Scotland vs Switzerland Prediction

Scotland
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Switzerland
Hampden Park Stadium, Glasgow·Nenad Minakovic 29/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Scotland Rest
3 days
Switzerland Rest
3 days

Scotland vs Switzerland: result, form and history

Switzerland beat Scotland 3-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 29 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Switzerland had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Scotland.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%4.33
X
26%3.48
2
51%1.87
Double Chance
1X
49%1.92
X2
77%1.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.96
No
54%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 1.45 = 2.51
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.21
Over 3.5
27%4.00
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
53%1.68
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.3 = 8.8
Over 8.5
55%1.83
Over 9.5
44%2.33
Over 10.5
32%3.25
Under 8.5
45%1.93
Under 9.5
56%1.52
Under 10.5
68%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.6 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.67
Over 4.5
33%2.11
Under 3.5
48%2.10
Under 4.5
67%1.67

Match Events

8'Penalty cancelledDan Ndoye
11'Jack Hendry
12'Ricardo Rodríguez
13'Kieron Bowie INStephen Welsh out
45+1'Sébastien PocognoliDissent
55'Nico ElvediAssist: Dan Ndoye
59'Nathan Patterson INBen Gannon-Doak out
59'Billy Gilmour INRyan Christie out
59'Oliver McBurnie INRobbie Ure out
62'Ricardo Rodríguez INSascha Britschgi out
63'Johan Manzambi INFabian Rieder out
70'Ardon Jashari INVincent Sierro out
72'Stephen WelshFoul
74'Andrew Robertson INJosh Doig out
82'Zeki AmdouniAssist: Dan Ndoye
86'Zeki Amdouni INAlvyn Sanches out
86'Dan Ndoye INCédric Itten out

Lineups

Scotland
3-4-1-2Coach: Sébastien Pocognoli
Switzerland
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Yakin
Avg rating6.05
Avg rating7.16
A. Gunn7.01A. Gunn
J. Hendry4.913J. Hendry
S. McKenna6.416S. McKenna
L. Binks6.04L. Binks
N. Patterson5.722N. Patterson
L. Ferguson6.219L. Ferguson
B. Gilmour5.98B. Gilmour
A. Robertson5.83A. Robertson
J.  McGinn5.97J. McGinn
K. Bowie6.220K. Bowie
O. McBurnie6.59O. McBurnie
G. Kobel6.61G. Kobel
Z. Athekame7.216Z. Athekame
N. Elvedi8.04N. Elvedi
M. Akanji7.65M. Akanji
R. Rodríguez7.513R. Rodríguez
R. Freuler7.28R. Freuler
A. Jashari6.914A. Jashari
M. Aebischer7.320M. Aebischer
J. Manzambi6.89J. Manzambi
D. Ndoye8.611D. Ndoye
Z. Amdouni8.210Z. Amdouni

Scotland Substitutes

11R. Christie59'for Billy Gilmour5.6
15J. McPake
23Kristi Montgomery
14L. Miller
21S. Bain
6J. Doig74'for Andrew Robertson6.1
17B. Doak59'for Nathan Patterson6.3
10R. Ure59'for Oliver McBurnie6.3
5S. Welsh13'for Kieron Bowie72'6.0
18L. Graham
2A. Hickey
12L. Kelly

Switzerland Substitutes

2S. Britschgi62'for Ricardo Rodríguez6.3
18E. Cömert
17C. Itten86'for Dan Ndoye6.5
21M. Keller
12Y. Mvogo
22F. Rieder63'for Johan Manzambi6.7
23A. Sanches86'for Zeki Amdouni6.6
7I. Schmidt
6V. Sierro70'for Ardon Jashari6.9
15D. Sow
3A. Bajrami
19Winsley Boteli Mokango

Match Stats

ScotlandSwitzerland
23%Ball Possession77%
2Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
2Total Shots23
0Shots on Goal9
2Shots off Goal10
1Shots Inside Box9
1Shots Outside Box14
0Blocked Shots4
14Fouls13
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves0
216Total Passes732
160Passes Accurate688
13Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

ScotlandScotland
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
1602Elo Rating 1786
0.73Attack 2.49
1.45Defense 2.63
23%Hit Rate 86%
14.1Shots per Game 17.9
5.4Shots on Target 7.5
4.4Corners per Game 5.4
1.7Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ScotlandScotland
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ScotlandScotland0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
SwitzerlandSwitzerland0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Euro Championship19/06/2024
ScotlandSwitzerland
11

Recent Form

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6W1D3L
26/09/2026
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ScotlandGreece
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Referee Profile

Nenad Minakovic145 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
29.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nenad Minakovic4.73
Other referees4.44

4.73 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.44).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland440011:1+1012WWWW
2SloveniaSlovenia42115:3+27WLWD
3ScotlandScotland41123:5-24LWLD
4FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland411:112
2SloveniaSlovenia45:37
3ScotlandScotland43:54
4FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia40:100
PromotionRelegation

About the Scotland vs Switzerland forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Scotland and Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Switzerland are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 8 points ahead of Scotland in 3rd. League goal record so far: Scotland 3-5, Switzerland 11-1. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Switzerland have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Scotland and Switzerland have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.