Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego Prediction

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles·Rubiel Vazquez 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
3 days
San Diego Rest
3 days

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego: result, form and history

Los Angeles Galaxy and San Diego drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. Los Angeles Galaxy had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for San Diego.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.20
X
25%3.92
2
33%2.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
58%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.30
No
29%3.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.33 = 3.16
Over 1.5
87%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.33
Over 3.5
49%1.80
Under 1.5
13%7.70
Under 2.5
31%3.28
Under 3.5
51%1.96
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.49
Over 9.5
55%1.85
Over 10.5
44%2.37
Under 8.5
33%2.46
Under 9.5
45%1.87
Under 10.5
56%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%1.33
Over 4.5
46%1.79
Under 3.5
35%3.12
Under 4.5
54%1.95

Match Events

4'KlaussAssist: Sergi Roberto
10'Anders Dreyer(Penalty)
14'Goal cancelledKlauss
17'Erik ThommyAssist: Harbor Miller
35'Aníbal GodoyFoul
39'Gabriel Pirani
45+1'KlaussFoul
66'Robert Taylor INJoseph Paintsil out
66'Carlos Emiro Garces Torres INJakob Glesnes out
66'Alejandro Alvarado Jr INJeppe Tverskov out
66'Cédric Bakambu INMarcus Ingvartsen out
73'Sergi Roberto INLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole out
78'Gabriel Pirani INOnni Valakari out
81'Harbor Miller INLucas Felipe·Calegari out
83'kieran sargeant INDagur Dan Þórhallsson out
83'Elias Achouri INAmahl Pellegrino out
90+3'Marco ReusArgument

Lineups

Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Coach: Greg Vanney
San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.70
J. Marcinkowski6.312J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller6.826H. Miller
C. Garcés6.525C. Garcés
J. Haak6.515J. Haak
J. Nelson6.114J. Nelson
P. Ruiz6.617P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto6.86S. Roberto
R. Taylor6.421R. Taylor
M. Reus6.318M. Reus
E. Thommy7.427E. Thommy
9999Klauss
P. Sisniega7.813P. Sisniega
O. Verhoeven7.233O. Verhoeven
C. McVey6.497C. McVey
M. Duah6.626M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant6.75K. Sargeant
A. Alvarado6.670A. Alvarado
A. Godoy6.820A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani8.112G. Pirani
A. Dreyer6.910A. Dreyer
C. Bakambu6.294C. Bakambu
E. Achouri6.399E. Achouri

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

3J. Aude
2Calegari81'for Harbor Miller6.1
76T. Elgersma
5J. Glesnes66'for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres6.2
1N. Mićović
28J. Paintsil66'for Robert Taylor6.7
8L. Sanabria73'for Sergi Roberto6.0
22E. Wynder
4M. Yoshida

San Diego Substitutes

7M. Ingvartsen66'for Cédric Bakambu6.5
90A. Pellegrino83'for Elias Achouri6.5
1C. dos Santos
36David Mimbang
25I. Pilcher
8O. Valakari78'for Gabriel Pirani6.0
6J. Tverskov66'for Alejandro Alvarado Jr6.7
14B. B. Zamble
3D. Þór­halls­son83'for kieran sargeant6.1

Match Stats

Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego
31%Ball Possession69%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots15
9Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots5
11Fouls10
2Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves7
341Total Passes789
282Passes Accurate726
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
San DiegoSan Diego
1595Elo Rating 1572
2.31Attack 2.20
0.68Defense 0.22
54%Hit Rate 0%
13.7Shots per Game 14.3
6.8Shots on Target 5.5
4.3Corners per Game 4.8
1.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
San DiegoSan Diego
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
San DiegoSan Diego3Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer30/08/2026
San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy
31
Major League Soccer24/05/2025
San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy
21
Major League Soccer24/02/2025
Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego
02

Referee Profile

Rubiel Vazquez137 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rubiel Vazquez4.02
Other referees4.33

4.02 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps30167763:31+3255WDDLD
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City30149756:41+1551LDWWW
3FC DallasFC Dallas30149755:47+851DWLWD
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes30139852:42+1048DDDWD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo30138941:39+247DDDLD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders301191039:37+242DLWWW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids301161341:41039DDDLD
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake301061445:48-336WDLWL
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers30971451:56-534DLDLL
12San DiegoSan Diego308101253:56-334DDLDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC308101247:55-834WDDLL
14AustinAustin307101338:56-1831LLLDD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City30642036:75-3922LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3063:3155
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3056:4151
3FC DallasFC Dallas3055:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3052:4248
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3041:3947
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3148:3346
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3039:3742
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3143:5240
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3041:4139
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3045:4836
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3051:5634
12San DiegoSan Diego3053:5634
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3047:5534
14AustinAustin3038:5631
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3036:7522
Promotion

About the Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Los Angeles Galaxy and San Diego in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Los Angeles Galaxy are 8th and San Diego 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Los Angeles Galaxy 43-52, San Diego 53-56. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.