Ascoli vs Avellino Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Ascoli Rest
7 days
Avellino Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%2.09
X27%3.20
224%3.50
Double Chance
1X75%1.27
X251%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.79
No44%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1 = 2.44
Over 1.569%1.33
Over 2.545%2.03
Over 3.525%3.70
Under 1.531%3.25
Under 2.555%1.74
Under 3.575%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.7 = 10
Over 8.563%1.67
Over 9.554%2.04
Over 10.542%2.65
Under 8.537%2.10
Under 9.546%1.73
Under 10.558%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.564%-
Over 4.545%1.55
Under 3.536%-
Under 4.555%2.35
Match Events
11'L. Di MaggioFoul
17'Raffaele RussoAssist: Martin Palumbo
45'Brando Moruzzi INMarco Sala out
45+2'Nicholas RizzoFoul
49'Patrick EnriciOG
60'Giovanni CorradiniFoul
66'Don Bolsius INGiacomo De Pieri out
66'Giovanni Corradini INGabriele Gori out
67'Matteo Brunori INAndrea Oliveri out
68'L. Di Maggio INDimitrios Sounas out
72'Andrea·SilipoAssist: Tommaso Milanese
79'Michele BesaggioDissent
80'Patrick Enrici INTommaso Biasci out
80'Walid Cheddira INLuca Pandolfi out
81'Tommaso Milanese INGennao Acampora out
86'Andrea·SilipoAssist: Gabriele Gori
88'Andrea·Silipo INFederico Gattoni out
88'Michele Besaggio INS. Di Paolo out
Lineups
AscoliAvellino
3-5-2Coach: A. NestaAvg ratingAvg rating
1S. Vitale
62T. Milanese
30M. Curado
33N. Rizzo
7A. Silipo
8G. Corradini
4S. Damiani
77D. Bolsius
19A. Guiébré9999M. Brunori
15S. D'Uffizi
50T. Martinelli
4A. Izzo
23M. Venturi
56P. Enrici
2F. Missori
8L. Di Maggio
20M. Palumbo
39M. Besaggio
27B. Moruzzi
9W. Cheddira
10R. RussoAscoli Substitutes
13G. Acampora81'for Tommaso Milanese
9A. Chakir
45G. Crespi
21G. De Pieri66'for Don Bolsius
32F. Gattoni88'for Andrea·Silipo
35G. Gori66'for Giovanni Corradini
3M. Nicoletti
14A. Oliveri67'replaced by Matteo Brunori
11S. Perciun
27M. Ricci
18L. Lo Scalzo
Avellino Substitutes
24D. Sounas68'for L. Di Maggio
3M. Sala45'for Brando Moruzzi
7L. Pandolfi80'for Walid Cheddira
6L. Palmiero
1A. Iannarilli
99A. Favilli
16G. Faticanti
5A. Di Bitonto
14T. Biasci80'for Patrick Enrici
30E. Adamo
18Thomas Berenbruch
77S. Di Paolo88'replaced by Michele Besaggio
Match Stats
AscoliAvellino 63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
11Fouls13
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
494Total Passes292
431Passes Accurate231
13Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
AscoliAvellino1670Elo Rating 1568
2.34Attack 1.31
2.19Defense 1.67
44%Hit Rate 19%
15.6Shots per Game 18.0
5.2Shots on Target 4.8
6.7Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+102 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Ascoli- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Avellino- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Ascoli4W2D4L
12/09/2026
PadovaAscoli
PadovaAscoli10
L05/09/2026Ascoli
Benevento
AscoliBenevento10
W29/08/2026Ascoli
Carrarese
AscoliCarrarese11
D23/08/2026
Hellas VeronaAscoli
16/08/2026Hellas VeronaAscoli12
W
GenoaAscoli41
L08/08/2026Ascoli
Potenza31
W02/08/2026Ascoli
Lazio
AscoliLazio12
L26/07/2026
FrosinoneAscoli
FrosinoneAscoli10
L07/06/2026Ascoli
Union Brescia
AscoliUnion Brescia30
W03/06/2026Union BresciaAscoli
Union BresciaAscoli11
DAvellino4W1D5L
13/09/2026Avellino
PalermoAvellino
Arezzo
MonzaAvellino
AvellinoPalermo11
D06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
ModenaAvellino01
W29/08/2026Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
22/08/2026AvellinoVicenza Virtus30
WAvellinoArezzo12
L14/08/2026MonzaAvellino30
L08/08/2026Avellino
Torino
AvellinoTorino1131
L01/08/2026LazioAvellino
LazioAvellino63
L26/07/2026
SambenedetteseAvellino
SambenedetteseAvellino05
W22/07/2026Avellino
Scafatese
AvellinoScafatese31
W12/05/2026
CatanzaroAvellino
CatanzaroAvellino30
LReferee Profile
4.32Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.32 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).
Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 | DWWDL |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 | WWDDD |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 18:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 15:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 9:20 | 4 |
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About the Ascoli vs Avellino forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ascoli and Avellino in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Ascoli are 4th and Avellino 8th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Ascoli 14-6, Avellino 12-9. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ascoli and Avellino have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.