Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 5
Machida GION Stadium, Machida 02/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Machida Zelvia Rest
4 days
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
4 days
Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale: the result in context
Machida Zelvia beat Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 in the J1 League on 2 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Machida Zelvia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Kawasaki Frontale.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.90
X26%3.55
223%3.90
Double Chance
1X78%1.25
X249%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.67
No38%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.15 + 0.94 = 3.09
Over 1.583%1.22
Over 2.556%1.75
Over 3.534%2.81
Under 1.517%3.98
Under 2.544%2.05
Under 3.566%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.1 = 9.1
Over 8.561%1.87
Over 9.550%2.33
Over 10.536%3.08
Under 8.539%1.84
Under 9.550%1.49
Under 10.564%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.528%-
Over 4.520%-
Under 3.572%-
Under 4.580%-
Match Events
59'Yasuto WakizakaAssist: Sota Miura
60'Tete Yengi INKoki Ogawa out
64'Derik Lacerda INKyosuke Mochiyama out
64'Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa INAsahi Sasaki out
66'Takuma Nishimura INYusuke Matsuo out
66'Hokuto Shimoda INNeta Lavi out
66'Ryuho Kikuchi INHotaka Nakamura out
75'Koki OgawaAssist: Yuki Soma
78'Tatsuya Ito INKazuya Konno out
81'Koki OgawaAssist: Hotaka Nakamura
88'Neta Lavi INRyohei Shirasaki out
88'Reon Yamahara INYuto Ozeki out
88'Kento Tachibanada INSo Kawahara out
Lineups
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: S. HasebeAvg ratingAvg rating
1K. Tani
50D. Okamura
4R. Kikuchi
3G. Shōji
6H. Mochizuki
16H. Mae
18H. Shimoda
33T. Akimoto
20T. Nishimura
7Y. Soma
99T. Yengi
49S. Brodersen
29R. Yamahara
4P. Romano
3H. Taniguchi
13S. Miura
8K. Tachibanada
6Y. Yamamoto
17T. Ito
14Y. Wakizaka
23Marcinho
97D. LacerdaMachida Zelvia Substitutes
23R. Shirasaki88'replaced by Neta Lavi
5I. Drešević
15M. Duke
31N. Lavi66'for Hokuto Shimoda88'for Ryohei Shirasaki
14Y. Matsuo66'for Takuma Nishimura
13T. Morita
88H. Nakamura66'for Ryuho Kikuchi
9Koki Ogawa60'for Tete Yengi75'81'
8K. Sento
Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes
22F. Uremović
1L. Yamaguchi
5A. Sasaki64'for Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa
16Y. Ozeki88'for Reon Yamahara
20K. Mochiyama64'for Derik Lacerda
28Y. Maruyama
18K. Konno78'for Tatsuya Ito
19S. Kawahara88'for Kento Tachibanada
25Shuto Yamaichi
Match Stats
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale 48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks2
14Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
11Fouls10
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
420Total Passes464
343Passes Accurate386
82%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale1755Elo Rating 1648
1.44Attack 2.28
2.73Defense 1.28
61%Hit Rate 73%
14.6Shots per Game 11.7
5.7Shots on Target 4.3
5.1Corners per Game 3.4
1.1Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+107 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Machida Zelvia- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Kawasaki Frontale- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Machida Zelvia1Wins · 17%Draws350%
Kawasaki Frontale2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%3.7Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6
Previous meetings
17/05/2026Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia5141
28/03/2026Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale3111
31/08/2025Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia53
06/04/2025Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale22
05/10/2024Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale14
07/04/2024Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia01
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia7W2D1L
29/08/2026
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia11
D26/08/2026Machida Zelvia
Grulla Morioka
23/08/2026Machida ZelviaGrulla Morioka30
WMachida Zelvia
Urawa31
W15/08/2026
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia04
W08/08/2026
FC TokyoMachida Zelvia15
W18/07/2026Machida Zelvia
Fujieda MYFC
Machida ZelviaFujieda MYFC21
W06/06/2026Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus2010
W30/05/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia22
D22/05/2026Machida ZelviaUrawa
Machida ZelviaUrawa10
W17/05/2026Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia5141
LKawasaki Frontale4W4D2L
29/08/2026Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
Kyoto Sanga
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba42
W26/08/2026Kawasaki Frontale
Tochigi SC
22/08/2026Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SC31
WSanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale11
D15/08/2026Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga22
D09/08/2026Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale11
D16/07/2026Kawasaki Frontale
Vanraure Hachinohe
Kawasaki FrontaleVanraure Hachinohe00
D06/06/2026Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima01
L30/05/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale21
L24/05/2026Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale13
W17/05/2026Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia5141
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | +25 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31:20 | +11 | 31 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 30 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 29 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Kashima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 16 | WWDDL |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 15 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 | WWDLD |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33:8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 32:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 12:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 14:25 | 8 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba 29/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama 29/08/26
- Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos 29/08/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima 29/08/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa 02/09/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol 02/09/26
- JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama 02/09/26
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima 02/09/26
About the Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Machida Zelvia are 4th and Kawasaki Frontale 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Machida Zelvia 30-10, Kawasaki Frontale 28-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Machida Zelvia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.