Arezzo vs Sudtirol Prediction

Serie BItaly Italy · Regular Season - 5
Arezzo
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Sudtirol
Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo·Maco Di Loreto 20/09/2026
ArezzoArezzo
1-4
Finished
SudtirolSudtirol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Arezzo Rest
8 days
Sudtirol Rest
4 days

Arezzo vs Sudtirol: result, form and history

Sudtirol beat Arezzo 4-1 in the Serie B on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.25
X
32%3.08
2
28%3.40
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
60%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.90
No
52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.02 = 2.28
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.30
Over 3.5
21%4.33
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
58%1.60
Under 3.5
79%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.86
Over 9.5
51%2.38
Over 10.5
40%3.20
Under 8.5
37%1.85
Under 9.5
49%1.48
Under 10.5
60%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.45
Over 4.5
36%1.83
Under 3.5
44%2.60
Under 4.5
64%1.83

Match Events

26'Artur IonițăFoul
29'Lorenzo AngheleFoul
45'Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason INSimone Davì out
45'Lorenzo Anghele INAljosa Vasic out
45+1'Fabio RispoliAssist: Salvatore Molina
46'Mattia VivianiFoul
51'Vasco Rafael Fortes LopesFoul
54'Vasco Rafael Fortes LopesAssist: Aljosa Vasic
56'Pietro Cianci INAlberto Cerri out
57'Mattia Viviani INLuca Chierico out
59'Alvin Okoro INKenny Meddy Mixtur out
62'Marco Olivieri INAlessandro Arena out
68'Kenny Meddy MixturAssist: Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
71'Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes INRares Burnete out
78'mattia sala INGiuseppe Kevin Leone out
78'Emiliano Pattarello INLeonardo Mancuso out
79'Andrea GiorginiAssist: Fabio Rispoli
81'Leonardo MancusoAssist: Alessandro Arena
83'Giacomo Stabile INDavide Veroli out

Lineups

Arezzo
4-3-3Coach: C. Bucchi
Sudtirol
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Possanzini
Avg rating6.31
Avg rating7.16
A. Nunziante5.514A. Nunziante
M. Coppolaro6.14M. Coppolaro
M. Gilli5.813M. Gilli
J. Illanes5.95J. Illanes
S. Righetti6.037S. Righetti
Mattia Sala6.516M. Sala
M. Viviani6.323M. Viviani
A. Ioniţă6.817A. Ioniţă
E. Pattarello6.410E. Pattarello
P. Cianci6.471P. Cianci
M. Olivieri6.799M. Olivieri
A. Plizzari6.922A. Plizzari
R. Stivanello7.04R. Stivanello
A. Giorgini8.155A. Giorgini
G. Stabile7.027G. Stabile
S. Molina7.579S. Molina
Fabio Rispoli9.710F. Rispoli
S. Tronchin6.65S. Tronchin
B. Bjarkason6.520B. Bjarkason
Vasco Lopes8.611V. Lopes
L. Anghelè6.217L. Anghelè
A. Okoro6.890A. Okoro

Arezzo Substitutes

32A. Cagnano
9A. Cerri56'for Pietro Cianci6.5
24L. Chierico57'for Mattia Viviani6.1
7Giuseppe Kevin Leone78'for mattia sala5.9
33D. Mancini
11L. Mancuso78'for Emiliano Pattarello81'7.1
47Aleandro Manes
8S. Mawuli
2M. Mena
90A. Seculin
22F. Serban
30A. Arena62'for Marco Olivieri7.2

Sudtirol Substitutes

1Lukas Ploner
46D. Brik
9R. Burnete71'for Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes6.3
23F. Davi
24S. Davì45'for Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason6.8
25K. Mixtur59'for Alvin Okoro68'7.4
19M. Pellini
80Elias Schroot
21F. Tait
12Rok Vadjunec
14A. Vasic45'for Lorenzo Anghele6.9
3D. Veroli83'for Giacomo Stabile6.5

Match Stats

ArezzoSudtirol
40%Ball Possession60%
9Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
6Fouls14
4Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
364Total Passes559
307Passes Accurate504
13Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

ArezzoArezzo
SudtirolSudtirol
1561Elo Rating 1557
0.56Attack 0.46
1.79Defense 1.58
17%Hit Rate 0%
8.4Shots per Game 14.7
2.7Shots on Target 3.8
2.7Corners per Game 3.5
1.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArezzoArezzo
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SudtirolSudtirol
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ArezzoArezzo0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
SudtirolSudtirol2Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie C - Girone B28/03/2021
SudtirolArezzo
10
Serie C - Girone B06/12/2020
ArezzoSudtirol
04

Recent Form

ArezzoArezzo
4W2D4L
11/09/2026
EmpoliArezzo
01
W
06/09/2026
Hellas VeronaArezzo
50
L
30/08/2026
ArezzoPalermo
23
L
22/08/2026
AvellinoArezzo
12
W14/08/2026
CagliariArezzo
10
L
09/08/2026
ArezzoUnion Brescia
20
W
30/07/2026
ParmaArezzo
11
D
29/07/2026
ArezzoAlbinoleffe
13
L
25/07/2026
ArezzoFolgore Caratese
11
D
22/07/2026
NapoliArezzo
13
W
SudtirolSudtirol
4W5D1L
15/09/2026
GenoaSudtirol
10
L
12/09/2026
SudtirolModena
11
D
05/09/2026
SudtirolCatanzaro
20
W
30/08/2026
BeneventoSudtirol
11
D
22/08/2026
SudtirolVirtus Entella
10
W15/08/2026
CatanzaroSudtirol
3242
W
07/08/2026
SudtirolVirtus Verona
10
W
25/07/2026
Sudtirol1. FC Kaiserslautern
00
D
22/05/2026
SudtirolBari
00
D
15/05/2026
BariSudtirol
00
D

Referee Profile

Maco Di Loreto3 matches analysed

4.75Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 73% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9CremoneseCremonese1143414:12+215WWWLL
10PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
11CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
12SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1123614:24-109LLLWD
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9CremoneseCremonese1114:1215
10PadovaPadova1112:1315
11CesenaCesena1112:1415
12SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1114:249
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

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About the Arezzo vs Sudtirol forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arezzo and Sudtirol in the Serie B table

Sudtirol and Arezzo are close in the Serie B table, 12th and 14th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Arezzo 9-20, Sudtirol 13-12. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arezzo and Sudtirol have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.