Mantova vs Sampdoria Prediction

Serie BItaly Italy · Regular Season - 4
Mantova
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Sampdoria
Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova 13/09/2026
MantovaMantova
2-0
Finished
SampdoriaSampdoria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
Mantova Rest
7 days
Sampdoria Rest
5 days

Mantova vs Sampdoria: result, form and history

Mantova beat Sampdoria 2-0 in the Serie B on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Mantova had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sampdoria.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.25
X
30%3.12
2
32%3.25
Double Chance
1X
68%1.31
X2
62%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.77
No
44%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.02 = 2.53
Over 1.5
75%1.32
Over 2.5
53%2.05
Over 3.5
29%3.55
Under 1.5
25%3.16
Under 2.5
47%1.75
Under 3.5
71%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.72
Over 9.5
54%2.17
Over 10.5
41%2.92
Under 8.5
37%1.98
Under 9.5
46%1.58
Under 10.5
59%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.47
Over 4.5
34%2.00
Under 3.5
47%2.55
Under 4.5
66%1.73

Match Events

16'Fahem Benaissa YahiaFoul
28'Lorenzo InsigneDissent
43'Francesco ModestoDissent
44'Liam HendersonFoul
45'Tjas Begic INOliver Abildgaard out
55'Ettore Gliozzi INVanja Vlahovic out
55'Lorenzo Ignacchiti INJean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo out
57'Gennaro Tutino INTobias Lauritsen out
58'Francesco RuoccoAssist: Alessio Castellini
64'Tobias Lauritsen(Penalty missed)
66'Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba MboyoAssist: Rares Ilie
72'Rares Ilie INDavide Bragantini out
72'Francesco Ruocco INIsmael Cajazzo out
72'Liam Henderson INYann Karamoh out
72'Lorenzo Insigne INDanel Sinani out

Lineups

Mantova
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Modesto
Sampdoria
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Corradi
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.33
F. Bardi6.922F. Bardi
B. Tomašević7.65B. Tomašević
S. Cella7.529S. Cella
A. Castellini8.427A. Castellini
Jonathan Silva6.741J. Silva
L. Ignacchiti7.225L. Ignacchiti
R. Kouda7.280R. Kouda
F. Benaissa-Yahia6.450F. Benaissa-Yahia
R. Ilie7.78R. Ilie
F. Ruocco8.219F. Ruocco
E. Gliozzi6.79E. Gliozzi
P. Vindahl6.51P. Vindahl
A. Di Pardo6.529A. Di Pardo
S. Gartenmann6.63S. Gartenmann
F. Delli Carri6.915F. Delli Carri
M. Cicconi6.47M. Cicconi
L. Henderson5.96L. Henderson
A. Makoumbou6.345A. Makoumbou
T. Begić6.111T. Begić
Y. Verschaeren6.016Y. Verschaeren
L. Insigne5.610L. Insigne
G. Tutino6.499G. Tutino

Mantova Substitutes

71Federico Chinetti
1L. Gemello
30D. Bragantini72'for Rares Ilie6.5
75E. Košpo
58Tommaso Del Lungo
11I. Cajazzo72'for Francesco Ruocco6.9
18S. Keita
20F. Paoletti
10D. Wieser
6J. Mboyo55'for Lorenzo Ignacchiti66'7.8
99V. Vlahović55'for Ettore Gliozzi6.6
7M. Spinaccè

Sampdoria Substitutes

14Yann Karamoh72'replaced by Liam Henderson
9T. Lauritsen57'for Gennaro Tutino6.2
43K. Mbabu
25A. Ferrari
13L. Ravanelli
28O. Abildgaard45'for Tjas Begic6.7
12Andrey Krastev
96S. Massolo
20D. Sinani72'for Lorenzo Insigne6.3

Match Stats

MantovaSampdoria
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls9
5Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
505Total Passes465
427Passes Accurate374
8Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

MantovaMantova
SampdoriaSampdoria
1621Elo Rating 1521
0.89Attack 1.04
1.80Defense 1.45
34%Hit Rate 27%
14.1Shots per Game 12.3
5.2Shots on Target 4.0
4.6Corners per Game 5.5
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MantovaMantova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SampdoriaSampdoria
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

MantovaMantova2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
SampdoriaSampdoria1Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B21/02/2026
MantovaSampdoria
21
Serie B02/11/2025
SampdoriaMantova
01
Serie B25/01/2025
MantovaSampdoria
22
Serie B27/10/2024
SampdoriaMantova
10

Recent Form

MantovaMantova
6W1D3L
06/09/2026
CesenaMantova
11
D
03/09/2026
PalermoMantova
52
L
30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
31
W
22/08/2026
CarrareseMantova
12
W
16/08/2026
LazioMantova
02
W
09/08/2026
MantovaAthletic Carpi
01
L
06/08/2026
Legnago SalusMantova
13
W
30/07/2026
MantovaAlcione
62
W
08/05/2026
FrosinoneMantova
50
L
01/05/2026
MantovaMonza
32
W
SampdoriaSampdoria
3W2D5L
07/09/2026
PalermoSampdoria
31
L
29/08/2026
SampdoriaJuve Stabia
12
L
23/08/2026
CesenaSampdoria
11
D17/08/2026
CremoneseSampdoria
20
L
09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
02
W
01/08/2026
SampdoriaNovara
12
L
23/07/2026
SampdoriaCagliari
00
D
18/07/2026
SampdoriaTaverne
20
W
08/05/2026
ReggianaSampdoria
10
L
01/05/2026
SampdoriaSudtirol
10
W

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9CremoneseCremonese1143414:12+215WWWLL
10PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
11CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
12SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1123614:24-109LLLWD
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9CremoneseCremonese1114:1215
10PadovaPadova1112:1315
11CesenaCesena1112:1415
12SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1114:249
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

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About the Mantova vs Sampdoria forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mantova and Sampdoria in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Mantova are 4th and Sampdoria 15th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Mantova 15-11, Sampdoria 11-18. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.