Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 4
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo 29/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Tokyo Verdy Rest
3 days
Kashima Rest
3 days
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima: the result in context
Kashima beat Tokyo Verdy 2-0 in the J1 League on 29 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kashima had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Tokyo Verdy.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Kashima tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 3.5 for Tokyo Verdy.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%4.00
X26%3.38
252%1.90
Double Chance
1X48%1.85
X278%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.94
No37%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1.98 = 3.02
Over 1.582%1.37
Over 2.555%2.16
Over 3.532%3.90
Under 1.518%2.90
Under 2.545%1.68
Under 3.568%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.8 = 10.2
Over 8.564%1.64
Over 9.551%2.05
Over 10.542%2.67
Under 8.536%2.14
Under 9.549%1.70
Under 10.558%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7
Over 3.546%-
Over 4.531%-
Under 3.554%-
Under 4.569%-
Match Events
8'Ryoya OgawaFoul
17'Rikuto HiroseFoul
18'Rei HirakawaFoul
36'José Élber Pimentel da SilvaFoul
41'Koki Morita INJoi Yamamoto out
42'Léo CearáAssist: José Élber Pimentel da Silva
45'Issei Kumatoriya INRyosuke Shirai out
50'Léo CearáAssist: Naomichi Ueda
60'Itsuki Someno INSoma Kanda out
72'Rei Hirakawa INKai Shibato out
73'Yuan Matsuhashi INShion Nakayama out
73'José Élber Pimentel da Silva INAleksandar Čavrić out
73'Gaku Shibasaki INKento Misao out
83'Yuta Matsumura INHaruki Hayashi out
83'Rikuto Hirose INKeisuke Tsukui out
88'Matheus Bueno INAnthony Udemba Motosuna out
88'Yuma Suzuki INMinato Yoshida out
90+5'Ryosuke Shirai INGakuto Kawamura out
Lineups
Tokyo VerdyKashima
4-4-2Coach: Toru OnikiAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Vidotto
15K. Suzuki
4N. Hayashi
5R. Inoue
22Y. Uchida
10K. Morita
16R. Hirakawa
40Y. Arai
7Y. Matsuhashi
25I. Kumatoriya
9I. Someno
1T. Hayakawa
37R. Hirose
55N. Ueda
5I. Sekigawa
7R. Ogawa
27Y. Matsumura
10G. Shibasaki
8M. Bueno
17Élber
9L. Ceará
40Y. SuzukiTokyo Verdy Substitutes
28J. Yamamoto41'for Koki Morita
27R. Shirai45'for Issei Kumatoriya90+5'for Gakuto Kawamura
2K. Shibato72'for Rei Hirakawa
29M. Sako
24Shion Nakayama73'for Yuan Matsuhashi
21Y. Nagasawa
36R. Matsuda
30G. Kawamura90+5'replaced by Ryosuke Shirai
38S. Kanda60'for Itsuki Someno
Kashima Substitutes
30M. Yoshida88'for Yuma Suzuki
21T. Yamada
23K. Tsukui83'for Rikuto Hirose
35A. Motosuna88'for Matheus Bueno
6K. Misao73'for Gaku Shibasaki
3Kim Tae-Hyeon
24H. Hayashu83'for Yuta Matsumura
4K. Chida
77A. Čavrić73'for José Élber Pimentel da Silva
Match Stats
Tokyo VerdyKashima 35%Ball Possession65%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
3Total Shots25
1Shots on Goal6
0Shots off Goal13
1Shots Inside Box19
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots6
15Fouls11
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
374Total Passes708
292Passes Accurate624
78%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
Tokyo VerdyKashima1484Elo Rating 1724
1.62Attack 2.11
1.17Defense 1.99
50%Hit Rate 42%
10.3Shots per Game 17.8
3.2Shots on Target 5.9
3.5Corners per Game 8.2
1.3Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Tokyo Verdy- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kashima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Tokyo Verdy2Wins · 33%Draws117%
Kashima3Wins · 50%
3Wins · 50%3.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6
Previous meetings
29/04/2026Tokyo VerdyKashima21
07/03/2026KashimaTokyo Verdy20
30/11/2025Tokyo VerdyKashima01
22/02/2025KashimaTokyo Verdy40
25/08/2024Tokyo VerdyKashima21
12/05/2024KashimaTokyo Verdy33
Recent Form
Tokyo Verdy2W3D5L
26/08/2026Tokyo Verdy
Thespakusatsu Gunma
22/08/2026Tokyo VerdyThespakusatsu Gunma41
W
Fagiano OkayamaTokyo Verdy00
D14/08/2026Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol13
L09/08/2026Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale11
D06/06/2026Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka24
L30/05/2026Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy
Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy11
D24/05/2026Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos06
L16/05/2026
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy01
W13/05/2026
Machida ZelviaTokyo Verdy
Machida ZelviaTokyo Verdy4020
L10/05/2026
FC TokyoTokyo Verdy
FC TokyoTokyo Verdy21
LKashima9W0D1L
26/08/2026Kashima
Suzuka Unlimited
KashimaSuzuka Unlimited30
W22/08/2026Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
15/08/2026KashimaAvispa Fukuoka32
WKashima
Nagoya Grampus21
W07/08/2026Yokohama F. MarinosKashima34
W15/07/2026Kashima
Vegalta Sendai
KashimaVegalta Sendai50
W06/06/2026Kashima
Vissel Kobe
KashimaVissel Kobe20
W30/05/2026Vissel KobeKashima
Vissel KobeKashima50
L23/05/2026KashimaFC Tokyo
KashimaFC Tokyo10
W17/05/2026
JEF United ChibaKashima
JEF United ChibaKashima02
W10/05/2026Yokohama F. MarinosKashima
Yokohama F. MarinosKashima4151
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | +25 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31:20 | +11 | 31 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 30 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 29 | DDDWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 |  Urawa | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 16 | WWDDL |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 15 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33:8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 32:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 12:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 14:25 | 8 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Machida Zelvia vs Urawa 23/08/26
- Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29/08/26
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol 29/08/26
- V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo 29/08/26
- Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba 29/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama 29/08/26
- Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos 29/08/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa 02/09/26
About the Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Tokyo Verdy and Kashima in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Kashima are 6th and Tokyo Verdy 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Tokyo Verdy 12-22, Kashima 29-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.