Rodez vs Montpellier Prediction

Rodez
0-3
Finished
HT 0-0
Montpellier
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez·Geoffrey Kubler 19/10/2026
RodezRodez
0-3
Finished
MontpellierMontpellier

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Rodez Rest
9 days
Montpellier Rest
10 days

Rodez vs Montpellier: result, form and history

Montpellier beat Rodez 3-0 in the Ligue 2 on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.10
X
25%3.58
2
46%2.11
Double Chance
1X
54%1.66
X2
71%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.25 = 2.61
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.58
Over 3.5
37%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.80
Under 2.5
43%2.30
Under 3.5
63%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.7 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.47
Over 9.5
50%1.81
Over 10.5
38%2.27
Under 8.5
38%2.50
Under 9.5
50%1.97
Under 10.5
62%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

35'Mathis SakaDissent
50'Yaël Mouanga BoudzoumouFoul
55'Nicolas Pays
56'Noah Vidal INDaryll Benlahlou out
59'Laciné Megnan Pave
62'Octave Joly INDamjan Pavlović out
62'Steven Luyambula Biwa INJean Lambert Evan's out
67'Mathis Saka INAntonin Cartillier out
68'Mathis Touho INKenny Nagera out
70'Theo Sainte Luce INYanis Zouaoui out
76'Daryll Benlahlou
80'Nachon Nsingi INKelian Nsona out
85'Florian Tardieu INHichem Abderrebi out
85'Laciné Megnan Pave INThéo Chennahi out

Lineups

Rodez
5-3-2Coach: D. Santini
Montpellier
4-2-3-1Coach: Z. Camara
Avg rating6.17
Avg rating7.21
Q. Braat5.91Q. Braat
S. Luyambula Biwa6.628S. Luyambula Biwa
L. Quenabio6.424L. Quenabio
M. Magnin6.24M. Magnin
R. Lipinski6.13R. Lipinski
R. Ponti5.820R. Ponti
M. Saka6.010M. Saka
J. Mendes5.86J. Mendes
O. Joly6.722O. Joly
N. Nsingi6.59N. Nsingi
M. Touho6.611M. Touho
S. Ngapandouetnbu6.731S. Ngapandouetnbu
Naoufel El Hannach7.43N. El Hannach
J. Laporte8.015J. Laporte
Y. Mouanga6.86Y. Mouanga
T. Sainte-Luce7.217T. Sainte-Luce
F. Tardieu6.85F. Tardieu
D. Meddah6.927D. Meddah
N. Pays8.218N. Pays
N. Vidal-Cartoux6.740N. Vidal-Cartoux
Lacine Megnan-Pave8.09L. Megnan-Pave
M. Camara6.911M. Camara

Rodez Substitutes

21K. Nsona80'for Nachon Nsingi6.3
8D. Pavlović62'for Octave Joly5.5
29Antonin Cartillier67'for Mathis Saka6.0
30E. Crombez
13C. Roubiou
15E. Jean-Lambert62'for Steven Luyambula Biwa6.2
7K. Nagera68'for Mathis Touho6.3
5M. Sylla

Montpellier Substitutes

28Y. Zouaoui70'for Theo Sainte Luce7.3
77Everson
1M. Michel
44T. Chennahi85'for Laciné Megnan Pave6.5
23Daryll Benlahlou56'for Noah Vidal76'7.6
90Gregory Ayem
32Hichem Abderrebi85'for Florian Tardieu7.0

Match Stats

RodezMontpellier
40%Ball Possession60%
8Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal9
8Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots3
13Fouls11
1Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves2
286Total Passes479
207Passes Accurate410
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

RodezRodez
MontpellierMontpellier
1609Elo Rating 1714
1.04Attack 1.77
0.85Defense 2.38
27%Hit Rate 66%
14.8Shots per Game 14.5
4.8Shots on Target 5.7
5.9Corners per Game 5.3
1.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RodezRodez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MontpellierMontpellier
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

RodezRodez1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
MontpellierMontpellier2Wins · 67%
3.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
Ligue 220/02/2026
RodezMontpellier
10
Ligue 231/10/2025
MontpellierRodez
20

Recent Form

RodezRodez
3W1D6L
10/10/2026
Saint EtienneRodez
20
L
03/10/2026
RodezInter Club d'Escaldes
20
W
18/09/2026
RodezNancy
34
L
11/09/2026
RodezGrenoble
01
L
05/09/2026
MetzRodez
41
L
28/08/2026
RodezPAU
22
D
22/08/2026
NantesRodez
25
W
14/08/2026
AnnecyRodez
20
L
08/08/2026
RodezLaval
31
W
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
L
MontpellierMontpellier
6W3D1L
09/10/2026
MontpellierGrenoble
20
W
18/09/2026
ReimsMontpellier
11
D
11/09/2026
MontpellierPAU
10
W
05/09/2026
Saint EtienneMontpellier
31
L
28/08/2026
MontpellierBoulogne
00
D
21/08/2026
DunkerqueMontpellier
01
W
14/08/2026
NancyMontpellier
01
W
08/08/2026
MontpellierDijon
11
D
01/08/2026
MontpellierRodez
42
W
25/07/2026
Clermont FootMontpellier
01
W

Referee Profile

Geoffrey Kubler108 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.84Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Geoffrey Kubler4.05
Other referees4.07

4.05 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.07).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
3MontpellierMontpellier953111:5+618WWDWL
4ReimsReims945019:11+817WDDWD
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93952212:10+217LWWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
14BoulogneBoulogne91626:609WDLDD
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2NancyNancy1012:819
3MontpellierMontpellier911:518
4ReimsReims919:1117
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93912:1017
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13RodezRodez1016:2210
14BoulogneBoulogne96:69
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Rodez vs Montpellier forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rodez and Montpellier in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Montpellier are 3rd and Rodez 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Rodez 16-22, Montpellier 11-5. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.