Oxford United vs Stevenage Prediction

Oxford United
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Stevenage
Kassam Stadium, Oxford 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseHighGap-0.8%
Oxford United Rest
2 days
Stevenage Rest
7 days

Oxford United vs Stevenage: the result in context

Stevenage beat Oxford United 1-0 in the FA Cup on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Oxford United tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 3.9 for Stevenage.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.00
X
33%3.35
2
25%3.56
Double Chance
1X
75%1.25
X2
58%1.74
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Carl PiergianniAssist: Ben Broggio
22'Tyler GoodrhamFoul
48'Carl PiergianniFoul
54'Tugra Turhan INMichael Mellon out
63'Greg Leigh INRuben Roosken out
63'L. Snowden INAidomo Emakhu out
66'Saxon EarleyFoul
67'A. RevellDissent
70'Daniel PhillipsFoul
71'Ben Broggio INChem Campbell out
71'O. Sanderson INWanya Marcal out
77'Louis Thompson INTerry·Taylor out
77'Phoenix Patterson INJosh Magennis out
77'Luka Lynch INJack Lee out
77'Harrison Bradney INJ. Holton out
90'Mo Missanga INMaeson Vaughan out

Lineups

Oxford United
4-4-2Coach: A. Ramsey
Stevenage
4-4-2Coach: A. Revell
S. Eastwood13S. Eastwood
S. Long2S. Long
4646A. Lacey
J. Golding25J. Golding
G. Leigh22G. Leigh
M. Missanga57M. Missanga
H. Bradney44H. Bradney
T. Goodrham11T. Goodrham
L. Snowden27L. Snowden
L. Lynch20L. Lynch
G. O'Donkor19G. O'Donkor
T. Setford1T. Setford
T. Vancooten15T. Vancooten
K. Casey16K. Casey
C. Piergianni5C. Piergianni
S. Earley14S. Earley
O. Sanderson18O. Sanderson
L. Thompson23L. Thompson
D. Phillips8D. Phillips
P. Patterson44P. Patterson
B. Broggio27B. Broggio
T. Turhan19T. Turhan

Oxford United Substitutes

12R. Roosken63'for Greg Leigh
41Monty Marriott
45Jack Lee77'replaced by Luka Lynch
48L Griffiths
10A. Emakhu63'for L. Snowden
32L. Sibley
65Albie James Collins
54J. Holton77'replaced by Harrison Bradney
59Maeson Vaughan90'replaced by Mo Missanga

Stevenage Substitutes

20C. Campbell71'for Ben Broggio
9J. Magennis77'for Phoenix Patterson
25Wanya Marçal71'for O. Sanderson
28M. Mellon54'for Tugra Turhan
24M. Smith
7T. Taylor77'for Louis Thompson
36M. Woodford
39Alfie Thornett
37Tatenda Mutanga

Match Stats

Oxford UnitedStevenage
61%Ball Possession39%
9Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
14Fouls15
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
15Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Oxford UnitedOxford United
StevenageStevenage
1638Elo Rating 1578
1.24Attack 1.26
2.63Defense 1.90
61%Hit Rate 34%
19.3Shots per Game 11.9
6.5Shots on Target 3.9
7.4Corners per Game 3.9
1.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Oxford UnitedOxford United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
StevenageStevenage
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Oxford UnitedOxford United2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
StevenageStevenage0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

League One22/08/2026
StevenageOxford United
12
League One19/04/2024
Oxford UnitedStevenage
11
League One30/09/2023
StevenageOxford United
13

Bracket

About the Oxford United vs Stevenage forecast

As a knockout tie in the FA Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About FA Cup

More FA Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the FA Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.