St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

Citypark, Saint Louis·Joseph Dickerson 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
St. Louis City Rest
10 days
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
14 days

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy: result, form and history

St. Louis City beat Los Angeles Galaxy 6-2 in the Major League Soccer on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Referee Joseph Dickerson averages 5.20 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.47
X
21%4.80
2
17%5.60
Double Chance
1X
82%1.13
X2
38%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.50
No
32%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.3 + 1.25 = 3.55
Over 1.5
87%1.10
Over 2.5
72%1.40
Over 3.5
49%1.98
Under 1.5
13%6.50
Under 2.5
28%2.92
Under 3.5
51%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.1 = 10.3
Over 8.5
65%1.33
Over 9.5
54%1.60
Over 10.5
44%2.00
Under 8.5
35%3.00
Under 9.5
46%2.23
Under 10.5
56%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.44
Over 4.5
38%1.91
Under 3.5
42%2.67
Under 4.5
62%1.82

Match Events

2'Carlo HolseAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
7'Carlo HolseAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
11'Kyogo Furuhashi INKlauss out
21'Carlo HolseAssist: Christopher Durkin
31'Robert TaylorAssist: Erik Thommy
39'Christopher DurkinFoul
45'Rafael Navarro Leal(Penalty)
45'Sergi Roberto INLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole out
45+7'Lukas MacNaughtonAssist: Alexandru Măţan
53'Rafael Navarro LealAssist: Christopher Durkin
60'Robert Taylor INJoseph Paintsil out
60'Pablo Ruiz INMarco Reus out
63'Conrad WallemPersistent infringement
67'Bernardi Julian Ezequiel AudeFoul
71'KlaussAssist: Marco Reus
72'Christopher Durkin INFallou Fall out
74'Harbor MillerFoul
75'Erik Thommy INCarlos Emiro Garces Torres out
80'Rafael Navarro Leal INSimon Becher out
80'Carlo Holse INSang-bin Jung out
80'Conrad Wallem INJaziel Alberto Orozco Landeros out
90+1'Alexandru Măţan INDamion Downs out

Lineups

St. Louis City
3-4-3Coach: Y. Damet
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-3-3Coach: Greg Vanney
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.28
R. Bürki7.41R. Bürki
L. MacNaughton7.45L. MacNaughton
T. Baumgartl6.632T. Baumgartl
D. Polvara6.621D. Polvara
C. Wallem6.46C. Wallem
D. Edelman6.224D. Edelman
C. Durkin7.78C. Durkin
T. Totland6.514T. Totland
C. Holse9.819C. Holse
Rafael Navarro9.59R. Navarro
A. Mățan7.023A. Mățan
J. Marcinkowski5.412J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller5.226H. Miller
J. Glesnes6.05J. Glesnes
J. Haak6.415J. Haak
J. Aude5.53J. Aude
P. Ruiz6.417P. Ruiz
E. Thommy6.827E. Thommy
Sergi Roberto6.16S. Roberto
T. Elgersma6.676T. Elgersma
K. Furuhashi6.57K. Furuhashi
R. Taylor7.821R. Taylor

St. Louis City Substitutes

28M. Perez
20Rafael Santos
11S. Becher80'for Rafael Navarro Leal6.4
42D. Downs90+1'for Alexandru Măţan
27F. Fall72'for Christopher Durkin6.1
77Jeong Sang-Bin80'for Carlo Holse6.5
39B. Lundt
99J. Orozco80'for Conrad Wallem6.1
7T. Ostrák

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

25C. Garcés75'for Erik Thommy5.7
1N. Mićović
14J. Nelson
28J. Paintsil60'for Robert Taylor6.3
18M. Reus60'for Pablo Ruiz6.4
8L. Sanabria45'for Sergi Roberto5.8
4M. Yoshida
2Calegari
99Klauss11'replaced by Kyogo Furuhashi71'

Match Stats

St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy
59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots18
6Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box12
0Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots6
17Fouls10
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
605Total Passes409
542Passes Accurate336
90%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
1732Elo Rating 1595
2.63Attack 2.31
1.66Defense 0.68
50%Hit Rate 54%
12.9Shots per Game 13.7
6.2Shots on Target 6.8
5.3Corners per Game 4.3
1.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+137 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.54 goals
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3Wins · 43%
Draws457%
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
86%3+ goals6 of 7

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer23/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
13
Major League Soccer14/06/2025
St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy
33
Major League Soccer10/03/2025
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
03
Major League Soccer01/09/2024
St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy
21
Major League Soccer17/03/2024
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
33
Major League Soccer11/09/2023
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
22
Major League Soccer11/06/2023
St. Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy
11

Referee Profile

Joseph Dickerson10 matches

5.20Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joseph Dickerson5.20
Other referees4.22

5.20 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps30167763:31+3255WDDLD
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City30149756:41+1551LDWWW
3FC DallasFC Dallas30149755:47+851DWLWD
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes30139852:42+1048DDDWD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo30138941:39+247DDDLD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders301191039:37+242DLWWW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids301161341:41039DDDLD
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake301061445:48-336WDLWL
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers30971451:56-534DLDLL
12San DiegoSan Diego308101253:56-334DDLDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC308101247:55-834WDDLL
14AustinAustin307101338:56-1831LLLDD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City30642036:75-3922LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3063:3155
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3056:4151
3FC DallasFC Dallas3055:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3052:4248
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3041:3947
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3148:3346
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3039:3742
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3143:5240
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3041:4139
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3045:4836
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3051:5634
12San DiegoSan Diego3053:5634
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3047:5534
14AustinAustin3038:5631
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3036:7522
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About the St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

St. Louis City and Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, St. Louis City are 2nd and Los Angeles Galaxy 8th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: St. Louis City 56-41, Los Angeles Galaxy 43-52. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

St. Louis City have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.