Morocco vs Haiti Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 3
Cup
Morocco
4-2
Finished
HT 2-2
Haiti
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta·Danny Makkelie, Netherlands 25/06/2026
MoroccoMorocco
4-2
Finished
HaitiHaiti

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel90%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Morocco Rest
5 days
Haiti Rest
4 days

Morocco vs Haiti: result, form and history

Morocco beat Haiti 4-2 in the World Cup on 24 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.17
X
20%7.45
2
7%17.00
Double Chance
1X
93%1.02
X2
27%5.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.40
No
48%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.46 + 0.81 = 3.27
Over 1.5
74%1.15
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
30%2.38
Under 1.5
26%4.83
Under 2.5
50%2.40
Under 3.5
70%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.4 = 10
Over 8.5
54%1.72
Over 9.5
45%2.13
Over 10.5
33%2.94
Under 8.5
46%2.00
Under 9.5
55%1.64
Under 10.5
67%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.3 = 3.8
Over 3.5
58%2.95
Over 4.5
34%4.05
Under 3.5
42%1.34
Under 4.5
66%1.23

Match Events

10'BonoOG
39'A. Hakimi
43'W. IsidorAssist: J. Duverne
45+1'I. SaibariAssist: A. Hakimi
67'R. Providence IND. Nazon out
67'W. Isidor INL. Deedson out
70'B. Diaz INA. Ounahi out
70'I. Saibari INS. Rahimi out
70'A. El Kaabi ING. Yassine out
78'S. RahimiAssist: C. Riad
79'D. NazonUnsportsmanlike conduct
79'J. PlacideUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'J. Duverne INC. Arcus out
80'D. Jean Jacques IND. Simon out
83'A. Salah-Eddine INN. Mazraoui out
83'N. El Aynaoui INS. El Mourabet out
83'L. Joseph INF. Pierrot out
89'G. YassineAssist: S. Rahimi
90+4'J. CasimirTripping

Lineups

Morocco
4-2-3-1Coach: Mohamed Ouahbi
Haiti
4-4-1-1Coach: Sebastien Migne
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.40
Yassine Bounou5.21Y. Bounou
Achraf HakimiC7.62A. Hakimi
Redouane Halhal6.725R. Halhal
Chadi Riad6.718C. Riad
Anass Salah-Eddine6.226A. Salah-Eddine
Neil El Aynaoui6.724N. El Aynaoui
Sofyan Amrabat6.94S. Amrabat
Brahim Díaz6.510B. Díaz
Ismael Saibari7.311I. Saibari
Bilal El Khannouss8.923B. El Khannouss
Ayoub El Kaabi6.220A. El Kaabi
Johny PlacideC6.91J. Placide
Jean-Kévin Duverne6.722J. Duverne
Ricardo Adé6.54R. Adé
Hannes Delcroix6.35H. Delcroix
Martin Expérience5.78M. Expérience
Josué Casimir6.021J. Casimir
Danley Jean Jacques6.917D. Jean Jacques
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde6.310J. Bellegarde
Ruben Providence6.615R. Providence
Wilson Isidor7.718W. Isidor
Lenny Joseph5.316L. Joseph

Morocco Substitutes

8Azzedine Ounahi70'for B. Diaz6.7
16Gessime Yassine70'for A. El Kaabi89'7.3
9Soufiane Rahimi70'for I. Saibari78'8.2
3Noussair Mazraoui83'for A. Salah-Eddine6.7
15Samir El Mourabet83'for N. El Aynaoui6.6
12Munir El Kajoui
22Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti
5Marwane Saadane
13Zakaria El Ouahdi
14Issa Diop
19Youssef Belammari
6Ayyoub Bouaddi
7Chemsdine Talbi
17Amine Sbai
21Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab

Haiti Substitutes

11Louicius Don Deedson67'for W. Isidor6.3
9Duckens Nazon67'for R. Providence79'6.7
2Carlens Arcus80'for J. Duverne5.9
25Dominique Simon80'for D. Jean Jacques6.3
20Frantzdy Pierrot83'for L. Joseph6.3
12Alexandre Pierre
23Josué Duverger
3Keeto Thermoncy
14Garven-Michee Metusala
13Duke Lacroix
6Carl Fred Sainté
24Wilguens Paugain
26Woodensky Pierre
7Derrick Etienne
19Yassin Fortune

Match Stats

MoroccoHaiti
69%Ball Possession31%
9Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots9
11Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots3
10Fouls18
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves8
541Total Passes247
477Passes Accurate198
88%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

MoroccoMorocco
HaitiHaiti
1850Elo Rating 1518
1.64Attack 2.08
2.47Defense 1.34
66%Hit Rate 59%
12.2Shots per Game 8.9
3.7Shots on Target 3.8
4.7Corners per Game 3.9
1.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+332 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.27 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MoroccoMorocco
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HaitiHaiti
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

MoroccoMorocco
8W2D0L
20/06/2026
ScotlandMorocco
01
W
14/06/2026
BrazilMorocco
11
D
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
02/06/2026
MoroccoMadagascar
40
W
26/05/2026
MoroccoBurundi
50
W
18/01/2026
SenegalMorocco
0030
W
14/01/2026
NigeriaMorocco
2040
W
09/01/2026
CameroonMorocco
02
W
04/01/2026
MoroccoTanzania
10
W
29/12/2025
ZambiaMorocco
03
W
HaitiHaiti
4W2D4L
20/06/2026
BrazilHaiti
30
L
14/06/2026
HaitiScotland
01
L
06/06/2026
HaitiPeru
12
L
03/06/2026
HaitiNew Zealand
40
W
19/11/2025
HaitiNicaragua
20
W
14/11/2025
HaitiCosta Rica
10
W
14/10/2025
HondurasHaiti
30
L
10/10/2025
NicaraguaHaiti
03
W
10/09/2025
Costa RicaHaiti
33
D
06/09/2025
HaitiHonduras
00
D

Referee Profile

Danny Makkelie206 matches

3.39Cards per match
3.23Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Danny Makkelie3.39
Other referees3.24

3.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 203 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BrazilBrazil32107:1+67WWD
2MoroccoMorocco32106:3+37WWD
3ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
4HaitiHaiti30032:8-60LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BrazilBrazil37:17
2MoroccoMorocco36:37
3ScotlandScotland31:43
4HaitiHaiti32:80

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About the Morocco vs Haiti forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Morocco and Haiti in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Morocco are 2nd in the World Cup, 7 points ahead of Haiti in 4th. League goal record so far: Morocco 6-3, Haiti 2-8. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Morocco and Haiti have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.