapoliNapoli31025:7-23WLL
23GalatasarayGalatasaray31026:9-33WLL
24Lask LinzLask Linz31026:9-33WLL
25Sabah FASabah FA31023:6-33LWL
26FeyenoordFeyenoord31024:8-43LWL
27LensLens31023:7-43LLW
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt31024:9-53LWL
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC31023:8-53LLW
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig31023:8-53LWL
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe30213:9-62DLD
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha30124:7-31DLL
33VikingViking30125:9-41LDL
34FC PortoFC Porto30032:6-40LLL
35LilleLille30034:10-60LLL
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava30031:13-120LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain314:59
2Aston VillaAston Villa312:39
3LiverpoolLiverpool312:79
4Real MadridReal Madrid310:59
5Real BetisReal Betis37:49
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart37:27
7ArsenalArsenal36:27
8BarcelonaBarcelona311:66
9ComoComo310:56
10Manchester CityManchester City39:56
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV39:66
12Sporting CPSporting CP37:46
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund35:46
14Bayern MünchenBayern München310:55
15AS RomaAS Roma38:54
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid34:34
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk34:34
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven32:24
19VillarrealVillarreal38:83
20InterInter35:63
21Manchester UnitedManchester United35:63
22NapoliNapoli35:73
23GalatasarayGalatasaray36:93
24Lask LinzLask Linz36:93
25Sabah FASabah FA33:63
26FeyenoordFeyenoord34:83
27LensLens33:73
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt34:93
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC33:83
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig33:83
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe33:92
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha34:71
33VikingViking35:91
34FC PortoFC Porto32:60
35LilleLille34:100
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava31:130

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About the Real Madrid vs Inter forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Madrid and Inter in the UEFA Champions League table

In the UEFA Champions League table, Real Madrid are 4th and Inter 20th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Madrid 10-5, Inter 5-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Madrid have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.