San Diego vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 25
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego· I. Elfath 14/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44SignalNEUTRALModel41%RiskMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44SignalSTRONGModel74%RiskMediumGap+8.6%
San Diego Rest
3 days
Philadelphia Union Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.63
X24%3.80
234%2.36
Double Chance
1X66%1.54
X258%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes69%1.40
No31%2.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.26 = 3.01
Over 1.586%1.13
Over 2.571%1.44
Over 3.547%2.15
Under 1.514%5.75
Under 2.529%2.63
Under 3.553%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.46
Over 9.546%1.82
Over 10.536%2.20
Under 8.541%2.49
Under 9.554%1.87
Under 10.564%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.568%1.42
Over 4.549%1.89
Under 3.532%2.65
Under 4.551%1.82
Match Events
27'Bruno DamianiFoul
45'Red card cancelledAlejandro Alvarado Jr
45+2'Alejandro Alvarado JrArgument
45+5'Cavan SullivanAssist: Indiana Vassilev
45+7'Neil PierreFoul
60'Onni Valakari INDavid Vazquez out
60'Alejandro Alvarado Jr INAníbal Godoy out
60'Amahl Pellegrino INCédric Bakambu out
61'Cavan SullivanAssist: Indiana Vassilev
67'Bruno DamianiAssist: Francis Westfield
70'Indiana Vassilev INQuinn Sullivan out
73'Elias Achouri INBryan Zamblé out
77'Cavan Sullivan INJesus Bueno out
77'Bruno Damiani INEzekiel Kwame Alladoh out
81'Ian Murphy INDagur Dan Þórhallsson out
86'Neil Pierre INJaphet Sery Larsen out
86'Milan Iloski INMalik Jakupovic out
87'Aníbal GodoyOG
90+1'Oscar VerhoevenFoul
90+4'Malik Jakupovic
Lineups
San DiegoPhiladelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Ryan Richter
18D. FerreeD. Ferree
33O. VerhoevenO. Verhoeven
26M. DuahM. Duah
32I. MurphyI. Murphy
5K. SargeantKieran Sargeant
70A. AlvaradoA. Alvarado
6J. TverskovJ. Tverskov
8O. ValakariO. Valakari
10A. DreyerA. Dreyer
90A. PellegrinoA. Pellegrino
99E. AchouriE. Achouri
18A. BlakeA. Blake
39F. WestfieldF. Westfield
44N. PierreNeil Pierre
26N. HarrielN. Harriel
27K. WagnerK. Wagner
6C. SullivanCavan Sullivan
21D. Jean-JacquesD. Jean-Jacques
4J. LukićJ. Lukić
19I. VassilevI. Vassilev
9B. DamianiB. Damiani
10M. IloskiM. IloskiSan Diego Substitutes
94C. BakambuF
20A. GodoyM
97C. McVeyD
13P. SisniegaG
15P. SomaM
3D. ÞórhallssonD
19D. VazquezM
23S. VinesD
14B. B. ZambleF
Philadelphia Union Substitutes
51M. JakupovicF
76A. RickG
5J. Sery LarsenD
33Q. SullivanM
16B. BenderM
8J. BuenoM
11A. BedoyaM
28A. AnelloF
23E. AlladohF
Match Stats
San DiegoPhiladelphia Union 59%Ball Possession41%
11Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots21
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal12
9Shots Inside Box14
1Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots4
13Fouls15
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
553Total Passes398
468Passes Accurate320
85%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
San DiegoPhiladelphia Union1589Elo Rating 1698
1.38Attack 3.52
0.60Defense 2.69
31%Hit Rate 86%
10.5Shots per Game 18.1
4.8Shots on Target 5.6
5.4Corners per Game 5.9
2.6Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
San Diego- No tendency data available
Philadelphia Union- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1 in first half)
Recent Form
San Diego2W0D3L
Referee Profile
I. Elfath · 76 matches analysed
4.6Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
26.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 71% of referees analysed
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 31 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 44:44 | 31 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | +15 | 46 | DDDDW |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 63:48 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
San Diego vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. San Diego and Philadelphia Union have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.