Avellino vs Sampdoria Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.65
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Avellino Rest
20 days
Sampdoria Rest
20 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%2.67
X30%3.08
234%2.69
Double Chance
1X66%1.44
X264%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.70
No44%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.14 = 2.52
Over 1.572%1.30
Over 2.548%1.96
Over 3.527%3.35
Under 1.528%3.40
Under 2.552%1.80
Under 3.573%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.5 = 9.5
Over 8.558%1.67
Over 9.547%2.08
Over 10.537%2.57
Under 8.542%2.14
Under 9.553%1.68
Under 10.563%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.565%1.45
Over 4.546%1.67
Under 3.535%2.62
Under 4.554%2.10
Match Events
12'Walid CheddiraAssist: Brando Moruzzi
18'Lorenzo InsigneAssist: Tobias Lauritsen
20'Martin PalumboAssist: Raffaele Russo
24'Raffaele RussoAssist: Brando Moruzzi
29'Michele Besaggio
45'Yann Karamoh INAlex Ferrari out
59'Walid Cheddira INAndrea Favilli out
59'Luca Palmiero INGiacomo Faticanti out
61'Yari Verschaeren INGennaro Tutino out
68'Tobias Lauritsen INTjas Begic out
68'Liam Henderson INFabio Depaoli out
71'Michael VenturiFoul
76'Martin Palumbo INDimitrios Sounas out
76'Raffaele Russo INTommaso Biasci out
77'Alex FerrariFoul
79'Goal cancelledTommaso Biasci
81'Andrea FavilliFoul
85'Brando Moruzzi INMarco Sala out
90+1'Armando IzzoFoul
90+3'Michele BesaggioFoul
Lineups
AvellinoSampdoria
4-3-2-1Coach: B. CorradiAvg ratingAvg rating
50T. Martinelli
4A. Izzo
23M. Venturi
56P. Enrici
2F. Missori
20M. Palumbo
6L. Palmiero
39M. Besaggio
27B. Moruzzi
10R. Russo
9W. Cheddira
1P. Vindahl
29A. Di Pardo
3S. Gartenmann
15F. Delli Carri
7M. Cicconi
6L. Henderson
45A. Makoumbou
16Y. Verschaeren1414Y. Karamoh
10L. Insigne
9T. LauritsenAvellino Substitutes
30E. Adamo
18Thomas Berenbruch
14T. Biasci76'for Raffaele Russo
5A. Di Bitonto
77S. Di Paolo
16G. Faticanti59'for Luca Palmiero
99A. Favilli59'for Walid Cheddira81'
1A. Iannarilli
7L. Pandolfi
3M. Sala85'for Brando Moruzzi
24D. Sounas76'for Martin Palumbo
44L. Šimić
Sampdoria Substitutes
99G. Tutino61'for Yari Verschaeren
11T. Begić68'for Tobias Lauritsen
42Leonardo Cosi
23F. Depaoli68'for Liam Henderson
25A. Ferrari45'replaced by Yann Karamoh77'
96S. Massolo
43K. Mbabu
12Andrey Krastev
13L. Ravanelli
Match Stats
AvellinoSampdoria 51%Ball Possession49%
0Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots4
11Fouls12
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
484Total Passes460
411Passes Accurate390
12Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
AvellinoSampdoria1568Elo Rating 1511
1.31Attack 1.02
1.67Defense 1.05
19%Hit Rate 17%
18.0Shots per Game 14.7
4.8Shots on Target 3.8
4.8Corners per Game 6.2
1.6Cards per Game 2.1
Game State Tendencies
Avellino- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sampdoria- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Avellino1Wins · 50%Draws00%
Sampdoria1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
22/03/2026SampdoriaAvellino21
10/01/2026AvellinoSampdoria21
Recent Form
Avellino4W1D5L
19/09/2026
AscoliAvellinoAvellino
PalermoAvellino
Arezzo
MonzaAvellino
AscoliAvellino31
L13/09/2026AvellinoPalermo11
D06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
ModenaAvellino01
W29/08/2026Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
22/08/2026AvellinoVicenza Virtus30
WAvellinoArezzo12
L14/08/2026MonzaAvellino30
L08/08/2026Avellino
Torino
AvellinoTorino1131
L01/08/2026
LazioAvellino
LazioAvellino63
L26/07/2026
SambenedetteseAvellino
SambenedetteseAvellino05
W22/07/2026Avellino
Scafatese
AvellinoScafatese31
WSampdoria3W2D5L
19/09/2026Sampdoria
Catanzaro
13/09/2026SampdoriaCatanzaro21
W
MantovaSampdoria20
L07/09/2026PalermoSampdoria31
L29/08/2026Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
23/08/2026SampdoriaJuve Stabia12
L
CesenaSampdoria11
D17/08/2026
CremoneseSampdoria20
L09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
ParmaSampdoria02
W01/08/2026Sampdoria
Novara
SampdoriaNovara12
L23/07/2026Sampdoria
Cagliari
SampdoriaCagliari00
D18/07/2026Sampdoria
Taverne
SampdoriaTaverne20
WReferee Profile
4.34Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.34 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.62).
Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 | DWWDL |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 |  Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 | WWDDD |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 18:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 15:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 9:20 | 4 |
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About the Avellino vs Sampdoria forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Avellino and Sampdoria in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Avellino are 8th and Sampdoria 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Avellino 12-9, Sampdoria 8-16. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Avellino and Sampdoria have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.