Middlesbrough vs Wrexham Prediction

Middlesbrough
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Wrexham
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough· Will Finnie, England 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel64%RiskMediumGap+6.7%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.66
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+10.4%
Middlesbrough Rest
6 days
Wrexham Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.66
X
22%3.85
2
11%4.75
Double Chance
1X
89%1.17
X2
33%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.75
No
54%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.31 = 2.97
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
49%1.78
Over 3.5
30%2.85
Under 1.5
18%3.80
Under 2.5
51%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'L. O'Brien
56'S. Smith
61'W. LankshearAssist: S. Berhalter
65'D. Imray INR. Longman out
67'M. Arfsten ING. Edmundson out
67'J. Sarmiento INK. Joseph out
69'W. Lankshear
72'S. Smith INK. Moore out
72'O. Rathbone INB. Cadamarteri out
72'M. James INB. Whiteman out
76'N. Broadhead IND. Keillor-Dunn out
80'W. Lankshear INF. Cartwright out
85'D. Hyam
90+1'C. Doyle
90+3'M. Whittaker INC. Ibeh out

Lineups

Middlesbrough
4-1-4-1Coach: Kim Hellberg
Wrexham
3-5-2Coach: Phil Parkinson
Solomon Brynn31S. BrynnSolomon Brynn
Callum Brittain2C. BrittainCallum Brittain
Luke Ayling12L. AylingLuke Ayling
Neto Borges30N. BorgesNeto Borges
Maximilian Arfsten17M. ArfstenMaximilian Arfsten
Adilson Malanda29A. MalandaAdilson Malanda
Morgan Whittaker11M. WhittakerMorgan Whittaker
Sebastian Berhalter6S. BerhalterSebastian Berhalter
Leo Castledine19L. CastledineLeo Castledine
Jeremy Sarmiento16J. SarmientoJeremy Sarmiento
Will Lankshear7W. LankshearWill Lankshear
Danny Ward21D. WardDanny Ward
Zak Vyner26Z. VynerZak Vyner
Dominic Hyam5D. HyamDominic Hyam
Callum Doyle2C. DoyleCallum Doyle
Daniel Imray30D. ImrayDaniel Imray
Oliver Rathbone20O. RathboneOliver Rathbone
Matty James37M. JamesMatty James
Lewis O'Brien27L. O'BrienLewis O'Brien
George Thomason14G. ThomasonGeorge Thomason
Sam Smith28S. SmithSam Smith
Nathan Broadhead33N. BroadheadNathan Broadhead

Middlesbrough Substitutes

25George EdmundsonD
22Kyle JosephF
33Jon McLaughlinG
21Seny DiengG
49Josh DedeD
50Jack DaleyD
28Law McCabeM
46Finlay CartwrightM
44Cruz IbehF

Wrexham Substitutes

47Ryan LongmanM
8Ben WhitemanM
11Bailey CadamarteriF
19Kieffer MooreF
1Arthur OkonkwoG
24Dan ScarrD
4Max CleworthD
15George DobsonM
7Davis Keillor-DunnF

Match Stats

MiddlesbroughWrexham
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
469Total Passes505
398Passes Accurate432
85%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
WrexhamWrexham
1710Elo Rating 1662
1.86Attack 0.87
1.20Defense 0.87
61%Hit Rate 17%
16.2Shots per Game 10.1
5.5Shots on Target 2.6
4.5Corners per Game 4.0
1.7Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
WrexhamWrexham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Middlesbrough 0%Draw 100%0% Wrexham
3.08Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0W3D2L
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D
23/05/2026
Hull CityMiddlesbrough
10
L
12/05/2026
SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
1101
L
09/05/2026
MiddlesbroughSouthampton
00
D
WrexhamWrexham
2W1D2L
02/08/2026
WrexhamSunderland
01
L
30/07/2026
LiverpoolWrexham
10
L
26/07/2026
WrexhamLeeds
32
W
18/07/2026
Manchester UnitedWrexham
01
W
11/07/2026
Wisla KrakowWrexham
00
D

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Middlesbrough have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Middlesbrough and Wrexham have met 2 times recently, averaging 3.08 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.