Modena vs Empoli Prediction

Modena
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Empoli
Alberto Braglia, Modena·Andrea Calzavara 20/09/2026
ModenaModena
2-1
Finished
EmpoliEmpoli

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Modena Rest
8 days
Empoli Rest
9 days

Modena vs Empoli: result, form and history

Modena beat Empoli 2-1 in the Serie B on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Modena tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.9 for Empoli.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.60
X
26%3.70
2
20%5.52
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
46%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.82
No
48%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.05 = 2.53
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.88
Over 3.5
30%3.20
Under 1.5
26%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.93
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
58%1.50
Over 9.5
49%1.86
Over 10.5
38%2.32
Under 8.5
42%2.40
Under 9.5
51%1.86
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.39
Over 4.5
41%2.00
Under 3.5
39%2.85
Under 4.5
59%1.73

Match Events

20'Luca MagninoFoul
27'Gerard Yepes
41'Steven Shpendi INBogdan Popov out
47'Giacomo OlzerFoul
55'Giacomo Olzer INAndrea Belotti out
61'Andrea BelottiAssist: Daniel Tonoli
65'Gastón Brugman INSimone Santoro out
66'Alessandro BiancoFoul
70'Giuseppe AmbrosinoAssist: Alessandro Bianco
77'Edoardo Biondini INFilippo Di Stefano out
82'Cristian CauzFoul
83'Paulo Azzi INFrancesco Folino out
83'Giuseppe Ambrosino INWisdom Acquah out
83'Giuseppe Caso INStenio·Zanetti Toledo out
89'Gerard Yepes INLuca Belardinelli out
89'Luca Magnino INLapo Deli out

Lineups

Modena
3-5-2Coach: D. Galloppa
Empoli
3-5-2Coach: G. Pagliuca
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.50
L. Chichizola6.81L. Chichizola
D. Tonoli7.577D. Tonoli
S. Nador7.06S. Nador
B. Nieling6.920B. Nieling
Paulo Azzi7.227P. Azzi
A. Bianco7.742A. Bianco
G. Brugman6.516G. Brugman
G. Caso6.110G. Caso
F. Zampano6.27F. Zampano
G. Olzer6.672G. Olzer
G. Ambrosino8.270G. Ambrosino
J. Seghetti7.912J. Seghetti
L. Magnino6.88L. Magnino
S. Romagnoli6.76S. Romagnoli
C. Cauz6.033C. Cauz
N. Corrado6.491N. Corrado
K. Zedadka6.098K. Zedadka
Gerard Yepes7.721G. Yepes
E. Biondini6.339E. Biondini
J. Ceesay6.315J. Ceesay
E. Saporiti6.410E. Saporiti
S. Shpendi6.211S. Shpendi

Modena Substitutes

8S. Santoro65'for Gastón Brugman6.3
9D. Montevago
26A. Imputato
23F. Folino83'for Paulo Azzi6.0
22L. Consiglio
17K. Bozhanaj
32W. Acquah83'for Giuseppe Ambrosino6.3
33Stênio83'for Giuseppe Caso6.5
34Diego Ronco
11A. Belotti55'for Giacomo Olzer61'8.1
29L. Bacchin
28D. Adorni

Empoli Substitutes

57L. Belardinelli89'for Gerard Yepes6.1
36D. Bembnista
40R. Berizzi
5D. Degli Innocenti
44L. Deli89'for Luca Magnino6.1
20F. Distefano77'for Edoardo Biondini6.6
13E. Filippis
38M. Huqi
28G. Indragoli
1S. Perisan
77B. Popov41'for Steven Shpendi5.9

Match Stats

ModenaEmpoli
60%Ball Possession40%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots3
11Fouls11
6Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
532Total Passes346
466Passes Accurate286
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

ModenaModena
EmpoliEmpoli
1633Elo Rating 1554
2.09Attack 0.78
1.85Defense 0.98
63%Hit Rate 0%
18.7Shots per Game 11.2
5.6Shots on Target 3.4
5.9Corners per Game 3.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ModenaModena
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EmpoliEmpoli
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ModenaModena1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
EmpoliEmpoli0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B31/01/2026
EmpoliModena
00
Serie B24/10/2025
ModenaEmpoli
21

Recent Form

ModenaModena
4W1D5L
12/09/2026
SudtirolModena
11
D
06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
01
L
28/08/2026
CremoneseModena
03
W
22/08/2026
BeneventoModena
12
W
15/08/2026
VeneziaModena
32
L
01/08/2026
TrentoModena
01
W
28/07/2026
CagliariModena
10
L
25/07/2026
ModenaVirtus Bolzano
50
W
12/05/2026
ModenaJuve Stabia
01
L
08/05/2026
AvellinoModena
10
L
EmpoliEmpoli
4W3D3L
11/09/2026
EmpoliArezzo
01
L
05/09/2026
CarrareseEmpoli
01
W
30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
31
L
22/08/2026
EmpoliCremonese
10
W
17/08/2026
PisaEmpoli
4131
L
08/08/2026
LivornoEmpoli
11
D
01/08/2026
EmpoliSpezia
11
D
25/07/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
10
W
08/05/2026
MonzaEmpoli
22
D
01/05/2026
EmpoliAvellino
10
W

Referee Profile

Andrea Calzavara97 matches

4.08Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
29.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrea Calzavara4.08
Other referees4.22

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo761016:7+919WWWDW
2MantovaMantova852114:8+617WLWDW
3ModenaModena851215:8+716WLWWD
4AscoliAscoli843114:6+815WDDWL
5BeneventoBenevento842213:7+614WDWWW
6PisaPisa741214:9+513WWDLW
7SudtirolSudtirol834110:7+313DLDWD
8AvellinoAvellino832312:9+311LDWLD
9PadovaPadova83147:10-310WLLLW
10ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella823310:9+19LWDDW
12Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus823311:15-49WDLLD
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona722314:12+28DLWLW
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
15CesenaCesena81528:12-48LDLDD
16EmpoliEmpoli82157:13-67LDLLL
17CarrareseCarrarese72146:7-17WWLLL
18CremoneseCremonese81346:11-56LLDDD
19SampdoriaSampdoria81258:16-85DLLWL
20CatanzaroCatanzaro81169:20-114LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo716:719
2MantovaMantova814:817
3ModenaModena815:816
4AscoliAscoli814:615
5BeneventoBenevento813:714
6PisaPisa714:913
7SudtirolSudtirol810:713
8AvellinoAvellino812:911
9PadovaPadova87:1010
10ArezzoArezzo88:1710
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella810:99
12Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus811:159
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona714:128
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
15CesenaCesena88:128
16EmpoliEmpoli87:137
17CarrareseCarrarese76:77
18CremoneseCremonese86:116
19SampdoriaSampdoria88:165
20CatanzaroCatanzaro89:204
PromotionRelegation

About the Modena vs Empoli forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Modena and Empoli in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Modena are 3rd and Empoli 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Modena 15-8, Empoli 7-13. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Modena and Empoli have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.