Germany vs Serbia Prediction

Germany
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Serbia
Allianz Arena, Munich·Espen Eskas 01/10/2026
GermanyGermany
2-0
Finished
SerbiaSerbia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalHIGHModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Germany Rest
4 days
Serbia Rest
4 days

Germany vs Serbia: result, form and history

Germany beat Serbia 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Germany tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.1 for Serbia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.20
X
17%6.95
2
8%13.56
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
25%4.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.80
No
51%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 0.92 = 2.98
Over 1.5
85%1.06
Over 2.5
67%1.33
Over 3.5
49%1.86
Under 1.5
15%7.38
Under 2.5
33%3.25
Under 3.5
51%1.97
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.6 = 8.9
Over 8.5
55%1.65
Over 9.5
44%2.04
Over 10.5
33%2.77
Under 8.5
45%2.12
Under 9.5
56%1.66
Under 10.5
67%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.95
Over 4.5
25%2.98
Under 3.5
56%1.80
Under 4.5
75%1.37

Match Events

39'Tom Bischof
45'Serge Gnabry INSaid El Mala out
61'Florian WirtzAssist: Maximilian Mittelstädt
66'Andrija Živković INLazar Samardzic out
67'Strahinja Erakovic INStrahinja Pavlovic out
67'Stefan Džodić INMihajlo Cvetkovic out
67'Dušan Tadić INSaša Lukić out
73'Nemanja GudeljFoul
77'Nick Woltemade INJonathan Burkardt out
77'Derry Lionel Scherhant INBambasé Conté out
77'Tom Bischof INMika Baur out
79'Nemanja MaksimovićFoul
79'Veljko PaunovicDissent
88'Aleksandar Pavlović INVitaly Janelt out
88'Nemanja Maksimović INVasilije Kostov out

Lineups

Germany
4-4-2Coach: J. Klopp
Serbia
5-4-1Coach: V. Paunovic
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.12
J. Urbig6.71J. Urbig
P. Treu7.513P. Treu
W. Anton7.43W. Anton
M. Thiaw7.52M. Thiaw
M. Mittelstädt7.418M. Mittelstädt
S. Gnabry7.620S. Gnabry
A. Pavlović7.25A. Pavlović
T. Bischof8.28T. Bischof
D. Scherhant7.29D. Scherhant
N. Woltemade6.411N. Woltemade
F. Wirtz8.217F. Wirtz
Đ. Petrović7.11Đ. Petrović
K. Nedeljković5.92K. Nedeljković
S. Eraković6.216S. Eraković
N. Gudelj6.16N. Gudelj
S. Babić5.515S. Babić
F. Kostić6.411F. Kostić
A. Živković6.114A. Živković
N. Maksimović6.45N. Maksimović
S. Džodić5.619S. Džodić
D. Tadić5.910D. Tadić
L. Jović6.28L. Jović

Germany Substitutes

16R. Baku
22D. Raum
15L. Karl
4Finn Jeltsch
23V. Janelt88'for Aleksandar Pavlović6.6
6Y. Engelhardt
7S. El Mala45'for Serge Gnabry6.7
21N. Atubolu
14M. Baur77'for Tom Bischof6.9
10J. Burkardt77'for Nick Woltemade6.5
19B. Conté77'for Derry Lionel Scherhant6.8
12F. Dahmen

Serbia Substitutes

17A. Terzić
18M. Cvetković67'for Stefan Džodić6.3
9D. Joveljić
12F. Stanković
7A. Stanković
13N. Simić
21L. Samardžić66'for Andrija Živković6.6
3S. Pavlović67'for Strahinja Erakovic6.0
4O. Mimović
23V. Milinković-Savić
22S. Lukić67'for Dušan Tadić5.8
20V. Kostov88'for Nemanja Maksimović6.0

Match Stats

GermanySerbia
74%Ball Possession26%
12Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
32Total Shots1
8Shots on Goal1
17Shots off Goal0
21Shots Inside Box0
11Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots0
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
739Total Passes265
675Passes Accurate188
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

GermanyGermany
SerbiaSerbia
1760Elo Rating 1598
0.76Attack 0.91
2.50Defense 1.14
23%Hit Rate 14%
19.7Shots per Game 10.3
4.8Shots on Target 4.1
6.7Corners per Game 4.1
1.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GermanyGermany
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SerbiaSerbia
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

GermanyGermany0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
SerbiaSerbia1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

World Cup18/06/2010
GermanySerbia
01

Recent Form

GermanyGermany
6W1D3L
SerbiaSerbia
3W0D7L
27/09/2026
SerbiaNetherlands
12
L
24/09/2026
SerbiaGreece
12
L
05/06/2026
MexicoSerbia
51
L
31/05/2026
Cape Verde IslandsSerbia
30
L
16/11/2025
SerbiaLatvia
21
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
L
14/10/2025
AndorraSerbia
13
W
11/10/2025
SerbiaAlbania
01
L
09/09/2025
SerbiaEngland
05
L
06/09/2025
LatviaSerbia
01
W

Referee Profile

Espen Eskas166 matches

3.56Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Espen Eskas3.56
Other referees3.67

3.56 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.67).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NetherlandsNetherlands42207:5+28WDWD
2GreeceGreece42205:3+28DDWW
3GermanyGermany41213:2+15DWLD
4SerbiaSerbia40043:8-50LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NetherlandsNetherlands47:58
2GreeceGreece45:38
3GermanyGermany43:25
4SerbiaSerbia43:80

About the Germany vs Serbia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Germany and Serbia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Germany are 3rd in the UEFA Nations League, 5 points ahead of Serbia in 4th. League goal record so far: Germany 3-2, Serbia 3-8. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Germany and Serbia have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.