Mantova vs Pisa Prediction

Mantova
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Pisa
Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova·Simone Galipo 20/09/2026
MantovaMantova
2-2
Finished
PisaPisa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Mantova Rest
7 days
Pisa Rest
4 days

Mantova vs Pisa: the result in context

Mantova and Pisa drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Simone Galipo averages 5.69 cards a game, 1.03 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.65
X
29%3.22
2
33%2.58
Double Chance
1X
67%1.45
X2
63%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.17 = 2.66
Over 1.5
75%1.29
Over 2.5
51%1.93
Over 3.5
30%3.25
Under 1.5
25%3.40
Under 2.5
49%1.87
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.75
Over 9.5
51%2.22
Over 10.5
40%3.04
Under 8.5
37%1.94
Under 9.5
49%1.55
Under 10.5
60%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%1.67
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%2.10

Match Events

8'Ettore GliozziAssist: Lorenzo Ignacchiti
38'Filippo PittarelloAssist: Stefano Moreo
43'Antonio CaraccioloFoul
53'Alessio CastelliniFoul
54'Jonathan Silva PertinhesFoul
55'Francesco Ruocco INDavide Bragantini out
55'Rares Ilie INIsmael Cajazzo out
57'Stefano MoreoAssist: Simone Zanon
64'Ettore Gliozzi INVanja Vlahovic out
65'Giuseppe Leone INIsak Vural out
70'Stefano Moreo INAndrea Petagna out
70'Matteo Tramoni INEmanuele Rao out
71'Francesco ModestoAbusive Language
80'Jonathan Silva Pertinhes INFederico Chinetti out
80'Lorenzo Ignacchiti INJean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo out
80'Andrea Primasso INArturo Calabresi out
80'Simone Zanon INTomás Esteves out
83'Goal cancelledEmanuele Rao
87'Alessandro ConfenteTime wasting
89'Arturo CalabresiArgument
89'Ismael CajazzoArgument
90'Stefano CellaArgument
90+3'Vanja VlahovicAssist: Davide Bragantini

Lineups

Mantova
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Modesto
Pisa
3-4-2-1Coach: P. Bianco
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating6.52
F. Bardi6.122F. Bardi
B. Tomašević6.55B. Tomašević
S. Cella6.329S. Cella
A. Castellini6.227A. Castellini
Jonathan Silva6.041J. Silva
L. Ignacchiti7.525L. Ignacchiti
R. Kouda6.480R. Kouda
F. Benaissa-Yahia6.150F. Benaissa-Yahia
R. Ilie5.98R. Ilie
F. Ruocco5.719F. Ruocco
E. Gliozzi8.29E. Gliozzi
A. Confente6.398A. Confente
A. Primasso5.913A. Primasso
A. Caracciolo6.14A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli5.95S. Canestrelli
S. Zanon7.472S. Zanon
G. Leone6.455G. Leone
O. Correia6.229O. Correia
S. Angori6.13S. Angori
S. Moreo7.932S. Moreo
M. Tramoni6.810M. Tramoni
F. Pittarello7.98F. Pittarello

Mantova Substitutes

18S. Keita
6J. Mboyo80'for Lorenzo Ignacchiti5.6
30D. Bragantini55'for Francesco Ruocco6.9
75E. Košpo
20F. Paoletti
7M. Spinaccè
99V. Vlahović64'for Ettore Gliozzi90+3'8.1
10D. Wieser
1L. Gemello
58Tommaso Del Lungo
71Federico Chinetti80'for Jonathan Silva Pertinhes6.3
11I. Cajazzo55'for Rares Ilie89'5.8

Pisa Substitutes

33A. Calabresi80'for Andrea Primasso89'5.8
26F. Coppola
44D. Denoon
11I. Ferrah
22L. Loria
14F. Loyola
37A. Petagna70'for Stefano Moreo6.7
36G. Piccinini
17E. Rao70'for Matteo Tramoni6.6
1S. Scuffet
21İ. Vural65'for Giuseppe Leone6.0
19Tomás Esteves80'for Simone Zanon6.3

Match Stats

MantovaPisa
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots6
13Fouls13
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
484Total Passes289
386Passes Accurate201
13Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

MantovaMantova
PisaPisa
1621Elo Rating 1568
0.89Attack 1.80
1.80Defense 1.41
34%Hit Rate 31%
14.1Shots per Game 15.4
5.2Shots on Target 5.1
4.6Corners per Game 6.6
2.5Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MantovaMantova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PisaPisa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MantovaMantova0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
PisaPisa2Wins · 100%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B16/03/2025
PisaMantova
31
Serie B07/12/2024
MantovaPisa
23

Recent Form

MantovaMantova
6W1D3L
13/09/2026
MantovaSampdoria
20
W
06/09/2026
CesenaMantova
11
D
03/09/2026
PalermoMantova
52
L
30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
31
W
22/08/2026
CarrareseMantova
12
W
16/08/2026
LazioMantova
02
W
09/08/2026
MantovaAthletic Carpi
01
L
06/08/2026
Legnago SalusMantova
13
W
30/07/2026
MantovaAlcione
62
W
08/05/2026
FrosinoneMantova
50
L
PisaPisa
4W2D4L
15/09/2026
FiorentinaPisa
30
L
11/09/2026
PisaVirtus Entella
14
L
06/09/2026
Juve StabiaPisa
03
W
30/08/2026
PisaCatanzaro
21
W
23/08/2026
PisaPadova
01
L
17/08/2026
PisaEmpoli
4131
W
08/08/2026
BolognaPisa
11
D
26/07/2026
PisaPRO Vercelli
01
L
25/07/2026
PisaJuventus U23
11
D
19/07/2026
PisaPavia
61
W

Referee Profile

Simone Galipo96 matches

5.69Cards per match
5.42Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
31.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Simone Galipo5.69
Other referees4.66

5.69 cards a match, 1.03 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9CremoneseCremonese1143414:12+215WWWLL
10PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
11CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
12SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1123614:24-109LLLWD
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9CremoneseCremonese1114:1215
10PadovaPadova1112:1315
11CesenaCesena1112:1415
12SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1114:249
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

About the Mantova vs Pisa forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mantova and Pisa in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Mantova are 4th and Pisa 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Mantova 15-11, Pisa 20-17. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mantova and Pisa have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.