Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town Prediction

Stadium MK, Milton Keynes 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Milton Keynes Dons Rest
7 days
Swindon Town Rest
7 days

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town: the result in context

Milton Keynes Dons beat Swindon Town 2-1 in the FA Cup on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Milton Keynes Dons had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Swindon Town.

Milton Keynes Dons have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.46
X
34%4.53
2
14%5.86
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
48%2.58
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Marvin EkpitetaAssist: Charlie Goode
13'Aaron CollinsAssist: Elijah Campbell
45'Samuel Silvera INGethin Jones out
45'Dan Crowley INBen Wiles out
45+1'Aaron DrinanAssist: James Ball
57'Anthony MundaFoul
62'Joel McGregor INKaelan Majekodunmi out
62'Sam Nombe INCallum Paterson out
63'Anthony Munda INTom Nichols out
73'Matthew Virtue-Thick INOllie Palmer out
73'Joe Snowdon INJaylan Pearman out
80'Aaron Collins INibrahim fullah out
80'Elijah Campbell INCohen Bramall out
81'Tom NicholsFoul
83'Jack SandersFoul
90+1'James Ball INLouis Millard out
90+1'Alex GilbeyFoul

Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons
3-5-2Coach: P. Warne
Swindon Town
3-4-3Coach: Ian Holloway
C. MacGillivray1C. MacGillivray
M. Ekpiteta21M. Ekpiteta
J. Sanders32J. Sanders
C. Goode5C. Goode
S. Silvera17S. Silvera
A. Gilbey8A. Gilbey
R. Wintle24R. Wintle
D. Crowley7D. Crowley
Elijah Xavier Campbell20E. Xavier Campbell
A. Collins10A. Collins
S. Nombe9S. Nombe
C. Ripley1C. Ripley
J. Ball6J. Ball
D. Butler26D. Butler
M. Clark2M. Clark
A. Drinan23A. Drinan
Joel McGregor33J. McGregor
A. Munda27A. Munda
S. Negru5S. Negru
J. Snowdon19J. Snowdon
J. Thomson25J. Thomson
M. Virtue-Thick24M. Virtue-Thick

Milton Keynes Dons Substitutes

4D. Barlaser
15C. Bramall80'for Elijah Campbell
22I. Fullah80'for Aaron Collins
2G. Jones45'for Samuel Silvera
28J. Matete
35C. Nelson
13C. Paterson62'for Sam Nombe
26B. Wiles45'for Dan Crowley
51S. Stacey

Swindon Town Substitutes

7T. Nichols63'for Anthony Munda81'
21K. Majekodunmi62'for Joel McGregor
29A. Hackford
28O. Palmer73'for Matthew Virtue-Thick
22J. Pearman73'for Joe Snowdon
12Lewis Moore Ward
38Lucas Griffiths-Brown
39L. Millard90+1'for James Ball

Match Stats

Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box1
6Fouls11
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
11Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
Swindon TownSwindon Town
1604Elo Rating 1539
3.01Attack 1.29
2.03Defense 2.23
83%Hit Rate 46%
17.8Shots per Game 12.8
5.8Shots on Target 3.7
5.8Corners per Game 4.4
2.0Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Swindon TownSwindon Town
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons7Wins · 88%
Draws112%
Swindon TownSwindon Town0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

League Two14/03/2026
Swindon TownMilton Keynes Dons
12
League Two26/12/2025
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
10
League Two03/05/2025
Swindon TownMilton Keynes Dons
00
League Two09/11/2024
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
31
League Two17/02/2024
Swindon TownMilton Keynes Dons
12
League Two28/10/2023
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
32
League One24/04/2021
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
50
League One29/12/2020
Swindon TownMilton Keynes Dons
14

Recent Form

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
6W2D2L
31/10/2026
Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster
61
W
27/10/2026
Milton Keynes DonsBromley
41
W
24/10/2026
StevenageMilton Keynes Dons
01
W
20/10/2026
BlackpoolMilton Keynes Dons
20
L
17/10/2026
Milton Keynes DonsLuton
21
W
10/10/2026
Milton Keynes DonsReading
15
L
06/10/2026
Milton Keynes DonsBrentford U21
71
W
22/09/2026
Milton Keynes DonsCrawley Town
41
W
17/09/2026
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
00
D
12/09/2026
Milton Keynes DonsPeterborough
11
D
Swindon TownSwindon Town
2W3D5L
31/10/2026
Swindon TownRotherham
21
W
24/10/2026
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
00
D
20/10/2026
BarnetSwindon Town
13
W
17/10/2026
Swindon TownWalsall
11
D
10/10/2026
Swindon TownCrewe
01
L
03/10/2026
RochdaleSwindon Town
10
L
26/09/2026
Swindon TownAccrington ST
11
D
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
L
19/09/2026
Salford CitySwindon Town
10
L
15/09/2026
Swindon TownCrystal Palace U21
12
L

Bracket

About the Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town forecast

As a knockout tie in the FA Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About FA Cup

More FA Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the FA Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Swindon Town have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.