Newport County vs Walsall Prediction

Newport County
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Walsall
Rodney Parade, Newport 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-2.2%
Newport County Rest
3 days
Walsall Rest
7 days

Newport County vs Walsall: result, form and history

Newport County beat Walsall 3-1 in the FA Cup on 7 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Walsall had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Newport County.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.50
X
31%3.38
2
36%2.62
Double Chance
1X
64%1.44
X2
67%1.49
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Andrew Dallas
19'Kion EteteAssist: Ciaran Brennan
23'Michael Adu-Poku
28'Charlie CrewFoul
30'L. GrantDissent
56'Michael Adu-Poku INAaron Lewis out
59'Mason·HancockTime wasting
60'Kion Etete
63'Charlie Crew INIsaac Moore out
63'Andrew Dallas INTaione Richard Evumena Sodje out
63'Lewis Simper INReece Smith out
76'Aaron Pressley INAlbert Adomah out
79'Cameron Norman INjoe thomas out
88'Reece SmithFoul
90'Matthew Smith INCameron Evans out
90'Yahya Bamba INShaquille Gwengwe out
90'Kion Etete INJames Crole out
90'Courtney Alphonso Clarke INRyan Sjoerdsma out

Lineups

Newport County
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Mullins
Walsall
4-2-3-1Coach: Lee Grant
J. Wright1J. Wright
C. Norman22C. Norman
L. Jenkins5L. Jenkins
D. Sassi34D. Sassi
T. Davies3T. Davies
M. Smith8M. Smith
C. Brennan6C. Brennan
M. Adu-Poku23M. Adu-Poku
H. Biggins10H. Biggins
Y. Bamba20Y. Bamba
K. Etete28K. Etete
J. Ward1J. Ward
E. Ahui22E. Ahui
D. Skura25D. Skura
R. Leak26R. Leak
M. Hancock3M. Hancock
S. Sprangler6S. Sprangler
C. Crew8C. Crew
L. Simper10L. Simper
A. Dallas9A. Dallas
Courtney Clarke17C. Clarke
A. Pressley19A. Pressley

Newport County Substitutes

2C. Evans90'for Matthew Smith
7K. Evans
11J. Crole90'for Kion Etete
19G. Garner
9S. Gwengwe90'for Yahya Bamba
18A. Lewis56'for Michael Adu-Poku
17Alfie Merritt
12Joe Thomas79'for Cameron Norman
25J. Turner

Walsall Substitutes

31Tom Wooster
37A. Adomah76'for Aaron Pressley
5H. Burke
29J. Furlong
20Roman Dixon
7Taione Richard Evumena Sodje63'for Andrew Dallas
15Isaac Moore63'for Charlie Crew
57R. Sjordesma90'for Courtney Alphonso Clarke
11R. Smith63'for Lewis Simper88'

Match Stats

Newport CountyWalsall
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
9Fouls16
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
19Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Newport CountyNewport County
WalsallWalsall
1496Elo Rating 1567
1.77Attack 2.16
1.95Defense 1.51
41%Hit Rate 46%
15.8Shots per Game 15.2
3.6Shots on Target 5.9
4.9Corners per Game 6.3
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Newport CountyNewport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
WalsallWalsall
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Newport CountyNewport County2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
WalsallWalsall4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

League Two21/03/2026
WalsallNewport County
21
League Two08/11/2025
Newport CountyWalsall
24
League Two21/04/2025
Newport CountyWalsall
00
League Two29/12/2024
WalsallNewport County
20
League Two10/02/2024
WalsallNewport County
03
League Two20/10/2023
Newport CountyWalsall
33
League Two18/02/2023
WalsallNewport County
11
League Two06/08/2022
Newport CountyWalsall
01
League Two01/01/2022
WalsallNewport County
33
League Two18/09/2021
Newport CountyWalsall
21

Recent Form

Newport CountyNewport County
4W3D3L
03/11/2026
Newport CountyCrystal Palace U21
12
L
30/10/2026
Newport CountyChesterfield
41
W
24/10/2026
CheltenhamNewport County
10
L
20/10/2026
RotherhamNewport County
22
D
17/10/2026
Newport CountyYork
11
D
10/10/2026
Newport CountyColchester
10
W
06/10/2026
Newport CountyPlymouth
4252
L
03/10/2026
GillinghamNewport County
00
D
26/09/2026
Newport CountyGrimsby
21
W
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
W

Bracket

About the Newport County vs Walsall forecast

As a knockout tie in the FA Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About FA Cup

More FA Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the FA Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.