Palermo vs Mantova Prediction

Palermo
5-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Mantova
Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo·D. Di Marco 03/09/2026
PalermoPalermo
5-2
Finished
MantovaMantova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Palermo Rest
3 days
Mantova Rest
3 days

Palermo vs Mantova: result, form and history

Palermo beat Mantova 5-2 in the Coppa Italia on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.62
X
28%3.92
2
26%5.05
Double Chance
1X
74%1.17
X2
53%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.74
No
48%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.32 = 2.79
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
49%1.75
Over 3.5
28%2.84
Under 1.5
17%4.00
Under 2.5
51%2.06
Under 3.5
72%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Gabriel StrefezzaAssist: Claudio Gomes
14'Simone Trimboli INRachid Kouda out
43'Rares IlieDissent
45'Ismael Cajazzo INFrancesco Ruocco out
45'Federico Chinetti INJonathan Silva Pertinhes out
45'Gabriel Strefezza INDennis Johnsen out
45+2'Goal cancelledEttore Gliozzi
45+6'Antonio Palumbo(Penalty)
52'Francesco Ruocco
55'Rachid KoudaAssist: Rares Ilie
59'Alessandro GabrielloniHandball
60'Ettore Gliozzi INVanja Vlahovic out
61'Alessandro Gabrielloni INJoel Pohjanpalo out
61'Antonio Palumbo INHernani out
61'Giangiacomo Magnani INPatryk Peda out
62'Francesco RuoccoFoul
70'Joel PohjanpaloAssist: Dennis Johnsen
73'Claudio Gomes INJacopo Segre out
77'Tommaso Del Lungo INBodin Tomašević out
89'Dennis JohnsenAssist: Jacopo Segre
90+5'Joel PohjanpaloAssist: Dominic Vavassori

Lineups

Palermo
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Inzaghi
Mantova
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Modesto
Avg rating6.88
Avg rating6.19
M. Fortin6.814M. Fortin
T. Cassandro6.884T. Cassandro
G. Magnani6.496G. Magnani
F. Barba6.993F. Barba
A. Bozzolan6.733A. Bozzolan
C. Gomes7.26C. Gomes
N. Estévez6.124N. Estévez
Gabriel Strefezza7.57G. Strefezza
A. Palumbo6.65A. Palumbo
D. Vavassori7.49D. Vavassori
A. Gabrielloni6.299A. Gabrielloni
F. Bardi6.222F. Bardi
5858T. Del Lungo
S. Cella5.929S. Cella
A. Castellini6.327A. Castellini
I. Cajazzo5.611I. Cajazzo
S. Trimboli5.821S. Trimboli
L. Ignacchiti6.125L. Ignacchiti
F. Benaissa-Yahia6.350F. Benaissa-Yahia
Federico Chinetti6.071F. Chinetti
R. Ilie5.88R. Ilie
E. Gliozzi6.79E. Gliozzi

Palermo Substitutes

29P. Peda61'for Giangiacomo Magnani6.5
1M. Perin
3T. Augello
17D. Johnsen45'for Gabriel Strefezza89'7.7
13M. Bani
27N. Pierozzi
12M. Nespola
20J. Pohjanpalo61'for Alessandro Gabrielloni70'90+5'8.7
10F. Ranocchia
32P. Ceccaroni
8J. Segre73'for Claudio Gomes6.5
23Hernani61'for Antonio Palumbo6.3

Mantova Substitutes

12M. Gasparini
1L. Gemello
6J. Mboyo
18S. Keita
80R. Kouda14'for Simone Trimboli55'7.7
75E. Košpo
33Cristian Marai
20F. Paoletti
19F. Ruocco45'for Ismael Cajazzo52'62'6.7
41Jonathan Silva45'for Federico Chinetti6.6
5B. Tomašević77'replaced by Tommaso Del Lungo5.7
99V. Vlahović60'for Ettore Gliozzi6.3
10D. Wieser

Match Stats

PalermoMantova
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots13
9Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots0
9Fouls14
2Offsides6
6Goalkeeper Saves4
338Total Passes440
257Passes Accurate366
76%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

PalermoPalermo
MantovaMantova
1769Elo Rating 1621
2.15Attack 0.89
1.75Defense 1.80
54%Hit Rate 34%
17.6Shots per Game 14.1
5.3Shots on Target 5.2
3.3Corners per Game 4.6
0.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+148 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PalermoPalermo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MantovaMantova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PalermoPalermo1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
MantovaMantova0Wins · 0%
2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B04/03/2026
PalermoMantova
21
Serie B11/01/2026
MantovaPalermo
11
Serie B16/02/2025
PalermoMantova
22
Serie B30/10/2024
MantovaPalermo
00

Recent Form

PalermoPalermo
6W2D2L
30/08/2026
ArezzoPalermo
23
W
23/08/2026
PalermoJuve Stabia
10
W
17/08/2026
PalermoLecce
20
W
11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
20
L
07/08/2026
Melbourne CityPalermo
02
W
29/07/2026
PalermoIraklis 1908
11
D
25/07/2026
Palermo1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
22/07/2026
PalermoParadiso
70
W
18/07/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04Palermo
10
L
20/05/2026
PalermoCatanzaro
20
W
MantovaMantova
7W0D3L
30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
31
W
22/08/2026
CarrareseMantova
12
W
16/08/2026
LazioMantova
02
W
09/08/2026
MantovaAthletic Carpi
01
L
06/08/2026
Legnago SalusMantova
13
W
30/07/2026
MantovaAlcione
62
W
08/05/2026
FrosinoneMantova
50
L
01/05/2026
MantovaMonza
32
W
25/04/2026
SudtirolMantova
03
W
18/04/2026
MantovaAvellino
02
L

Referee Profile

D. Di Marco97 matches

4.20Cards per match
4.08Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Di Marco4.20
Other referees4.66

4.20 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 50 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
Parma
Seeded
Cagliari
Seeded
Monza
Seeded
Avellino
Seeded
Fiorentina
Seeded
Catanzaro
Seeded
Sudtirol
Seeded
Udinese
Seeded
Padova
Seeded
Venezia
Seeded
Modena
Seeded
Torino
Seeded
Carrarese
Seeded
Frosinone
Seeded
Juve Stabia
Seeded
Genoa
Seeded
Hellas Verona
Seeded
Virtus Entella
Seeded
Lazio
Seeded
Mantova
Seeded
Pisa
Seeded
Empoli
Seeded
Sassuolo
Seeded
Cesena
Seeded
Cremonese
Seeded
Sampdoria
Seeded
Palermo
Seeded
Lecce
Seeded

About the Palermo vs Mantova forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.