York vs Northampton Prediction

York
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Northampton
York`s LNER Community Stadium, York 07/11/2026
YorkYork
4-0
Finished
NorthamptonNorthampton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseHighGap+1.1%
York Rest
7 days
Northampton Rest
3 days

York vs Northampton: the result in context

York beat Northampton 4-0 in the FA Cup on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Northampton tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 3.5 for York.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.80
X
34%3.62
2
20%4.10
Double Chance
1X
80%1.20
X2
54%1.94
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Ollie Pearce
11'Ollie Pearce
12'Zach Jeacock INJ. Dadge out
29'Alex HuntAssist: Harry Boyes
41'Joe WormleightonFoul
45'Max Dyche INConor McCarthy out
45'Mark Kitching INZech Medley out
61'Hiram Boateng INJ. Stones out
61'Alex Hunt INFrankie Maguire out
61'Harry Boyes INAlex Newby out
66'Elliott List INLogan briggs out
66'Jon Guthrie INjosh powell out
73'Ollie Pearce INjovan malcolm out
81'J. StonesAssist: Joseph Rabole Felix

Lineups

York
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Lindsey
Northampton
4-4-2Coach: C. Hogg
Alfie Shane McNally1A. Shane McNally
R. Fallowfield2R. Fallowfield
Z. Johnson5Z. Johnson
M. Kitching3M. Kitching
J. Felix23J. Felix
A. Hunt8A. Hunt
A. Read16A. Read
H. Boyes12H. Boyes
H. Boateng21H. Boateng
O. Banks28O. Banks
O. Pearce10O. Pearce
Z. Jeacock1Z. Jeacock
J. Maxwell3J. Maxwell
J. Guthrie5J. Guthrie
E. Moore6E. Moore
M. Dyche35M. Dyche
O. Dale19O. Dale
T. Fornah14T. Fornah
L. Evans8L. Evans
J. Wormleighton16J. Wormleighton
Matthew Warhurst9M. Warhurst
E. List10E. List

York Substitutes

32J. Hunt
15J. King
11F. Maguire61'for Alex Hunt
18J. Malcolm73'for Ollie Pearce
4Z. Medley45'for Mark Kitching
30A. Newby61'for Harry Boyes
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
9J. Stones61'replaced by Hiram Boateng81'
7J. Grey

Northampton Substitutes

11K. Simon-Swyer
22Joshua Alan Powell66'for Jon Guthrie
32H. Saunders
15C. McCarthy45'for Max Dyche
24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
26S. Chambers
20L. Briggs66'for Elliott List
31J. Dadge12'for Zach Jeacock

Match Stats

YorkNorthampton
66%Ball Possession34%
4Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal2
0Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots6
6Fouls13
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
12Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

YorkYork
NorthamptonNorthampton
1609Elo Rating 1427
1.46Attack 0.90
0.66Defense 2.34
19%Hit Rate 34%
11.1Shots per Game 12.5
3.2Shots on Target 4.1
3.5Corners per Game 6.0
2.1Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+182 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

YorkYork
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NorthamptonNorthampton
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

YorkYork0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
NorthamptonNorthampton0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Bracket

About the York vs Northampton forecast

As a knockout tie in the FA Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About FA Cup

More FA Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the FA Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

York and Northampton have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.