New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 30
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel40%SurpriseHighGap-2.9%
New York City FC Rest
3 days
Los Angeles FC Rest
2 days
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC: the result in context
New York City FC and Los Angeles FC drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Rosendo Mendoza averages 4.82 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%2.70
X27%3.48
238%2.40
Double Chance
1X62%1.50
X265%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.56
No40%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.53 = 2.98
Over 1.579%1.21
Over 2.557%1.72
Over 3.534%2.75
Under 1.521%4.13
Under 2.543%2.10
Under 3.566%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.5 = 9.5
Over 8.559%1.33
Over 9.547%1.65
Over 10.536%2.00
Under 8.541%3.00
Under 9.553%2.14
Under 10.564%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.7 = 5.1
Over 3.574%1.39
Over 4.557%1.91
Under 3.526%2.81
Under 4.543%1.87
Match Events
28'Hannes WolfFoul
44'Aiden O'NeillFoul
45+1'Leo Walta
54'Agustin OjedaFoul
58'Igor Jesus INMathieu Choinière out
59'Andrés PereaAssist: Nicolás Fernández Mercau
66'Jacob Shaffelburg INArmindo Sieb out
66'Ryan Hollingshead INSergi Palencia out
68'Agustin Ojeda INTalles Magno out
68'Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos INBénie Adama Traoré out
85'Marky Delgado INSergio Vasquez out
85'Aaron Long INRyan Porteous out
Lineups
New York City FCLos Angeles FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Xavi TamaritAvg ratingAvg rating
49M. Freese
24T. Gray
13T. Martins
6J. Sands
22K. O'Toole
21A. O'Neill
8A. Perea
26A. Ojeda
7N. Fernández Mercau
17H. Wolf
20L. Hanri
1H. Lloris
24R. Hollingshead
33A. Long
91N. Tafari
23Y. Cheberko
8M. Delgado
6I. Jesus
81L. Walta
7S. Heung-Min
18J. Shaffelburg
99D. BouangaNew York City FC Substitutes
35M. Ilenič
88M. Jones
16A. Martínez
3M. Miazga
34Raul Gustavo
30T. Romero
32J. Shore
11Talles Magno68'for Agustin Ojeda
9B. Traoré68'for Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
Los Angeles FC Substitutes
19T. Boyd
66M. Choinière58'for Igor Jesus
12T. Hasal
14Sergi Palencia66'for Ryan Hollingshead
5R. Porteous85'for Aaron Long
21R. Raposo
4E. Segura
9A. Sieb66'for Jacob Shaffelburg
20S. Vasquez85'for Marky Delgado
Match Stats
New York City FCLos Angeles FC 66%Ball Possession34%
10Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots1
18Fouls8
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
702Total Passes369
632Passes Accurate301
7Free Kicks17
Team Comparison
New York City FCLos Angeles FC1571Elo Rating 1655
0.80Attack 1.43
1.41Defense 1.86
0%Hit Rate 23%
12.8Shots per Game 13.2
4.2Shots on Target 4.9
5.7Corners per Game 4.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
New York City FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Los Angeles FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
New York City FC1Wins · 50%Draws00%
Los Angeles FC1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
02/03/2025Los Angeles FCNew York City FC10
29/05/2021Los Angeles FCNew York City FC12
Recent Form
New York City FC1W4D5L
15/10/2026
Inter MiamiNew York City FC
Chicago FireNew York City FC
Atlanta United FCNew York City FCNew York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Real Salt LakeNew York City FCNew York City FC
New England RevolutionNew York City FC
Nashville SC
Toronto FCNew York City FCNew England RevolutionNew York City FC
FC CincinnatiNew York City FC
Inter MiamiNew York City FC20
L10/10/2026Chicago FireNew York City FC21
L27/09/2026Atlanta United FCNew York City FC22
D19/09/2026New York City FCNew York Red Bulls01
L13/09/2026Real Salt LakeNew York City FC02
W10/09/2026New York City FCNew England Revolution12
L05/09/2026New York City FCNashville SC00
D30/08/2026Toronto FCNew York City FC11
D23/08/2026New England RevolutionNew York City FC11
D20/08/2026FC CincinnatiNew York City FC21
LLos Angeles FC2W5D3L
15/10/2026Los Angeles FC
AustinLos Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC DallasLos Angeles FC
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FCLos Angeles FCNew York Red BullsReal Salt LakeLos Angeles FC
DC UnitedLos Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Colorado RapidsLos Angeles FC
Los Angeles FCAustin31
W11/10/2026Los Angeles FCVancouver Whitecaps11
D27/09/2026FC DallasLos Angeles FC10
L20/09/2026San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles FC22
D13/09/2026Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FC31
L10/09/2026Los Angeles FCNew York Red Bulls20
W06/09/2026Real Salt LakeLos Angeles FC22
D30/08/2026DC UnitedLos Angeles FC00
D23/08/2026Los Angeles FCPortland Timbers11
D20/08/2026Colorado RapidsLos Angeles FC10
LReferee Profile
4.82Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.82 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).
Cards come from 125 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | +32 | 55 | WDDLD |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | +15 | 51 | LDWWW |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | +8 | 51 | DWLWD |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | +10 | 48 | DDDWD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | +2 | 47 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | +15 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 42 | DLWWW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 39 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | -3 | 36 | WDLWL |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | -5 | 34 | DLDLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 34 | DDLDD |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | -8 | 34 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | -18 | 31 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | -39 | 22 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego | 30 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 30 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin | 30 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 36:75 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | +41 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | +22 | 55 | WWWLD |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | +8 | 52 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | +8 | 48 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | +8 | 47 | DLWLW |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | +13 | 46 | DWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | -12 | 41 | WDWLL |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 62:71 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | -17 | 36 | LLWLW |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | -9 | 36 | WDWLL |
| 11 |  Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | -1 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | +2 | 34 | DLLDL |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 | LLWLD |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | -14 | 30 | LWLDW |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | -24 | 25 | DLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 30 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 62:71 | 39 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 30 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 30 | 38:53 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 30 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 36:60 | 25 |
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This match
About the New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
New York City FC and Los Angeles FC have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.