Manchester City vs Ipswich Prediction

Manchester City
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Ipswich
Etihad Stadium, Manchester·Farai Hallam 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
Manchester City Rest
2 days
Ipswich Rest
7 days

Manchester City vs Ipswich: result, form and history

Manchester City beat Ipswich 3-2 in the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Manchester City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Ipswich.

Referee Farai Hallam averages 3.47 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
83%1.25
X
10%6.65
2
7%10.13
Double Chance
1X
93%1.06
X2
18%4.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.62
No
45%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.41 + 0.82 = 3.23
Over 1.5
85%1.07
Over 2.5
70%1.30
Over 3.5
50%1.83
Under 1.5
15%6.95
Under 2.5
30%3.36
Under 3.5
50%1.97
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.9 + 3.3 = 11.2
Over 8.5
74%1.30
Over 9.5
65%1.53
Over 10.5
54%1.91
Under 8.5
26%3.07
Under 9.5
35%2.32
Under 10.5
46%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%2.25
Over 4.5
30%3.40
Under 3.5
51%1.59
Under 4.5
70%1.29

Match Events

19'Phil FodenAssist: Jeremy Doku
21'Daizen MaedaAssist: Abdoul Ouattara
34'Erling HaalandAssist: Mateo Kovačić
50'Mateo Kovačić INEnzo Fernández out
61'Nico O'Reilly INJosko Gvardiol out
69'Erling HaalandAssist: Iliman Ndiaye
71'Florentino Luís INAzor Matusiwa out
71'Daizen Maeda INAbdul Fatawu Issahaku out
73'Abdoul OuattaraFoul
76'Matheus Nunes INAbdukodir Khusanov out
77'Phil Foden INElliot Anderson out
77'Jeremy Doku INAntoine Semenyo out
78'Emersonn INZian Flemming out
78'Julio Enciso INChuba Akpom out
85'Goal cancelledErling Haaland
88'Penalty confirmedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku
90'Zian Flemming(Penalty)
90+1'Jacob Greaves INJack Clarke out
90+7'Josko GvardiolFoul
90+12'Leif DavisFoul

Lineups

Manchester City
4-2-3-1Coach: E. Maresca
Ipswich
3-4-2-1Coach: G. O'Neil
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.43
G. Donnarumma6.01G. Donnarumma
Matheus Nunes6.227M. Nunes
Rúben Dias7.03R. Dias
M. Guéhi6.96M. Guéhi
N. O'Reilly5.833N. O'Reilly
M. Kovačić7.78M. Kovačić
A. Bouaddi6.732A. Bouaddi
I. Ndiaye6.47I. Ndiaye
P. Foden8.247P. Foden
J. Doku7.311J. Doku
E. Haaland9.89E. Haaland
C. Walton6.728C. Walton
D. O'Shea6.126D. O'Shea
I. Diop6.46I. Diop
J. Greaves6.224J. Greaves
A. Ouattara6.842A. Ouattara
Florentino5.912Florentino
E. Palacios6.625E. Palacios
L. Davis6.33L. Davis
D. Maeda7.038D. Maeda
J. Enciso5.810J. Enciso
Emersonn6.319Emersonn

Manchester City Substitutes

17E. Fernández50'for Mateo Kovačić6.5
10R. Cherki
42A. Semenyo77'for Jeremy Doku6.5
37Allan
28G. Rulli
21R. Aït-Nouri
24J. Gvardiol61'for Nico O'Reilly90+7'5.5
45A. Khusanov76'for Matheus Nunes6.2
5E. Anderson77'for Phil Foden6.0

Ipswich Substitutes

2D. Furlong
4C. Kipré
5A. Matusiwa71'for Florentino Luís5.9
7A. Fatawu71'for Daizen Maeda6.5
11J. Philogene
47J. Clarke90+1'for Jacob Greaves
29C. Akpom78'for Julio Enciso6.5
37K. Scherpen
9Z. Flemming78'for Emersonn90'7.7

Match Stats

Manchester CityIpswich
70%Ball Possession30%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots0
8Fouls16
2Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves4
753Total Passes319
679Passes Accurate258
15Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Manchester CityManchester City
IpswichIpswich
2038Elo Rating 1714
3.63Attack 1.75
1.07Defense 0.82
81%Hit Rate 37%
18.9Shots per Game 10.2
6.5Shots on Target 4.1
6.6Corners per Game 3.0
1.0Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+324 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.24 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Manchester CityManchester City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
IpswichIpswich
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Manchester CityManchester City2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
IpswichIpswich0Wins · 0%
5.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League19/01/2025
IpswichManchester City
06
Premier League24/08/2024
Manchester CityIpswich
41

Referee Profile

Farai Hallam131 matches

3.47Cards per match
3.45Yellow cards per match
0.01Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Farai Hallam3.47
Other referees3.97

3.47 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City770019:7+1221WWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal760111:5+618WWLWW
3BrightonBrighton751123:5+1816WWWWD
4ChelseaChelsea741217:13+413WWLDL
5LiverpoolLiverpool73319:8+112WLWDW
6BrentfordBrentford724113:8+510LDWDD
7LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
8EvertonEverton72418:7+110LDWDD
9Hull CityHull City72328:7+19LDLDD
10IpswichIpswich730411:15-49LWLWL
11NewcastleNewcastle722310:14-48LLWLD
12Aston VillaAston Villa72237:11-48WDWLD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United714210:1007DDDLD
14Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace72149:17-87LWDLW
15BournemouthBournemouth71339:13-46WLLDD
16TottenhamTottenham71336:10-46WDLDD
17CoventryCoventry72056:14-86LWWLL
18FulhamFulham71247:10-35WLDDL
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest71245:9-45LLLWD
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City719:721
2ArsenalArsenal711:518
3BrightonBrighton723:516
4ChelseaChelsea717:1313
5LiverpoolLiverpool79:812
6BrentfordBrentford713:810
7LeedsLeeds79:610
8EvertonEverton78:710
9Hull CityHull City78:79
10IpswichIpswich711:159
11NewcastleNewcastle710:148
12Aston VillaAston Villa77:118
13Manchester UnitedManchester United710:107
14Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace79:177
15BournemouthBournemouth79:136
16TottenhamTottenham76:106
17CoventryCoventry76:146
18FulhamFulham77:105
19Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest75:95
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Manchester City vs Ipswich forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manchester City and Ipswich in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Manchester City are 1st and Ipswich 10th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Manchester City 19-7, Ipswich 11-15. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Manchester City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Manchester City and Ipswich have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.