Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima Prediction

Mito Hollyhock
4-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Kashima
Best Denki Stadium, Mito 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
Mito Hollyhock Rest
4 days
Kashima Rest
4 days

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima: result, form and history

Mito Hollyhock beat Kashima 4-2 in the J1 League on 2 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Kashima had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Mito Hollyhock.

Kashima tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 1.7 for Mito Hollyhock.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
4%4.00
X
23%3.50
2
73%1.82
Double Chance
1X
27%1.91
X2
96%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.77
No
37%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 2 = 3.02
Over 1.5
83%1.28
Over 2.5
56%1.88
Over 3.5
33%3.25
Under 1.5
17%3.50
Under 2.5
44%1.85
Under 3.5
67%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.1 = 10
Over 8.5
61%1.89
Over 9.5
50%2.35
Over 10.5
38%3.20
Under 8.5
39%1.83
Under 9.5
50%1.48
Under 10.5
62%1.26
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Tomoki HayakawaFoul
8'Arata Watanabe(Penalty)
21'Arata WatanabeAssist: Yoshiki Torikai
45'Naomichi Ueda INKim Tae-hyeon out
45'Matheus Bueno INKento Misao out
45'José Élber Pimentel da Silva INAleksandar Čavrić out
48'Arata WatanabeAssist: Taishi Semba
53'Léo CearáAssist: Yuma Suzuki
55'Arata WatanabeAssist: Yoshiki Torikai
62'Yoshiki Torikai INChihiro Kato out
62'Ryo Nemoto INKotaro Uchino out
68'Rikuto Hirose INKyosuke Tagawa out
70'Kotaro UchinoFoul
80'Arata Watanabe INMatheus Leiria Dos Santos out
80'Kaito Taniguchi INHayata Yamamoto out
81'Gaku Shibasaki INKeisuke Tsukui out
83'Léo CearáAssist: Keisuke Tsukui
90+1'Koshi Osaki INRei Ieizumi out

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2Coach: D. Kimori
Kashima
4-4-2Coach: T. Oniki
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.46
K. Nishikawa6.234K. Nishikawa
T. Mase6.225T. Mase
Y. Kimoto6.815Y. Kimoto
A. Kawazura6.44A. Kawazura
S. Omori6.17S. Omori
Y. Torikai7.411Y. Torikai
K. Osaki6.13K. Osaki
T. Semba6.919T. Semba
K. Taniguchi6.322K. Taniguchi
R. Nemoto6.59R. Nemoto
A. Watanabe9.9410A. Watanabe
T. Hayakawa5.61T. Hayakawa
R. Hirose6.237R. Hirose
N. Ueda6.355N. Ueda
I. Sekigawa6.55I. Sekigawa
R. Ogawa6.17R. Ogawa
Y. Matsumura5.827Y. Matsumura
G. Shibasaki7.210G. Shibasaki
Matheus Bueno6.48M. Bueno
Élber5.717Élber
Y. Suzuki7.140Y. Suzuki
Léo Ceará9.09L. Ceará

Mito Hollyhock Substitutes

39H. Yamamoto80'for Kaito Taniguchi6.0
18K. Uchino62'for Ryo Nemoto70'6.4
16Y. Tamura
27J. Słowik
33Patryck Ferreira
70Matheus Leiria80'for Arata Watanabe6.5
8C. Kato62'for Yoshiki Torikai6.1
50R. Ieizumi90+1'for Koshi Osaki5.7
38Hugo Leonardo

Kashima Substitutes

30M. Yoshida
21T. Yamada
23K. Tsukui81'for Gaku Shibasaki6.0
11K. Tagawa68'for Rikuto Hirose6.5
35A. Motosuna
6K. Misao45'for Matheus Bueno6.2
3Kim Tae-Hyeon45'for Naomichi Ueda6.0
24H. Hayashu
77A. Čavrić45'for José Élber Pimentel da Silva6.9

Match Stats

Mito HollyhockKashima
25%Ball Possession75%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal6
3Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots5
7Fouls6
5Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
271Total Passes824
193Passes Accurate722
71%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
KashimaKashima
1423Elo Rating 1724
0.23Attack 2.11
0.00Defense 1.99
0%Hit Rate 42%
5.5Shots per Game 17.8
1.3Shots on Target 5.9
1.7Corners per Game 8.2
1.1Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KashimaKashima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
KashimaKashima1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

J1 League06/05/2026
KashimaMito Hollyhock
30
J1 League04/04/2026
Mito HollyhockKashima
4121

Recent Form

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
1W2D7L
29/08/2026
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
11
D
26/08/2026
Mito HollyhockKyoto Sangyo University
02
L
22/08/2026
Kyoto SangaMito Hollyhock
13
W
15/08/2026
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
11
D
08/08/2026
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
21
L
06/06/2026
Mito HollyhockV-varen Nagasaki
01
L
30/05/2026
V-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
10
L
24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
13
L
16/05/2026
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
01
L
09/05/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
14
L
KashimaKashima
9W0D1L
29/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashima
02
W
26/08/2026
KashimaSuzuka Unlimited
30
W
22/08/2026
KashimaAvispa Fukuoka
32
W
15/08/2026
KashimaNagoya Grampus
21
W
07/08/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKashima
34
W
15/07/2026
KashimaVegalta Sendai
50
W
06/06/2026
KashimaVissel Kobe
20
W
30/05/2026
Vissel KobeKashima
50
L
23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
10
W
17/05/2026
JEF United ChibaKashima
02
W

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo14103133:8+2533WWWDW
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol14101331:20+1131WWWDL
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1493232:10+2230DWWLW
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1485130:10+2029DDDWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1483323:14+927DWDLW
6KashimaKashima1472529:24+523LWLDW
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1457221:15+622DWDDD
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1464428:24+422LLWWW
9UrawaUrawa1471623:29-622DLWWW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1452716:22-617DLLWL
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1445516:25-917WLDDL
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1444619:23-416WWDDL
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1442815:23-814LLDDW
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1435612:22-1014WWWDL
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1442810:23-1314LLLLD
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1434717:22-513DLLWL
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1434716:24-813WWDLD
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1426616:24-812LDDWD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1423912:26-149LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka14221014:25-118DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1433:833
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1431:2031
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1432:1030
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1430:1029
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1423:1427
6KashimaKashima1429:2423
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1421:1522
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1428:2422
9UrawaUrawa1423:2922
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1416:2217
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1416:2517
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1419:2316
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1415:2314
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1412:2214
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1410:2314
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1417:2213
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1416:2413
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1416:2412
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1412:269
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1414:258
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mito Hollyhock and Kashima in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kashima are 6th and Mito Hollyhock 19th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Mito Hollyhock 12-26, Kashima 29-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mito Hollyhock and Kashima have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.