Nantes vs Dunkerque Prediction

Nantes
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Dunkerque
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes·Benoit Millot 17/10/2026
NantesNantes
2-3
Finished
DunkerqueDunkerque

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Nantes Rest
7 days
Dunkerque Rest
7 days

Nantes vs Dunkerque: the result in context

Dunkerque beat Nantes 3-2 in the Ligue 2 on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Nantes tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 3.9 for Dunkerque.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.62
X
25%3.88
2
18%4.88
Double Chance
1X
82%1.15
X2
43%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.1 = 2.66
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.69
Over 3.5
34%2.80
Under 1.5
23%4.10
Under 2.5
46%2.09
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.6 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.67
Over 9.5
49%2.10
Over 10.5
37%2.74
Under 8.5
39%2.10
Under 9.5
51%1.67
Under 10.5
63%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

29'Kelvin AmianAssist: Wilitty Younoussa
35'Gaëtan RobailFoul
38'Egor Prutsev
43'Gaëtan Robail
45+2'Adrian LebeauFoul
59'Gaëtan RobailAssist: Souleymane Keita
60'Fode Doucoure INFabien Centonze out
61'Wilitty Younoussa INIgniatius Ganago out
61'Ibrahima Sissoko INBalthazar Pierret out
67'Egor Prutsev INKhalil Ayari out
67'Théna Massock INSteven​ N'Zonzi out
72'Thomas Robinet INLouis Leroux out
73'Killian Corredor INAntoine Joujou out
74'Kelvin AmianFoul
76'Souleymane Keita INArthylio Nade out
76'Gaëtan Robail INM'Baye Niang out
82'Balthazar PierretFoul
84'AbnerTime wasting
88'Jordan Morel INFranck Leroy Atoen out
90'Ryad Hachem
90+5'Lucas PerrinFoul

Lineups

Nantes
3-4-3Coach: Grégory Poirier
Dunkerque
4-2-3-1Coach: Albert Sánchez
Avg rating6.39
Avg rating6.53
P. Carlgren5.830P. Carlgren
S. Sow6.74S. Sow
L. Perrin6.15L. Perrin
K. Amian6.498K. Amian
F. Doucouré6.613F. Doucouré
J. Lepenant6.98J. Lepenant
I. Sissoko5.928I. Sissoko
R. Hachem7.426R. Hachem
W. Younoussa6.923W. Younoussa
T. Robinet6.327T. Robinet
K. Corredor6.512K. Corredor
Moha Airam5.773M. Airam
A. Linguet6.827A. Linguet
Opa Sanganté6.226O. Sanganté
O. Touré6.12O. Touré
Abner6.230Abner
J. Morel6.56J. Morel
Théna Massock6.118T. Massock
G. Robail8.49G. Robail
A. Lebeau6.410A. Lebeau
E. Prutsev7.211E. Prutsev
S. Keita7.219S. Keita

Nantes Substitutes

18F. Centonze60'for Fode Doucoure6.2
75A. Cherni
1M. Dupé
24F. Guilbert
7A. Joujou73'for Killian Corredor6.6
37I. Ganago61'for Wilitty Younoussa6.3
19Louis Leroux72'for Thomas Robinet5.8
44B. Pierret61'for Ibrahima Sissoko82'6.0
17D. Assoumani

Dunkerque Substitutes

15S. Nzonzi67'for Théna Massock6.0
99M. Niang76'for Gaëtan Robail6.5
23A. Nade76'for Souleymane Keita6.4
21L. Loussilaho
93A. Daho
35Firas Belabdelli
7K. Ayari67'for Egor Prutsev6.9
25Franck Atoen88'for Jordan Morel6.0
16M. Prévot

Match Stats

NantesDunkerque
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box1
8Blocked Shots4
22Fouls13
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
471Total Passes326
388Passes Accurate246
12Free Kicks21

Team Comparison

NantesNantes
DunkerqueDunkerque
1592Elo Rating 1586
0.79Attack 1.24
1.74Defense 1.61
17%Hit Rate 37%
12.6Shots per Game 9.7
3.2Shots on Target 2.9
6.7Corners per Game 3.9
2.6Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NantesNantes
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DunkerqueDunkerque
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Recent Form

NantesNantes
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
NantesReims
00
D
19/09/2026
BoulogneNantes
12
W
12/09/2026
SochauxNantes
10
L
07/09/2026
NantesNancy
10
W
29/08/2026
GuingampNantes
33
D
22/08/2026
NantesRodez
25
L
14/08/2026
LavalNantes
21
L
08/08/2026
NantesRED Star FC 93
01
L
31/07/2026
NantesAl Wakrah
51
W
25/07/2026
Le MansNantes
10
L
DunkerqueDunkerque
2W3D5L
09/10/2026
DunkerqueAnnecy
01
L
02/10/2026
DunkerqueRAAL La Louvière
04
L
18/09/2026
PAUDunkerque
20
L
12/09/2026
DunkerqueSaint Etienne
21
W
04/09/2026
DunkerqueClermont Foot
11
D
28/08/2026
NancyDunkerque
20
L
21/08/2026
DunkerqueMontpellier
01
L
14/08/2026
ReimsDunkerque
33
D
08/08/2026
DunkerqueGrenoble
42
W
01/08/2026
KV MechelenDunkerque
00
D

Referee Profile

Benoit Millot147 matches

4.21Cards per match
3.99Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Benoit Millot4.21
Other referees3.93

4.21 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.93).

Cards come from 141 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Nantes vs Dunkerque forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nantes and Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Dunkerque are 10th and Nantes 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Nantes 11-17, Dunkerque 14-16. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nantes and Dunkerque have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.