Ipswich vs Sunderland Prediction

Ipswich
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Sunderland
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich·Farai Hallam, England 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.80
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+14.6%
Ipswich Rest
7 days
Sunderland Rest
7 days

Ipswich vs Sunderland: the result in context

Ipswich beat Sunderland 2-1 in the Premier League on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.70
X
25%3.30
2
44%2.65
Double Chance
1X
56%1.46
X2
69%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.70
No
43%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.51 = 2.63
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
52%1.97
Over 3.5
20%3.35
Under 1.5
26%3.40
Under 2.5
48%1.85
Under 3.5
80%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.4 = 8.6
Over 8.5
40%1.48
Over 9.5
37%1.80
Over 10.5
26%2.32
Under 8.5
60%2.50
Under 9.5
63%1.94
Under 10.5
74%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
58%1.85
Over 4.5
39%2.71
Under 3.5
42%1.84
Under 4.5
61%1.40

Match Events

24'EmersonnAssist: J. Enciso
36'D. BallardFoul
39'N. Angulo
55'N. AnguloUnsportsmanlike conduct
59'N. Angulo INC. Talbi out
63'L. O'NienTripping
66'I. Fatawu INK. McAteer out
66'Emersonn INC. Akpom out
67'L. O'Nien INO. Alderete out
67'B. Brobbey INW. Isidor out
71'J. Enciso INJ. Clarke out
80'T. Hume INC. Rigg out
80'E. Le Fee INH. Diarra out
80'D. Maeda INA. Ouattara out
80'M. Nunez INS. W. Egeli out
90'J. ClarkeAssist: S. Lukic

Lineups

Ipswich
4-2-3-1Coach: Gary O'Neil
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Coach: Regis Le Bris
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.53
Kjell Scherpen6.637K. Scherpen
Dara O'SheaC7.326D. O'Shea
Issa Diop5.96I. Diop
Jacob Greaves6.924J. Greaves
Leif Davis6.93L. Davis
Marcelino Núñez7.932M. Núñez
Saša Lukić6.723S. Lukić
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku7.77A. Fatawu Issahaku
Julio Enciso7.610J. Enciso
Daizen Maeda6.238D. Maeda
Emersonn7.919Emersonn
Robin Roefs6.522R. Roefs
Thomas Meunier6.712T. Meunier
Daniel Ballard6.35D. Ballard
Luke O'Nien6.313L. O'Nien
Reinildo Mandava6.717R. Mandava
Noah Sadiki6.927N. Sadiki
Granit XhakaC7.734G. Xhaka
Trai Hume6.332T. Hume
Enzo Le Fée6.228E. Le Fée
Nilson Angulo7.210N. Angulo
Brian Brobbey6.29B. Brobbey

Ipswich Substitutes

20Kasey McAteer66'for I. Fatawu6.7
29Chuba Akpom66'for Emersonn6.3
47Jack Clarke71'for J. Enciso90'7.6
42Abdoul Ouattara80'for D. Maeda6.9
8Sindre Walle Egeli80'for M. Nunez6.3
28Christian Walton
2Darnell Furlong
4Cédric Kipré
30Cameron Humphreys

Sunderland Substitutes

7Chemsdine Talbi59'for N. Angulo6.2
15Omar Alderete67'for L. O'Nien6.2
18Wilson Isidor67'for B. Brobbey6.3
11Chris Rigg80'for T. Hume6.5
19Habib Diarra80'for E. Le Fee6.3
31Melker Ellborg
20Nordi Mukiele
37Jocelin Ta Bi
14Romaine Mundle

Match Stats

IpswichSunderland
38%Ball Possession62%
3Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
12Fouls14
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves1
333Total Passes557
262Passes Accurate489
79%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

IpswichIpswich
SunderlandSunderland
1716Elo Rating 1725
1.49Attack 0.95
1.34Defense 1.24
17%Hit Rate 19%
10.9Shots per Game 15.8
3.5Shots on Target 5.3
2.3Corners per Game 3.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IpswichIpswich
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
SunderlandSunderland
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

IpswichIpswich2Wins · 33%
Draws117%
SunderlandSunderland3Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Championship13/01/2024
IpswichSunderland
21
Championship06/08/2023
SunderlandIpswich
12
League One18/12/2021
IpswichSunderland
11
League One20/11/2021
SunderlandIpswich
20
League One26/01/2021
IpswichSunderland
01
League One03/11/2020
SunderlandIpswich
21

Recent Form

IpswichIpswich
6W2D2L
15/08/2026
Union BerlinIpswich
24
W
08/08/2026
IpswichRayo Vallecano
30
W
04/08/2026
IpswichLe Havre
10
W
01/08/2026
WycombeIpswich
12
W
01/08/2026
Oxford UnitedIpswich
20
L
29/07/2026
IpswichOsasuna
12
L
02/05/2026
IpswichQPR
30
W
28/04/2026
SouthamptonIpswich
22
D
25/04/2026
West BromIpswich
00
D
22/04/2026
CharltonIpswich
12
W
SunderlandSunderland
6W2D2L
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
W
02/08/2026
WrexhamSunderland
01
W
31/07/2026
SunderlandLeeds
01
L
26/07/2026
LiverpoolSunderland
42
L
18/07/2026
YorkSunderland
15
W
24/05/2026
SunderlandChelsea
21
W
17/05/2026
EvertonSunderland
13
W
09/05/2026
SunderlandManchester United
00
D
02/05/2026
WolvesSunderland
11
D

Referee Profile

Farai Hallam133 matches

3.55Cards per match
3.53Yellow cards per match
0.01Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Farai Hallam3.55
Other referees3.97

3.55 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Ipswich vs Sunderland forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ipswich and Sunderland in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Ipswich are 14th and Sunderland 19th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Ipswich 15-20, Sunderland 8-17. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.