Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town Prediction

Memorial Stadium, Bristol 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Bristol Rovers Rest
3 days
Swindon Town Rest
3 days

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: the result in context

Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town drew 0-0 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Swindon Town have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.62
X
24%4.08
2
22%4.87
Double Chance
1X
78%1.16
X2
46%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.65
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.11 = 2.47
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.61
Over 3.5
35%2.52
Under 1.5
23%4.35
Under 2.5
44%2.21
Under 3.5
65%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.32
Over 9.5
53%1.57
Over 10.5
41%1.96
Under 8.5
36%2.97
Under 9.5
47%2.23
Under 10.5
59%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

20'S. Inwood INBilly Kirkman out
37'Kofi BalmerFoul
63'Fabrizio Cavegn INBobby Kamwa out
63'Richard Smallwood INKeenan Gough out
64'Joe Snowdon INantwoine hackford out
64'Tom Nichols INJoseph Hungbo out
71'Bobby Kamwa INReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny out
76'Kaelan MajekodunmiFoul
83'Mitchell Clark INJoel McGregor out
84'Matthew Virtue-Thick INJames Debayo out
90+3'Dan ButlerFoul

Lineups

Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2Coach: S. Evans
Swindon Town
4-3-3Coach: Ian Holloway
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.56
Brad Young7.31B. Young
K. Balmer6.54K. Balmer
A. Kilgour7.15A. Kilgour
C. Kelly6.217C. Kelly
T. James6.12T. James
C. Mola6.96C. Mola
R. Smallwood7.021R. Smallwood
J. Sparkes6.53J. Sparkes
S. Forde6.67S. Forde
F. Cavegn6.429F. Cavegn
J. Quigley6.09J. Quigley
C. Ripley8.21C. Ripley
M. Clark6.02M. Clark
K. Majekodunmi6.421K. Majekodunmi
S. Inwood6.816S. Inwood
D. Butler6.226D. Butler
M. Virtue-Thick6.724M. Virtue-Thick
J. Thomson6.325J. Thomson
J. Ball6.76J. Ball
T. Nichols6.27T. Nichols
A. Drinan6.923A. Drinan
J. Snowdon6.419J. Snowdon

Bristol Rovers Substitutes

28A. Appiah
22Keenan Gough63'for Richard Smallwood6.7
10B. Kamwa63'for Fabrizio Cavegn71'for Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny6.6
14B. Purrington
8R. Russell-Denny71'replaced by Bobby Kamwa6.3
27P. Sanyaolu
32Charlie Binns

Swindon Town Substitutes

34B. Kirkman20'for S. Inwood6.4
33Joel McGregor83'for Mitchell Clark6.1
12Lewis Moore Ward
29A. Hackford64'for Joe Snowdon6.5
15J. Hungbo64'for Tom Nichols6.5
18J. Debayo84'for Matthew Virtue-Thick6.6
39L. Millard

Match Stats

Bristol RoversSwindon Town
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
2Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves8
351Total Passes267
246Passes Accurate153
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
Swindon TownSwindon Town
1484Elo Rating 1502
0.54Attack 0.88
1.29Defense 2.27
0%Hit Rate 23%
15.9Shots per Game 11.9
5.1Shots on Target 3.4
4.9Corners per Game 3.7
2.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Swindon TownSwindon Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers0Wins · 0%
Draws233%
Swindon TownSwindon Town4Wins · 67%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

League Two28/02/2026
Swindon TownBristol Rovers
11
League Two13/12/2025
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
03
League Two22/01/2022
Swindon TownBristol Rovers
11
League Two02/10/2021
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
13
League One23/03/2021
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
01
League One21/11/2020
Swindon TownBristol Rovers
10

Recent Form

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
3W0D7L
20/10/2026
Bristol RoversSalford City
12
L
17/10/2026
ShrewsburyBristol Rovers
10
L
10/10/2026
Bristol RoversBarnet
13
L
06/10/2026
WycombeBristol Rovers
41
L
03/10/2026
CreweBristol Rovers
31
L
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
W
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
L
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
L
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
W
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
W
Swindon TownSwindon Town
2W2D6L
20/10/2026
BarnetSwindon Town
13
W
17/10/2026
Swindon TownWalsall
11
D
10/10/2026
Swindon TownCrewe
01
L
03/10/2026
RochdaleSwindon Town
10
L
26/09/2026
Swindon TownAccrington ST
11
D
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
L
19/09/2026
Salford CitySwindon Town
10
L
15/09/2026
Swindon TownCrystal Palace U21
12
L
12/09/2026
YorkSwindon Town
40
L
05/09/2026
Swindon TownColchester
31
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Bristol Rovers (15th) and Swindon Town (14th) are level on 16 points. League goal record so far: Bristol Rovers 16-20, Swindon Town 13-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.