Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC Prediction

Mushuc Runa SC
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Delfin SC
Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club, Ambato·Robert Cabrera 09/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
5 days
Delfin SC Rest
3 days

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC: the result in context

Mushuc Runa SC beat Delfin SC 2-1 in the Liga Pro on 9 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Delfin SC had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Mushuc Runa SC.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Robert Cabrera averages 5.89 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.70
X
30%3.40
2
20%4.84
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
50%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.09
No
54%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.02 = 2.31
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.25
Over 3.5
22%4.24
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
58%1.60
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Ronny BiojóFoul
14'Jonathan MorochoFoul
32'Jeremy CusmeArgument
32'Brayan Joel Peña PreciadoArgument
33'Danny LunaFoul
45'Bryan Corozo INTomson Minda out
45'Nazareno Bazán INArnaldo Zambrano out
48'Bryan HernandezFoul
56'Tomson MindaAssist: Arnaldo Zambrano
61'Juan Carlos León ZambranoAbusive Language
69'Tomson MindaFoul
69'Danny Luna INLeao Santiago Tenorio Medina out
69'Brayan Joel Peña Preciado INEmerson Leao Espinoza Tenorio out
69'Gerónimo Heredia INKevin Ushina out
76'Elian Caicedo INRenso Tufino out
77'Thiago Ozaeta
77'Thiago Ozaeta
77'Bryan CorozoViolent conduct
79'Bryan Hernandez INEnzo Alejandro Rubio out
83'Anthony Bedoya CaicedoFoul
85'Thiago Ozaeta INJefferson Arce out
88'Jackson Alexander González Simisterra
88'Jackson Alexander González Simisterra
90+6'Miguel Perea INFranklin Carabali out

Lineups

Mushuc Runa SC
4-3-3Coach: P. Vélez
Delfin SC
4-4-2Coach: Juan Carlos León
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.18
W. Pabón6.542W. Pabón
Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo6.799C. Adonis Angulo Caicedo
Ronny Alfonso Biojo Preciado6.44R. Alfonso Biojo Preciado
J. Cusme6.550J. Cusme
M. Hernández6.933M. Hernández
Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón6.75E. Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
J. Gonzalez7.818J. Gonzalez
B. Corozo6.119B. Corozo
N. Bazán6.611N. Bazán
E. Caicedo6.214E. Caicedo
M. Perea6.628M. Perea
B. Heras7.121B. Heras
B. Hernández5.577B. Hernández
A. Bedoya5.932A. Bedoya
O. Medina6.35O. Medina
E. Zúñiga6.414E. Zúñiga
B. Peña5.780B. Peña
G. Heredia6.534G. Heredia
J. Morocho6.418J. Morocho
T. Ozaeta5.950T. Ozaeta
Edison Caicedo Peralta Eber6.639E. Caicedo Peralta Eber
Danny Gabriel Luna Morán6.110D. Gabriel Luna Morán

Mushuc Runa SC Substitutes

52D. Merino
30F. Carabalí90+6'for Miguel Perea6.3
53J. Braye
22J. Collaguazo
2J. Flor
23L. Lemos
7T. Minda45'for Bryan Corozo56'69'7.8
37J. Quiñones
9R. Tufino76'for Elian Caicedo6.4
8A. Zambrano45'for Nazareno Bazán6.8

Delfin SC Substitutes

22J. Cárdenas
70E. Espinoza69'for Brayan Joel Peña Preciado6.1
8K. Moreno
17E. Rubio79'for Bryan Hernandez6.2
99Leao Tenorio69'for Danny Luna6.2
78K. Ushiña69'for Gerónimo Heredia6.0
7A. Álvarez
23L. Cornejo
16L. Castro
31Jefferson Stalin Arce Mina85'for Thiago Ozaeta6.0
3D. Aimar
51Carlos Carreno

Match Stats

Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards0
20Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal1
10Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
12Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
346Total Passes347
285Passes Accurate260
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
Delfin SCDelfin SC
1447Elo Rating 1475
1.21Attack 1.25
0.67Defense 0.70
0%Hit Rate 37%
15.5Shots per Game 13.3
5.0Shots on Target 3.1
6.3Corners per Game 4.8
2.6Cards per Game 4.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
Delfin SCDelfin SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Delfin SCDelfin SC5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro09/10/2026
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
32
Liga Pro28/08/2026
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
10
Liga Pro03/05/2026
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
10
Liga Pro16/06/2025
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
31
Liga Pro18/02/2025
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
20
Liga Pro08/11/2024
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
42
Liga Pro19/05/2024
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
50
Liga Pro16/09/2023
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
20
Liga Pro16/04/2023
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
30
Liga Pro25/09/2022
Delfin SCMushuc Runa SC
00

Referee Profile

Robert Cabrera85 matches

5.89Cards per match
5.49Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Cabrera5.89
Other referees4.98

5.89 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca361381533:42-947WLWWD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3610131343:50-743WLLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC361091743:53-1039LDWDD
14Delfin SCDelfin SC361081831:43-1238LWLWW
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario361142135:49-1437LDWLL
16Manta FCManta FC36962127:52-2533WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3633:4247
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3643:5043
13Orense SCOrense SC3643:5339
14Delfin SCDelfin SC3631:4338
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3635:4937
16Manta FCManta FC3627:5233
PromotionRelegation

About the Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Mushuc Runa SC are 11th and Delfin SC 15th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Mushuc Runa SC 35-38, Delfin SC 19-31. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.