New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction
USA · Round of 16
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising in numbers
There is little to separate the two on recent form: New Mexico United have won 3 of their last five and Phoenix Rising 2. It is a knockout tie in the USL Championship, played on 1 Nov 2026.
New Mexico United have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Team Comparison
New Mexico United
Phoenix RisingAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
New Mexico United- No tendency data available
Phoenix Rising- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
New Mexico United6Wins · 60%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
05/10/2026New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
07/06/2026New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising12/04/2026Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United05/10/2025Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United11/05/2025New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising04/11/2024New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising10/10/2024New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising31/03/2024Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United08/10/2023Phoenix RisingNew Mexico United22/06/2023New Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingRecent Form
New Mexico United
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
San AntonioNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
Monterey BayNew Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
FC TulsaNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
Sacramento Republic
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico United
Birmingham LegionNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
Indy Eleven
Las Vegas LightsNew Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Lexington
Orange County SCPhoenix RisingPhoenix RisingLas Vegas LightsNew Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Oakland RootsPhoenix RisingPhoenix RisingEl Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingFC TulsaMonterey BayPhoenix RisingPhoenix RisingIndy ElevenSacramento RepublicPhoenix RisingBracket
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- Phoenix Rising vs Lexington 25/10/26
- Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots 25/10/26
- Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island 31/10/26
- Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC 31/10/26
- Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic 31/10/26
- El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio 31/10/26
- Lexington vs Colorado Springs 01/11/26
- Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa 02/11/26
About the New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising forecast
As a knockout tie in the USL Championship, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
New Mexico United and Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, New Mexico United are 1st and Phoenix Rising 8th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: New Mexico United 45-34, Phoenix Rising 45-46. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Phoenix Rising have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.