Phoenix Rising vs Lexington Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: the result in context
Phoenix Rising and Lexington drew 3-3 in the USL Championship on 25 Oct 2026. Lexington had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Phoenix Rising.
Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Phoenix Rising
LexingtonAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Phoenix Rising- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lexington- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Phoenix Rising0Wins · 0%3Wins · 100%Previous meetings
09/08/2026LexingtonPhoenix Rising10/08/2025LexingtonPhoenix Rising05/07/2025Phoenix RisingLexingtonRecent Form
Phoenix Rising
Orange County SCPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Las Vegas Lights
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Oakland RootsPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
FC Tulsa
Monterey BayPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Indy Eleven
Sacramento RepublicPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Colorado SpringsLexingtonLas Vegas LightsLexingtonLexingtonFC TulsaLexingtonEl Paso LocomotiveMonterey BayLexingtonLexingtonOrange County SCOakland RootsLexington
Sporting JAXLexingtonLexingtonColorado SpringsNew Mexico UnitedLexingtonLexingtonLas Vegas LightsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 |  San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion 25/10/26
- Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa 25/10/26
- El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United 25/10/26
- San Antonio vs Orange County SC 25/10/26
- Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots 25/10/26
- Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island 31/10/26
- Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC 31/10/26
- Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic 31/10/26
About the Phoenix Rising vs Lexington forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Phoenix Rising and Lexington in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, Lexington are 4th and Phoenix Rising 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Phoenix Rising 45-46, Lexington 57-39. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.