Palermo vs Mantova Prediction

Coppa ItaliaItaly Italy · Round of 32
CupKnockout
Palermo
5-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Mantova
Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo· D. Di Marco 03/09/2026
PalermoPalermo
5-2
Finished
MantovaMantova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel47%RiskMediumGap-1.3%
Palermo Rest
3 days
Mantova Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.62
X
28%3.92
2
26%5.05
Double Chance
1X
74%1.17
X2
53%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.74
No
48%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.32 = 2.79
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
49%1.75
Over 3.5
28%2.84
Under 1.5
17%4.00
Under 2.5
51%2.06
Under 3.5
72%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Gabriel StrefezzaAssist: Claudio Gomes
14'Simone Trimboli INRachid Kouda out
43'Rares IlieDissent
45+2'Goal cancelledEttore Gliozzi
45+6'Antonio Palumbo(Penalty)
45'Ismael Cajazzo INFrancesco Ruocco out
45'Federico Chinetti INJonathan Silva Pertinhes out
45'Gabriel Strefezza INDennis Johnsen out
52'Francesco Ruocco
55'Rachid KoudaAssist: Rares Ilie
59'Alessandro GabrielloniHandball
60'Ettore Gliozzi INVanja Vlahovic out
61'Alessandro Gabrielloni INJoel Pohjanpalo out
61'Antonio Palumbo INHernani out
61'Giangiacomo Magnani INPatryk Peda out
62'Francesco RuoccoFoul
70'Joel PohjanpaloAssist: Dennis Johnsen
73'Claudio Gomes INJacopo Segre out
77'Tommaso Del Lungo INBodin Tomašević out
89'Dennis JohnsenAssist: Jacopo Segre
90+5'Joel PohjanpaloAssist: Dominic Vavassori

Lineups

Palermo
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Inzaghi
Mantova
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Modesto
M. Fortin14M. FortinM. Fortin
T. Cassandro84T. CassandroT. Cassandro
G. Magnani96G. MagnaniG. Magnani
F. Barba93F. BarbaF. Barba
A. Bozzolan33A. BozzolanA. Bozzolan
C. Gomes6C. GomesC. Gomes
N. Estévez24N. EstévezN. Estévez
Gabriel Strefezza7G. StrefezzaGabriel Strefezza
A. Palumbo5A. PalumboA. Palumbo
D. Vavassori9D. VavassoriD. Vavassori
A. Gabrielloni99A. GabrielloniA. Gabrielloni
F. Bardi22F. BardiF. Bardi
5858T. Del LungoTommaso Del Lungo
S. Cella29S. CellaS. Cella
A. Castellini27A. CastelliniA. Castellini
I. Cajazzo11I. CajazzoI. Cajazzo
S. Trimboli21S. TrimboliS. Trimboli
L. Ignacchiti25L. IgnacchitiL. Ignacchiti
F. Benaissa-Yahia50F. Benaissa-YahiaF. Benaissa-Yahia
Federico Chinetti71F. ChinettiFederico Chinetti
R. Ilie8R. IlieR. Ilie
E. Gliozzi9E. GliozziE. Gliozzi

Palermo Substitutes

29P. PedaD
1M. PerinG
3T. AugelloD
17D. JohnsenF
13M. BaniD
27N. PierozziD
12M. NespolaG
20J. PohjanpaloF
10F. RanocchiaM
32P. CeccaroniD
8J. SegreM
23HernaniM

Mantova Substitutes

12M. GaspariniG
1L. GemelloG
6J. MboyoM
18S. KeitaM
80R. KoudaM
75E. KošpoD
33Cristian MaraiD
20F. PaolettiM
19F. RuoccoM
41Jonathan SilvaM
5B. TomaševićD
99V. VlahovićF
10D. WieserM

Match Stats

PalermoMantova
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots13
9Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots0
9Fouls14
2Offsides6
6Goalkeeper Saves4
336Total Passes441
254Passes Accurate366
13Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

PalermoPalermo
MantovaMantova
1731Elo Rating 1630
2.57Attack 1.94
1.78Defense 1.49
73%Hit Rate 58%
12.7Shots per Game 10.9
5.2Shots on Target 5.5
3.4Corners per Game 3.6
1.8Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+102 Elo
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PalermoPalermo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MantovaMantova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Palermo 31%Draw 69%0% Mantova
2.38Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

PalermoPalermo
4W0D1L
30/08/2026
ArezzoPalermo
23
W
23/08/2026
PalermoJuve Stabia
10
W
17/08/2026
PalermoLecce
20
W
11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
20
L
07/08/2026
Melbourne CityPalermo
02
W
MantovaMantova
4W0D1L
30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
31
W
22/08/2026
CarrareseMantova
12
W
16/08/2026
LazioMantova
02
W
09/08/2026
MantovaAthletic Carpi
01
L
06/08/2026
Legnago SalusMantova
13
W

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Vicenza Virtus13
Catania14
On penalties
Ascoli3
Potenza1
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
Benevento5
Ravenna3
Parma
Seeded
Cagliari
Seeded
Monza
Seeded
Avellino
Seeded
Fiorentina
Seeded
Catanzaro
Seeded
Sudtirol
Seeded
Udinese
Seeded
Padova
Seeded
Venezia
Seeded
Modena
Seeded
Torino
Seeded
Carrarese
Seeded
Frosinone
Seeded
Juve Stabia
Seeded
Genoa
Seeded
Hellas Verona
Seeded
Virtus Entella
Seeded
Lazio
Seeded
Mantova
Seeded
Pisa
Seeded
Empoli
Seeded
Sassuolo
Seeded
Cesena
Seeded
Cremonese
Seeded
Sampdoria
Seeded
Palermo
Seeded
Lecce
Seeded
Parma2
Catania0
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1
Catanzaro23
Sudtirol24
On penalties
Udinese1
Padova0
Venezia3
Modena2
Torino1
Carrarese0
Frosinone4
Juve Stabia1
Genoa4
Ascoli1
Hellas Verona23
Virtus Entella22
On penalties
Lazio0
Mantova2
Pisa14
Empoli13
On penalties
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0
Parma0
Cremonese2
Torino0
Monza1
Sassuolo14
Frosinone13
On penalties
Udinese2
Venezia1
Palermo5
Mantova2
Cagliari1
Hellas Verona2
Genoa1
Sudtirol0
Fiorentina3
Pisa0
Parma0
Cremonese2
Torino0
Monza1
Sassuolo14
Frosinone13
On penalties
Udinese2
Venezia1
Palermo5
Mantova2
Cagliari1
Hellas Verona2
Genoa1
Sudtirol0
Fiorentina3
Pisa0

Palermo vs Mantova Prediction

As a knockout-stage Coppa Italia fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Palermo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Palermo and Mantova have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.38 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.