Toulouse vs Lille Prediction
France · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Toulouse vs Lille: the result in context
Lille beat Toulouse 1-0 in the Ligue 1 on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Lille have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee M. Vernice averages 4.50 cards a game, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Toulouse
Avg ratingAvg rating
16G. Restes
22R. Messali
3M. McKenzie
2R. Nicolaisen
12C. Tapé
23C. Cásseres
6A. Vossah
9S. Hidalgo
8T. Jørgensen
37Y. Azizi
13J. Russell-Rowe
1B. Özer
22T. Santos
3N. Ngoy
4A. Ribeiro
24C. Verdonk
21B. André
6N. Bentaleb
8E. Mbappé
10H. Haraldsson
11O. Sahraoui
9O. GiroudToulouse Substitutes
Lille Substitutes
Match Stats
ToulouseLille Team Comparison
ToulouseLilleAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Toulouse- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lille- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Toulouse1Wins · 13%6Wins · 75%Previous meetings
12/04/2026ToulouseLille14/09/2025LilleToulouse12/04/2025ToulouseLille05/10/2024LilleToulouse25/02/2024ToulouseLille12/11/2023LilleToulouse18/03/2023ToulouseLille17/09/2022LilleToulouseRecent Form
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29ToulouseToulouse
LyonToulouse
Hamburger SVToulouse
Real SociedadToulouse
RodezToulouseLyon
StrasbourgToulouseToulouse
Monaco
LensToulouseLensToulouseLilleLille
Paris Saint Germain
AngersLille
EvertonLilleHamburger SVLille
OH LeuvenLilleLille
RAAL La LouvièreLille
AuxerreMonacoLilleLille
Le Havre
Paris FCLilleReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.50 cards a match, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).
Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 20 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 6 |  Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLDWD |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 22:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 22:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 21:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 18:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 9:22 | 2 |
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About the Toulouse vs Lille forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Toulouse and Lille in the Ligue 1 table
In the Ligue 1 table, Lille are 2nd and Toulouse 12th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Toulouse 15-14, Lille 14-7. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.