Macara vs Universidad Catolica Prediction

Estadio Bellavista, Ambato·Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Macara Rest
7 days
Universidad Catolica Rest
3 days

Macara vs Universidad Catolica: result, form and history

Macara and Universidad Catolica drew 2-2 in the Liga Pro on 8 Nov 2026. Macara had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for Universidad Catolica.

Universidad Catolica have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.68
X
29%3.18
2
34%2.52
Double Chance
1X
66%1.42
X2
63%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.73
No
48%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.01 = 2.33
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
47%2.00
Over 3.5
26%3.38
Under 1.5
30%3.15
Under 2.5
53%1.78
Under 3.5
74%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'José FajardoAssist: Daniel Clavijo
29'S. EtchebarneFoul
29'Original decision changedJose Marrufo
45'Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda INEddy Mejia out
54'José FajardoAssist: Daniel Clavijo
56'Franco Posse
58'M. Viera
71'Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno INLuis Loor out
71'M. Viera INJ. Klinger out
83'José Fajardo INByron Palacios out
83'Jonnathan Mina INJimmy Evans out
87'Daniel Clavijo INRooney Troya out
87'Denilson Bolanos INJuan Espinoza out
87'Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo INGregori Anangonó out
90'Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar INCarlos Caicedo out
90'augustin campana INMatías Miranda out

Lineups

Macara
4-1-4-1Coach: G. Sanguinetti
Universidad Catolica
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Martínez
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.56
R. Rodriguez6.31R. Rodriguez
J. Bolaños6.025J. Bolaños
S. Etchebarne5.721S. Etchebarne
J. Marrufo6.114J. Marrufo
J. Mohor6.327J. Mohor
J. Cazares5.916J. Cazares
A. Campana6.428A. Campana
J. Estacio6.65J. Estacio
M. Tello6.215M. Tello
M. Viera7.420M. Viera
F. Posse8.09F. Posse
Lucas Cueva Gordillo6.51L. Cueva Gordillo
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo6.424D. Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
L. Cangá6.233L. Cangá
33J. García
J. Mina6.814J. Mina
F. Martínez6.310F. Martínez
L. Moreno5.915L. Moreno
A. Londoño6.29A. Londoño
D. Clavijo7.98D. Clavijo
M. Alonso5.632M. Alonso
J. Fajardo9.07J. Fajardo

Macara Substitutes

87J. Klinger71'for M. Viera6.5
26M. Medranda
10M. Miranda90'for augustin campana
19P. Ramos
50C. Caicedo90'for Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
13L. Ayala71'for Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno6.1
77J. Chalá
12D. Cuero
3Juan Espinoza87'for Denilson Bolanos6.1
11Tono Espinoza
22L. Ferro
4J. Jiménez

Universidad Catolica Substitutes

37C. Medina
29G. Anangonó87'for Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo6.1
5J. Cacciabue
11J. Evans83'for Jonnathan Mina6.6
30E. Mejía45'for Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda6.1
18B. Palacios83'for José Fajardo6.5
23Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
19M. Sevillano
17R. Troya87'for Daniel Clavijo6.0
44E. Valencia
26Foad Eid
22Paulo Yahir Riande Castillo

Match Stats

MacaraUniversidad Catolica
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
12Fouls11
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
290Total Passes406
206Passes Accurate328
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

MacaraMacara
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
1713Elo Rating 1621
1.91Attack 1.44
2.63Defense 1.74
100%Hit Rate 41%
13.5Shots per Game 9.0
6.8Shots on Target 3.1
4.3Corners per Game 3.2
1.9Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MacaraMacara
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MacaraMacara1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica7Wins · 70%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro11/10/2026
Universidad CatolicaMacara
01
Liga Pro18/08/2026
MacaraUniversidad Catolica
11
Liga Pro24/04/2026
Universidad CatolicaMacara
40
Liga Pro27/07/2025
MacaraUniversidad Catolica
14
Liga Pro06/04/2025
Universidad CatolicaMacara
10
Liga Pro30/11/2024
MacaraUniversidad Catolica
12
Liga Pro02/06/2024
Universidad CatolicaMacara
30
Liga Pro31/07/2022
MacaraUniversidad Catolica
13
Liga Pro13/03/2022
Universidad CatolicaMacara
22
Liga Pro29/08/2021
MacaraUniversidad Catolica
12

Recent Form

Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
4W3D3L

Referee Profile

Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga91 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga5.38
Other referees5.21

5.38 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).

Cards come from 72 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle35273581:37+4484WWDLW
2MacaraMacara36207952:37+1567DWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3614121056:35+2154DLDWL
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito361591238:32+654DLLDW
5AucasAucas361591240:42-254LWLDL
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3512131039:32+749DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3581:3784
2MacaraMacara3652:3767
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3656:3554
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3638:3254
5AucasAucas3640:4254
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3539:3249
PromotionRelegation

About the Macara vs Universidad Catolica forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Macara and Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Macara (3rd) and Universidad Catolica (2nd) are level on 51 points. League goal record so far: Macara 41-33, Universidad Catolica 51-27. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Macara have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.