Inter Miami vs San Diego Prediction

Inter Miami
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
San Diego
Nu Stadium, Miami·Rosendo Mendoza, USA 21/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
Inter Miami Rest
3 days
San Diego Rest
6 days

Inter Miami vs San Diego: result, form and history

Inter Miami and San Diego drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 21 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Rosendo Mendoza averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.40
X
18%5.60
2
15%5.92
Double Chance
1X
85%1.13
X2
32%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.30
No
31%3.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.81 + 0.96 = 3.77
Over 1.5
93%1.04
Over 2.5
85%1.20
Over 3.5
62%1.50
Under 1.5
7%10.13
Under 2.5
15%4.50
Under 3.5
38%2.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.7 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.67
Over 9.5
51%2.08
Over 10.5
39%2.75
Under 8.5
36%2.10
Under 9.5
49%1.69
Under 10.5
61%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.54
Over 4.5
46%2.00
Under 3.5
35%2.41
Under 4.5
54%1.73

Match Events

12'A. DreyerAssist: J. Tverskov
23'L. Messi
33'I. Murphy
52'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Ingvartsen
62'M. Ingvartsen INC. Bakambu out
65'Y. Bright
69'M. Galarza INA. Shaw out
69'F. Caicedo INS. Reguilon out
74'A. Godoy INA. Alvarado Jr out
74'I. Murphy INC. McVey out
75'L. SuarezAssist: R. de Paul
82'A. Dreyer
82'A. Shaw
88'G. Berterame IND. Pinter out
90'D. Thorhallsson INS. Vines out

Lineups

Inter Miami
4-3-3Coach: Kily Gonzalez
San Diego
3-4-3Coach: Mikey Varas
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating7.07
Dayne St. Clair6.397D. St. Clair
Facundo Mura6.34F. Mura
Casemiro7.35Casemiro
Maximiliano Falcón6.337M. Falcón
Fricio Caicedo6.915F. Caicedo
Rodrigo De Paul6.97R. De Paul
Yannick Bright7.642Y. Bright
Matías Galarza6.380M. Galarza
Lionel MessiC8.710L. Messi
Luis Suárez7.79L. Suárez
Germán Berterame6.919G. Berterame
CJ Dos Santos8.91C. Dos Santos
Manu Duah6.926M. Duah
Ian Pilcher6.725I. Pilcher
Ian Murphy6.732I. Murphy
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson6.93D. Dan Þórhallsson
Jeppe TverskovC7.36J. Tverskov
Aníbal Godoy7.520A. Godoy
Kieran Sargeant6.75K. Sargeant
Anders Dreyer9.210A. Dreyer
Marcus Ingvartsen6.37M. Ingvartsen
Elias Achouri7.099E. Achouri

Inter Miami Substitutes

3Sergio Reguilón69'for F. Caicedo6.3
88Alexander Shaw69'for M. Galarza82'6.7
56Daniel Pinter88'for G. Berterame6.5
34Rocco Ríos Novo
16Micael
2Gonzalo Luján
22David Ayala
20Santiago Morales
59Preston Plambeck

San Diego Substitutes

94Cédric Bakambu62'for M. Ingvartsen6.2
97Christopher McVey74'for I. Murphy6.5
70Alejandro Alvarado Jr74'for A. Godoy6.2
23Sam Vines90'for D. Thorhallsson
18Duran Ferree
8Onni Valakari
19David Vazquez
90Amahl Pellegrino
14Bryan Zamblé

Match Stats

Inter MiamiSan Diego
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal1
11Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
20Fouls10
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
537Total Passes571
470Passes Accurate501
88%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Inter MiamiInter Miami
San DiegoSan Diego
1714Elo Rating 1577
1.78Attack 1.64
1.72Defense 0.94
58%Hit Rate 27%
12.5Shots per Game 15.5
4.6Shots on Target 4.9
2.3Corners per Game 4.6
2.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+137 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.77 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San DiegoSan Diego
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Referee Profile

Rosendo Mendoza130 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rosendo Mendoza4.81
Other referees4.28

4.81 cards a match, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
Promotion

About the Inter Miami vs San Diego forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Inter Miami and San Diego have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.